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Sunday, September 10, 2017

Landfall

Hurricane Irma hits Florida:
Hurricane Irma has now made landfall on Florida, slamming into Key West, bringing sustained winds of 130mph, as well as rain and threats of tornadoes in what is expected to be one of the worst storms to hit the area in living memory.

The state thought it had escaped the worst case scenario as the storm moved into land and was downgraded to Category 3 - but late Saturday night it re-energized and was upgraded back to Category 4, the second-worst level, with gusts of up to 144mph.

And this is only the beginning for the mainland US, as Irma is set to move inland northwest, threatening Naples and other cities up the west coast of Florida as the wears on. A man was killed after tropical-storm-strength winds caused him to lose control of the truck he was driving through Monroe County, which contains Key West. He had been carrying a generator, local officials told ABC News. Two others died in a car accident in Hardee County, Florida, the Florida Highway Patrol said. The area is around 60 miles inland from Sarasota.

Those deaths come after Irma claimed at least 25 lives in the Caribbean as it swept over several countries, destroying entire islands. Meanwhile, more than a million people have been left without power across the state, while storm surges of 10-15 feet have been predicted around the Everglades, where lower land exacerbates the floods. Highs of 5-10 feet have been predicted in Miami.

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42 Comments:

Blogger Unknown September 10, 2017 10:27 AM  

It's going to track up the west coast of FL and radically re-arrange nearly every bit of the seashore. I hope there isn't anyone trying to ride out this thing on any of the barrier islands, they might not even be there anymore come tomorrow.

Blogger Ransom Smith September 10, 2017 10:35 AM  

Unironically praying for our Florida brothers and sisters. Be safe y'all.

Blogger Chiva September 10, 2017 10:40 AM  

@2 In agreement with your prayer.
Also praying for the first responders that they stay safe and sound through this.

Anonymous Lawyer Guy September 10, 2017 10:53 AM  

The NWS, the governor, and the President all told people to get the hell out days ago.

So let's not only stay but drive around in the storm. Some people are so stupid they seem like third world 80IQ dumbasses.

Blogger rumpole5 September 10, 2017 11:11 AM  

My beach shack near Daytona is all buttoned up with the plywood left over from replacing the roof after hurricane Matthew in October. I am prasing God that Irma appears to have shifted west to spare the shack and maybe our place in Orlando as well. Now please Almighty, shift her further west to spare my fellow Florida Crackers in Venice thru Tampa also!

Blogger dh September 10, 2017 11:12 AM  

@4 - I would say that's really true for Monroe county, which is really in the soup now. The interior counties it's really a pickle. No one has been told to leave. But it's not really safe either. A bad turn could expose a few million people to some nasty stuff.

West Coast is going to be ugly though, at this point. We'll see what happens.

Blogger pyrrhus September 10, 2017 11:12 AM  

Living in areas where there are periodically hurricanes (Spain lost several Treasure fleets to them) and strong tropical storms, one would expect people to be prepared and have insurance. For the most part, neither seems to be the case...Everyone is waiting for Uncle Sam to bail them out....

Blogger pyrrhus September 10, 2017 11:17 AM  

Just imagine if Harvey, rather than mere tropical storm Sandy, had hit the low lying New York/NJ area...the damage would have been exponentially greater, and would have bankrupted every government involved...

Blogger Tank September 10, 2017 11:18 AM  

@Pyrrhus

We live on the NC coast, and everyone we know has both flood and wind and hail insurance. Not everyone is waiting for Uncle Sam. Looks like we'll get lucky this time, but you never know.

Blogger Emmett Fitz-Hume September 10, 2017 11:22 AM  

My prayers and my wife's prayers and our children's prayers are with them all, even those some would call fools.

We pray for the citizens, the Cajun Navy who will show up exhausted and the EMS, both professional and volunteer. All of them.

May our Lord, Jesus Christ watch over them and keep them. May those who hear the Holy Ghost in their time of fear and peril not forget that call when the wind dies and the waves subside and the debris is cleared.

