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Thursday, September 20, 2018

The excuses start early

The media is already planting the seeds for explaining away the mysterious absence of the Democrats much-predicted "Blue Wave" in November:
Many Texas Democrats were demoralized Tuesday, when Republican Pete Flores defeated Democrat Pete Gallego in a runoff special election for the Texas Senate seat vacated in June by the resignation of Democrat Carlos Uresti.

They should be demoralized. It was a potentially consequential loss. Democrats have no one but themselves to blame for it. Flores’ victory doesn’t necessarily suggest that a “red wave” is coming to Texas in this year’s midterm elections, as many Republicans were quick to claim. But the Texas Democratic Party’s response to Gallego’s defeat does not augur well for their prospects of competing successfully.
I have said before, and I will say again, there will be no "Blue Wave" in November. I don't know if I am more amused or disappointed in those of you who - again - insist on falling for the mainstream media narrative.

Have you truly not figured out yet that they cannot be trusted? Do you truly not realize that they knowingly speak falsehoods, hoping to transform those falsehoods into truth by convincing you to accept their false narrative?

Even when the economy is not doing well, even when the Democrats are not nominating their most left-wing, most diverse, most unelectable candidates, the average Republican midterm loss is only 11 seats. This would reduce the Republican majority from 43 seats to 32 seats. Hardly a cause for panic.

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94 Comments:

Blogger Hammerli280 September 20, 2018 2:08 PM  

I'm wary of midterm statistics. Everything in the last 40 years is affected by four wipeouts...the Democrat disasters of 1994 and 2010, the GOP debacle of 2006, and the GOP gains of 2002.

In particular, the Propaganda Press's line of "The President's party loses an average of 30+ seats in the first midterm" is a crock...they are counting 1994 and 2010, when the American public rejected the Democrat swerve to the rabid Left.

My gut feeling is that the GOP will lose about 10 seats in the House, pick up between 2 and 4 in the Senate. Unless Trump unleashes Operation Lock Dems Up.

Blogger SamuraiJack September 20, 2018 2:09 PM  

I can't wait to drink their salty tears after the midterms. They jumped the gun on the hate whitey movement and will suffer as a result. Sad!

Blogger Jack Ward September 20, 2018 2:12 PM  

VD This would reduce the Republican majority from 43 seats to 32 seats. Hardly a cause for panic.

I see Republican gains in House and Senate. No lost seats either place in the total of it. I have to stand with the Red wave the next 4 national elections. And, it goes without saying, its not even a decision to stand with Trump and the Plan.

Blogger Daniel Paul Grech Pereira September 20, 2018 2:19 PM  

The more they cry, the more we laugh.

Blogger tuberman September 20, 2018 2:23 PM  

I have agreed all along, NO BLUE WAVE IN NOVEMBER. Heavy gains in senate for R's.

Blogger Nihil Dicit September 20, 2018 2:25 PM  

We've be burdened for decades with RINOs who have conserved nothing and wasted vast amounts of blood and lucre in doing so. Why would anyone on the right become demoralized now? Not just the winning, but the gleeful thought of the likes of AOC acting like a radical tumor in the aged innards of the Democratic party.

Blogger pyrrhus September 20, 2018 2:46 PM  

When it comes to the Media, Disraeli's observation is right on..."there are lies, damned lies, and statistics."

Blogger Unknown September 20, 2018 2:53 PM  

Some on the right have become so accustomed to the MSM setting the terms of the debate that they cannot let go of that as a paradigm.

I have to admit that, as a Gen Xer closer to 50 than 40, I have to actively resist the pessimism and cynicism that 40 years of GOPe respectable loosing has ingrained in me.

All the winning that has happened under GEDJT is, to be frank, a new experience. I've never had a Republican politician like him in my lifetime. I thought Ross Perot was going to be like this in 1992, but then he want off the deep end of bat shit insane.

The GOPe had better take in the fact that people like me LIKE winning, and want to CONTINUE to win, even after GEDJT leaves office, so they had better take on board the lessons being taught to them, because I will NOT stand for going back to loosing gracefully.

Blogger Longtime Lurker September 20, 2018 2:53 PM  

Democrats are going to be super-demoralized after the Senate confirms Kavanaugh.

