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Thursday, April 27, 2017

Mailvox: what does Le Pen need to do?

What does Le Pen need to do in the brief time between now and May 7 to win the French election?

To win the French election, Marine Le Pen needs to convince the anti-EU French Left that national sovereignty is more important than the precise shape of domestic policy in the next few years. This will be challenging, since one of the chief attributes of the Left is its inability to think in the long term.

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27 Comments:

Anonymous Clay April 27, 2017 8:10 AM  

Jeez...don't those snail-eaters have televisions? Are the peoples who are creating all the murder and mayhem in their country named Pierre? Francois?

I don't get it. (as usual)

I've said before...Italy doesn't seem to have this terrorism problem...why do the French and British seem to?

Blogger Dirk Manly April 27, 2017 8:16 AM  

@2 Clay

Because both the British and the French value "manners" over accomplishing the task. Style over substance.

Blogger J A Baker April 27, 2017 8:21 AM  

She has to follow Trump's lead and hold some rallies so people can see the real numbers of support she has.

Anonymous TheHiss April 27, 2017 8:32 AM  

@1. I can't speak for the French, but in Britain we've had an average of 1.4 terrorism related deaths per year over the lat ten years. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/0/many-people-killed-terrorist-attacks-uk/

Blogger Nate April 27, 2017 8:51 AM  

if the muslims are dumb enough to attack again in France... she's have it sewn up.

Blogger Phillip George April 27, 2017 8:54 AM  

Marine La Pen only has to convince the thinking French Public that this election is purely to avenge the death of the Daughter of France Aurelie Chatelain

You see Vox if you can't find justice for one orphan, if you can't protect one woman, if you can't judge between right and wrong over one death,

you're country is already lost.

In like manner Waco Texans were burned alive or shot trying to flee.
A nation cannot go on. The blood cries out. Knowing right and wrong and speaking out is preserving the "image of God". Without that, we lose everything worth living for. Nations are mere loose change in the deal

Aurelie Chatelain is France.

This is the tomb of the known soldier.

Blogger Phillip George April 27, 2017 8:56 AM  

your country. tomorrow the undiscovered

OpenID paworldandtimes April 27, 2017 8:56 AM  

if the muslims are dumb enough to attack again in France... she's have it sewn up.

With female voters, it could go either way. Women respond to violence by doubling-down on appeasement.

PA

Blogger Derek Kite April 27, 2017 9:05 AM  

> if the muslims are dumb enough to attack again in France... she's have it sewn up.

Nope. The French are a subjugated people. If what happened last year and the year before were not enough, nothing will be. We are witnessing a remarkable strategy coming to fruition.

Anonymous BBGKB April 27, 2017 9:07 AM  

What does Le Pen need to do in the brief time between now and May 7 to win the French election?

Burn a Koran in a vat of bacon grease.

if the muslims are dumb enough to attack again in France... she's have it sewn up

Moslems react to lack of diminitude like jews do to freiers. You would think they would think they would be smart about it but they can't help themselves.
https://hbdchick.wordpress.com/2015/03/04/thou-shalt-not-be-a-freier/

Blogger Old Ez April 27, 2017 9:09 AM  

France is all wrapped up and has been since 1968. It is not a sovereign nation. There's nothing left of "France" politically that is not completely assimilated to these international political crime networks that have replaced public administration and international law over the last 100 years. Like in America the political structure of France is just ossified corruption. To talk about removing the corruption from French (or American) politics (ie, putting the national interest first again) would be like talking about removing the mineral deposits from a fossil. Corruption has entirely replaced the structure it once corrupted and if you tried to remove the corruption you would only succeed in demolishing the formal remains of the structure. Sorry to say that even if Le Pen is elected she will be digested even more readily than Trump has been.

The only purpose these elections serve anymore is to show people that even when a maverick candidate manages to get elected they're freedom of action is thwarted at every angle - the conclusion being the supposed choices afforded by democracy are illusions. The sole remaining value of national elections now is to radically demoralize people about the prospects and value of democracy. We will not vote ourselves out of any of this because that simply won't be allowed to happen. The people in charge would rather see the whole thing burn than give up power, so they're happy to undermine faith in democracy. And if by some slim miracle a maverick like Trump or Le Pen turned out to be willing to risk their life to keep their promises, the powers that be will have no problem cashing that check.

Blogger Jonathan Wales April 27, 2017 9:24 AM  

Apparently there was an explosion in a French Mcdonalds. Bomb squad investigating.

It could be possible. A lot of working class and traditionally left wing voters and areas went for Brexit in a big way. From the sound of Macron and his camp the metropolitan elites in France still don't understand how much immigration genuinely worries and antagonises ordinary people. Le Pen needs to tap into this e.g. why does France have 10% unemployment, while Germany has 3.9%? Why is wage growth at only 0.2%? Couch it in terms traditional left wing voters understand.
Apparently Macron was heckled and jeered when visiting a French factory yesterday, so this may not be impossible.

Twin that with national security and terrorism threat.

Anonymous BBGKB April 27, 2017 10:10 AM  

Apparently there was an explosion in a French Mcdonalds. Bomb squad investigating.