@4 Lawyer Guy,

Some of them may be 80IQ dumbasses. But they might also be held by Normalcy Bias. And make no mistake, Normalcy Bias doesn't care about how many standard deviations above Sub-Saharan African you are.

We can all fall victim to it. Pray that we don't, whatever catastrophe looms.

Blogger Unknown September 10, 2017 11:30 AM  

@10 I saw it called the Darwin Modifier at another blog.

AKA the "Hold my beer, watch this" quotient.

IQ x Darwin Modifier = observed IQ.

For example, young Marines standing in the Okinawa barracks parking lot while a 105 knot typhoon is blowing, trying to hold a blanket so they can fly. Seen that one personally.

Blogger Emmett Fitz-Hume September 10, 2017 11:34 AM  

@11

Normalcy Bias and being a low IQ Cletus are two separate things.

One can happen to anyone, regardless of IQ.


Anonymous Orange and Seminole September 10, 2017 11:44 AM  

dh; it's a none event for the interior counties.

Blogger Thucydides September 10, 2017 12:10 PM  

One thing to consider is setting up HAM radio stations in the affected areas to act as nodes for mesh networks to assist in recovery.

Once I had though of that it occurred to me that this would also be a great (ow bandwidth) means of bypassing converged companies like google and Facebook as well, creating an Internet outside of their reach. Preparing for emergencies makes you less prone to being overcome by [i]other[/i] emergencies.

Blogger JDC September 10, 2017 12:19 PM  

Heavenly Father, protect those who suffer creations groanings. Cover the individuals who could not evacuate and the relief workers in the area. Help us all to see you through the storm.

Anonymous Man of the Atom September 10, 2017 12:24 PM  

Thucydides wrote:One thing to consider is setting up HAM radio stations in the affected areas to act as nodes for mesh networks to assist in recovery.

Once I had though of that it occurred to me that this would also be a great (ow bandwidth) means of bypassing converged companies like google and Facebook as well, creating an Internet outside of their reach. Preparing for emergencies makes you less prone to being overcome by other emergencies.


Side note: Some amateur radio bands are dedicated to data transmission (sort of like some Commodore and other 8-bit software was transmitted via radio, especially in Europe). Another example is dedicated amateur radio computer apps to do Morse-to-text conversions.

Not a bad skill & resource to have, and a good, basic transmitter is not a crippling expense, especially a used one if you are starting out in the hobby. The antenna(s) can be another story.

Blogger pyrrhus September 10, 2017 12:35 PM  

@9 Good! I don't doubt that there are many prudent people out there...But what we hear about the Houston area is that only 1 in 6 have insurance. I have been to Houston many times, and Houston floods frequently, more often than any place in Florida. One time I recall involved 29 inches of rain in 2 days, just a tropical storm...So it is utterly predictable that houses built in the lower areas will flood from time to time.

Blogger ((( bob kek mando ))) - ( i'm sorry you raped Andrea Dworkin and i disavow your Patriarchal Cisheteronormative Bourgeois Consciousness in shame ) September 10, 2017 12:54 PM  

6. dh September 10, 2017 11:12 AM
No one has been told to leave. But it's not really safe either.



you can say that again. one of the worst Fla hurricane disasters ever was Belle Glade.

https://infogalactic.com/info/1928_Okeechobee_hurricane

Anonymous 11B September 10, 2017 1:24 PM  

I am streaming channel 10 from Miami. They just showed a bunch of blacks breaking into a couple of stores and taking merchandise.

Blogger VFM #7634 September 10, 2017 1:31 PM  

Good luck Florida... stay safe.

Blogger VFM #7634 September 10, 2017 1:33 PM  

The NWS, the governor, and the President all told people to get the hell out days ago.

So let's not only stay but drive around in the storm. Some people are so stupid they seem like third world 80IQ dumbasses.


@4 Lawyer Guy
I see what you did there.

Blogger rumpole5 September 10, 2017 1:55 PM  

"O Savior, whose almighty word
The winds and waves submissive heard,
Who walked upon the foaming deep,
And calm amid the rage did sleep;
O hear us when we cry to Thee
For those in peril on the sea."