Blogger tz September 20, 2018 2:55 PM  

The Senate Map is particularly bad for the Democrats - it was Obama's coat-tails in 2012 so they have to defend 2/3s of their seats, many in places like MO, ND, MT and more have Democrats in deep red areas.
This is a problem as the Democrats writ large go crazy so it also becomes for these areas "Do you really want to elect ANY democrat to empower Schumer, Pelosi, and Mad Maxine?".
Heithkamp in ND at least pretends to be conservative and native. Tester in MT had a hunting commercial but he hasn't had a hunting or fishing license in the last 6 years and bought a million dollar mansion in DC.

Beyond that either the Democrats have no clue, or those who do have zero influence or effect. The OCrazyO-Cortez is being hailed as the new Democratic party. I think she is good for GOP +10 seats. Add Mad Maxine continuing to rant, along with Pelosi and Hillary (The RNC should offer to pay off the DNC's debts if the three would actively campaign for the Democrat senators).

Meanwhile, SJWs always project. You see it right now with Kavanaugh. They bring up a last minute bluff, and it has been called - The right isn't playing by any of their scripts - it is now put up or shut up and instead the Democrats just keep moving the goalposts and making the clown show worse. It is that writ large with the Democratic campaigns (A parallel was the cuckservatives insistance on free trade and "nation of immigrants" - think of the perfect National Review platform, but the Democratic equavalent).

They are still "Russia! Russia! Russia!". They are trying to push "Medicare for all", but after the Obamacare lies, no one wants or trusts it even though Health Care is a serious issue, particularly seniors that don't want Medicare ruined by immigrating a bunch of other people into the system. They are still trying to spin immigration but are actually being cautious here. They are also pushing a minimum wage of 15 and Universal Basic Income without explaining how it would be paid for. Also they are trying to push Abortion, and sexism and racism but run into problems with it, especially with Hispanics that are already here legally and don't want Mexico to move in to their neighborhoods, or the record low unemployment for minorities.

They do have a problem with the economy booming, more jobs, more in your pocket from tax cuts. And Trump is still under seige enough to make the case that he needs more Republicans - he is trying to keep his promises but just needs a few more troops.

They are avoiding gun control for now, as well as gay and trans rights, or keeping them a low profile.

So in summary - The Democrats are running on "We're not Trump". The last time I remember that was Gingrich when Clinton was impeached but not convicted - no contract with America, no policy, and the Republicans lost bigtime. 1998 IIRC. Project that kind of campaign onto an unfavorable electoral map and you get a Red Tsunami.

I didn't believe in the blue wave, but I wasn't going to predict anything that far out. By Labor Day it was clear the Democrats were going full batshit crazy and socialist, and were closing off the few places that they could see where it wasn't playing in Peoria. They have religious zeal so can't be told anything. Even by Obama.

The especially great part of the schadenfreude Wednesday will be the MSM and the Democrats flipping between "No one could have seen this" and "It is YOUR fault" where they tear each other apart and have their own civil war. Antifa might start attacking Pelosi and Schumer and other Trademocrats. Think about how well Mousillini was honored by the Italians as they were losing after the Allies invaded Italy. The SJWs will lie, double down, and destroy any remaining rational and sane part of the Democratic Party, including the newly elected. There will be danger to Republicans too, but the new SJW Democrat true believer zealots will want to burn their swamp heretics more than the GOPagans.

Blogger Laramie Hirsch September 20, 2018 2:56 PM  

I will admit, I have had my doubts. In this matter, I've been weak.

Blogger Pierre Truc September 20, 2018 2:57 PM  

Not OT since the topic is losers...

So the story basically comes from the scheduled debate between Douglas Lain and Jordan Peterson. Obviously that debate never happened, Peterson dropped out at the last minute with no explanation.

When he was finally pushed into giving an answer, it basically amounted to “Douglas Lain isn’t famous enough for me” but he still kept on going around saying that no Marxists would debate him.

Being greatly annoyed by this, we decided we’d host a debate between Peterson and a Marxist of a relatable popularity. We eventually ended up securing Richard Wolff who is easily as popular as Peterson and one of the most prominent Marxists in academia and the world.

We had the conference date set and were in the midst of securing funding when we contacted Peterson in order to secure his attendance. We were informed by his agent that he would not be able to attend on the days we had selected due to him being busy. That’s actually not a huge thing, we selected a date in October and this was early July so we could maybe reschedule. We were also informed his minimum speaking fee was 50 thousand dollars.