France banned McDonalds & that ban was one of the reasons the elite decided to flood France with the 3rd world.
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2011/05/14/in-honor-of-french-reader-understanding-the-rivkin-project/

Blogger Robert What? April 27, 2017 10:17 AM  

If Le Pen wins hopefully she does not have any (((in laws))) to pull her leftward.

Blogger JDC April 27, 2017 10:23 AM  

This will be challenging, since one of the chief attributes of the Left is its inability to think in the long term.

Amen. They are like the lactose intolerant person who gobbles down 1/2 a pizza...then regrets it for the entire night when their legs go numb on the shi**er. Gotta have that cheese pizza...to hades with the consequences.

Blogger Antonio From Spain April 27, 2017 10:53 AM  

Le Pen changed the party's stance on some sensitive issues: gay rights, religion, and even immigration. Eventually the more nationalist Bruno Gollnisch and even her own father and founder of the party were kicked out. This was too much of a black pill for many. Sympathizers have commented that this affected a particularly active part of the party--some demobilized, some scampered to even smaller organizations.

Mainstream pundits insist that she had to severely moderate many of her views (it sounds oh so reasonable) but I don't see how she can counterbalance the media disinformation with a message that sounds cuckier every day and without those who've been pushed out rightwards.

I'd say she has to address that ASAP.

Then again, IIRC your original prediction was that the change would become apparent in the next election cycle, not the present one.

Blogger Jonathan Wales April 27, 2017 10:54 AM  

http://www.pravdareport.com/news/hotspots/crimes/27-04-2017/137610-mcdonalds_france-0/

Blogger bosscauser April 27, 2017 11:32 AM  

1.4 too many...

Gab.ai/GaryCauser

Blogger dvdivx April 27, 2017 12:39 PM  

Whites are more concerned with being called racists than if their own daughters get raped and killed. Le Pen will lose. Moslems could kill 100,000 French and it would make no difference.

Blogger Troy Lee Messer April 27, 2017 2:34 PM  

Amen. I will believe whites are serious when they have the balls to take the word nigger back.

Blogger Dirk Manly April 27, 2017 3:49 PM  

@20

Blacks still howl like banshees if anyone other than themselves uses it. They like to think it's a match, but their action proves that they're juggling molotov cocktails.

Blogger tz April 27, 2017 4:16 PM  

Le Pen apparently wants to ban Halal meats (not stun before) and religious headcoverings, but apparently that includes (((Kosher))) meats and (((Yarmulkes))).

Blogger Snidely Whiplash April 27, 2017 5:03 PM  

tz wrote:Le Pen apparently wants to ban Halal meats (not stun before) and religious headcoverings, but apparently that includes (((Kosher))) meats and (((Yarmulkes))).
Oh noes! Waht will (((we))) do? Oh, yeah, not my circus, not my monkeys.

Blogger Basil Makedon April 27, 2017 6:04 PM  

It seems like a tall order. If shy-Trump voters was a thing, I suspect that shy-LePen voters are also a thing.

Polling had her down 25%, which is quite a lot of ground to make up. Trump was only "down" a handful of points (and obviously was not actually down).

The non-pairwise primary thing can make predictions in the pairwise contest very unstable. People have a tendency to pick chocolate over vanilla, vanilla over strawberry but strawberry when choosing between all three.

Anonymous Disciple of Kek April 27, 2017 9:46 PM  

People are saying "if" an attack happens...

Considering Ramadan started yesterday, I think we have higher than normal chances (which were already high).

Ramadan right before the second vote? May be blessing of Kek disguised in a burka.

Blogger Mandos April 28, 2017 1:54 AM  

Le Pen is no Trump. There is a history of almost four decades of making this name and that of her Party the equivalent of Hitler's reincarnation in France, and the conditioning has been efficient. That's why she only secured 21% in the first round despite her ideas representing the views of a much wider portion of the electorate.

A lot of people who may agree with her otherwise consider she won't be able to rule if elected and are legit scared of the Left and the muslims going batshit crazy over her election. And in fairness we're not talking a few riots here, we're talking full-scale blockades and police given the order to shoot on the short-term, with a lot of uncertainty on whether they would comply. More importantly, they are scared of their families and communities tearing themselves apart over it, of social death in the middle of a wider unrest. Quite literally, it has become France's ogre's tale for a long time. Most normies believe in it hard and still have too much to lose to risk it, so they give in the easy status signaling instead, hoping a big majority can't be wrong. If you think Americans are cucked you should see what a French feed looks like right now.

French people are not serious about getting something done, and I doubt we are one or two successful terrorist attacks close to a shift in the majority. The campaign showed it with almost none of the online organization that was so successful in carrying Trump's popularity last year, despite some attempts to help it take off.

What's happening now is Kabuki theatre. The deck is stacked against her and the anti-globalist Left couldn't care less about national sovereignty, they care about welfare and defeating the white patriarchy.

The good news is, the major parties are in shambles. The grapes of globalist cucks that have started to rally around Macron are going to void the historical center-left and center-right parties of their relevance, paving the way to a recomposition of the political landscape around one main globalist faction - and opening new opportunities for their real opposition.

Blogger Michael Neal April 28, 2017 9:51 AM  

http://www.breitbart.com/london/2017/04/28/french-physicist-maths-le-pen-victory/

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