Blogger The Sasquatch September 10, 2017 2:05 PM  

We're hunkered down in our house west of Orlando. Lots of rain at present. Wind is picking up. Watching news reports of multiple mid-size tornadoes coming in off the Atlantic at 50mph. Kinda trippy. The fun should start here in the next few hours.

Blogger bw September 10, 2017 2:09 PM  

none event for the interior counties

True. The rain? LoL it happens all the time every 2 weeks in summer to this level in more isolated pockets.
Winds and power are only question inland.

Blogger bw September 10, 2017 2:11 PM  

The fun should start here in the next few hours

All gas closed along 75 now up through Hogtown. Just got back for topoff - no joy.

Anonymous Just another commenter September 10, 2017 2:26 PM  

Harvey was bad for TX.
FL said "hold my beer and watch this."
Now the same European models that correctly predicted those two storm paths are saying that Jose will most likely hit between DC and NY (but that is still a log way out).

Cool related wind map: wind Map

Prayers for those good people hunkering down in FL, and playing for Karma to deal with parasites and looters.

Anonymous Avalanche September 10, 2017 2:33 PM  

@7 Everyone is waiting for Uncle Sam to bail them out....

Because Uncle Sam ALWAYS bails them out!

Different kind of welfare, SAME kind of irresponsibility!

Blogger Ken Prescott September 10, 2017 3:06 PM  

Back in the latter half of the 1980s, I was stationed at Marine Corps Air Station Beaufort, South Carolina.

We usually caught the aircraft that evacuated from hurricanes approaching Florida. They did ONE aircraft evacuation that I recall (Hurricane Hugo), and the base was untouched afterwards.

They have evacuated the aircraft, and ordered persons not in emergency essential assignments to evacuate MCAS Beaufort and the Laurel Bay housing area.

This is serious.

Blogger Cataline Sergius September 10, 2017 4:09 PM  

Google's Irma Crisis Map

Yes, I still loath them as much as the rest of you but this is a critically important realtime open intel resource.


Irma Shelters
Gas stations and fuel status
US Hurricane Evacuation Routes
Current Traffic Speeds
Traffic alerts from waze.com users

Pretty much the works and they seem to be keeping it up to date.

Blogger ((( bob kek mando ))) - ( i'm sorry you raped Andrea Dworkin and i disavow your Patriarchal Cisheteronormative Bourgeois Consciousness in shame ) September 10, 2017 5:01 PM  

Flamingo ( the *real* southernmost point in the Continental US ) looks to be getting slammed about as hard as it can be without having the eye go right over the top.

Blogger Noah B The Savage Gardener September 10, 2017 6:24 PM  

Hurricane Irma sucks but it's nice to know that America can move this many people this quickly. It really makes you think...

Blogger Noah B The Savage Gardener September 10, 2017 7:28 PM  

@19 11B - Black Lives Matter volunteers rescue Air Jordans

Anonymous Post Alley Crackpot September 10, 2017 8:23 PM  

CBS streaming (CBSN) is showing footage from Lee and Collier County as of zero hour UTC on Monday.

Marco Island looks surprisingly intact given that the eye passed over it.

There are lightly flooded sections of Naples, but the damage is nothing like what happened to Sint Maarten/Saint Martin. The CBS affiliate in Fort Myers stayed on the air and is broadcasting footage from the area.

There are still high winds pushing onward in Naples -- there's a picture the CBS affiliate is running that looks a lot like the city's pier in the background, and it's just some trees whipping around without doing too much else.

There are trashed vehicles, trashed trees, trashed fences as you'd expect. There aren't any submerged vehicles like we saw in Sint Maarten. Houses appear to be for the most part surprisingly intact. Streets appear to be navigable for emergency vehicles with a high wheel base.

For some reason, the CBS affiliate in Fort Myers thinks covering the boats that are sitting on silt and sludge in canals is actually the most amazing thing ever ...

Apparently the Leeward Islands, the Bahamas, Cuba, and the Florida Keys took the big hit on this one.

