Historical model predicts Trump will win the general election in a landslide:
The odds of Donald Trump becoming America’s next president currently range from 97 percent to 99 percent.... Norpoth predicts that Trump has a 97 percent chance of beating Hillary Clinton and a 99 percent chance of beating Bernie Sanders.Well, it's obviously now time for all those pragmatic Republicans whose only concern is electability to get on the Trump train, isn't it. After all, we have been repeatedly assured that principles are not important, winning elections is important.
Norpoth announced his prognostication on Monday night during Stony Brook Alumni Association event at the SUNY Global Center in Manhattan.
“The bottom line is that the primary model, using also the cyclical movement, makes it almost certain that Donald Trump will be the next president,” Norpoth said, according to The Statesman. “When I started out with this kind of display a few months ago, I thought it was sort of a joke,” the professor told the alumni audience, according to the student newspaper. “Well, I’ll tell you right now, it ain’t a joke anymore.”
“Trump beats Hillary 54.7 percent to 45.3 percent” in terms of popular vote.