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Wednesday, July 14, 2010

Mr. One-term

In fairness, he probably wasn't even eligible for that one-term anyhow:
Contrary to pretty much every projection until now, Democratic control of the Senate is also starting to coming into question. While Mr Obama’s approval ratings have continued to fall, and now hover at dangerously close to 40 per cent according an ABC-Washington Post poll published on Tuesday, the fate of his former colleagues in the Senate looks even worse.

In the past few days polls have shown Republican challengers taking the lead over previously safe Democratic incumbents, such as Barbara Boxer in California and Russ Feingold in Wisconsin. Indeed, given the uniformly negative direction in the numbers, it is now quite possible the Republicans could win the Senate seats formerly held by both President Obama in Illinois, and Joe Biden, vice-president, in Delaware.

Add to that the continuing woes of Harry Reid, the Senate Democratic majority leader, in Nevada, where the Republican party’s recent nomination of Sharron Angle, a far-right and highly eccentric Tea Party supporter, appear to have had no positive effect on Mr Reid’s prospects, and the Grand Old party has a good shot at taking control of both houses of Congress. Worse for Mr Obama, political scientists say that at this stage in the calendar, there is almost nothing he can do about it.
Forget re-election, I don't think Obama is even going to be on the ballot in 2012 regardless of whether Democrats lose the House or both the House and Senate. And this doesn't have anything to do with various state efforts to force presidential candidates to prove their natural-born citizenship, I think that he's going to face multiple challengers in the Democratic primary and end up withdrawing ala LBJ.

If you're a Democratic politician, you have to be terrified right now. As bad as Obama has been for the country, he has been even worse for his political party. They're facing a difficult choice between internecine insurrection and total obliteration in 2012.

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