Comms are now being restored in the Leeward Islands. Life goes on.

Blogger Nate September 10, 2017 9:27 PM  

As I said... Irma is the most over-rated storm since Matthew. She is meh.

Blogger Lazarus September 10, 2017 10:20 PM  

Nate wrote:As I said... Irma is the most over-rated storm since Matthew. She is meh.

The Excited States of America is a meme among other nations.

Blogger Emmanuel Mateo-Morales September 10, 2017 10:26 PM  

@31

Eh, the lefties will say that those who evacuated had to do so WILLINGLY.

Blogger rycamor September 11, 2017 12:04 AM  

So far so good, up here near Ocala, FL. Looks like the eye will be coming right up through Orlando so it will probably pass over us in the early AM.

So far, I'm not particularly worried. As I predicted, the power is out, and I am on mobile only. But that's par for the course. I suspect the total deaths in Florida will number well under the statistical margin of error. Mostly from people doing something stupid. It's not that hard to prepare or seek shelter.

Blogger Revelation Means Hope September 11, 2017 12:15 AM  

"Up to 12-15 feet storm surge".

Then 2-3 feet storm surge. Ah well, if the news bimbos couldn't get excited about this, they'd be hyperventilating about Trump something or other.

Anonymous Ray September 11, 2017 12:43 AM  

The Carribbean is going to have significantly more than 25 casualties. I've been following the Facebook threads on St. John closely - there are people trapped in collapsed houses, all wooden and many masonry/cement structures are rubble. No electric poles are standing. They are expecting to be without power for at least six months, possibly a year.

St. John Rescue appears to doing an incredible job, but as many as a hundred people are still missing five days out, and communication remains sporadic. Some residents are reporting positive community coordination to clear roads, unload supplies, etc. Others are reporting being terrified and begging for the National Guard as they have encountered armed looters.

Reports from St. John and the BRitish Birgin Islands are even worse- the prison collapsed and all prisoners escaped in Tortola; armed robbers stealing any vehicle they see moving at gunpoint, etc.

The information trickling out and what will likely be revealed once order and communications are restored (assuming the national guard does show up to restore order) will be instructive from both survivalist and race realist perspectives.

In the meantime, US citizens and British citizens are fighting for their lives on the Islands. If anyone is interested in helping beyond thoughts and prayers, all donations to St. John Rescue are going to tangibles- chartering helicopters, fuel for the residents, water, food, evacuation boats, etc. Unfortunstely.

The situation is dire and anything will help.

Blogger DonReynolds September 11, 2017 1:20 AM  

This makes twice I have managed to miss a major hurricane by not being hired for a job.

In the spring of 1992, I was one of three finalists for a principal planner position for the city of Homestead, Florida. In mid-August, hurricane Andrew basically flattened the city. Had I been hired, I would have managed to move wife and kids to Homestead, just in time for the hurricane.

In 2012, I was one of the finalists for the Planning and Zoning Board Director for the town of Longboat Key, Florida.....which is basically a sand bar or strand in the Gulf, just outside Tampa Bay. Had I been hired for the job, I likely would still be working for the village and had a front-row seat for this weekend's hurricane Irma.

I look at these events as the "rash of Rebecca" in the Old Testament. Rebecca was selected to be this year's human sacrifice, but she got a rash instead and was disqualified. Once the sacrifice was over.....and she missed her chance....the rash went away. Either that or it was just dumb, blind luck.

Blogger James Dixon September 11, 2017 6:21 AM  

From initial reports Irma looks very much like Katrina in that the storm is doing minimal damage, but the flooding is going to be a major problem.

Blogger SirHamster September 11, 2017 3:15 PM  

DonReynolds wrote:I look at these events as the "rash of Rebecca" in the Old Testament. Rebecca was selected to be this year's human sacrifice, but she got a rash instead and was disqualified. Once the sacrifice was over.....and she missed her chance....the rash went away. Either that or it was just dumb, blind luck.



Have never heard of that. Is not in the Old Testament.

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