Ha, ha, ha. REEEE!

Source

Blogger tz September 20, 2018 3:03 PM  

Case in point TheIntercept used to be sane. I've been watching the good journalism of the left with Glenn Greenwald descend into Trump Derangement Dimentia which is accelerating.

The Title of the article/podcast is:

Is Ilhan Omar Donald Trump’s Worst Nightmare?

with the intro:

After decisively beating five other candidates in last month’s primary race to represent Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District, Ilhan Omar is on her way to becoming the first African refugee and hijab-wearing Muslim woman to serve in Congress. She joins Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Rashida Tlaib in a wave of progressive women taking the Democratic Party establishment by storm. Before coming to the U.S., Omar spent four years in a Kenyan refugee camp, having fled the civil war in Somalia. She immigrated to America at the age of 12.

The Transcript will be even better.

Not also the Comments section of Intercept stories usually show no small amount of panic by Democrats that realize the upcoming trainwreck and derailment.

Blogger Damelon Brinn September 20, 2018 3:06 PM  

Razorfist has a new video (The Vast Shitlord Conspiracy) about the MSM's narrative that there's a right-wing youtuber conspiracy to replace them. He makes a good point that that's not even necessary. You don't have to replace the MSM with a right-wing news source; you just have to stop consuming their lies, and pretty quickly common sense and the facts you can see with your own eyes take over.

Blogger Damn Crackers September 20, 2018 3:08 PM  

Make bets with your liberal and/or weak-kneed conservative friends. I won money and good bourbon betting on the God Emperor's election.

Blogger ZhukovG September 20, 2018 3:19 PM  

I predict slight gains for the Republicans in the House and significant gains in the Senate. There will also be a slight risk of Civil War 2.0 starting in the November/December time frame.

Deo Vindice, Ad Victoriam, Ave Imperator Trump!

Blogger Matt Robison September 20, 2018 3:20 PM  

@15

I won a decent amount of cash on Trump's win on PredictIt.org. Easiest way to put some skin in the game when making predictions.

Blogger Sagramore September 20, 2018 3:38 PM  

@1 This is the inherent nature of conservatives too. A lot of people are impatient that Trump and Sessions don't have the FEMA guillotines set up (yet) to deal with the evil. This takes time to do right. Hillary's French-style revolution, however...

What I'm really watching for is results of expiry of the 1982 consent decree from New Jersey about not policing voter fraud.

Blogger Garuna September 20, 2018 3:41 PM  

Republicans will win big in the Senate. That much is certain. And things might be looking good in the House too.

https://twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1042446416025595904

Holy crap. This was one of the absolute must-haves for Ds to take the House. If they can't get this one, they cannot get the house.

REPONSE TO>>>>Donna Shalala is losing to Maria Elvira Salazr by 7 points in a GOP poll or Shalala is only up by 4 w/in the error margin in a Dem poll of a congressional district Hillary won by almost 20. Either way, Miami Dems are in dismay

Blogger Mr.MantraMan September 20, 2018 3:42 PM  

VD is probably right and if so the Ds can blame Bill and Hillary Clinton. The tone and tenor of the Left is what appeals to an overwrought 20 year old white girl.

Even conservatives are having a hard time losing to that.

Blogger Damelon Brinn September 20, 2018 3:47 PM  

It's almost like Americans don't want to be ruled by a party of ugly harpies who remind them of an eighth-grade English teacher who used to give extra homework whenever she was fighting with her boyfriend, plus their freak and minority pets.

Blogger SemiSpook37 September 20, 2018 3:57 PM  

Yeah, I've been bearish on the "Blue Wave" myself. It's a completely different dynamic when you focus resources on a special election where you can get national resources in to pump up a particular candidate (regardless of party) versus spreading yourself out over 435 specific areas that are essentially in play (or at least they should be, in theory).

It just sucks for those of us in certain locations because we have to deal with the same retreads that only got in because they're related to a previous incumbent and/or the constituency has no clue who the candidates are when they step into the booth.

Blogger Stilicho September 20, 2018 3:58 PM  

Gallup's historical party affiliation poll:

Nov 2016 (pre-election) R 27, I 36, D 31

Aug 2018 R 28, I 43, D 27

Good economy, employment high, Trump popular, Dems beclowning themselves to appeal to extreme left, means no blue wave.

Blogger Were-Puppy September 20, 2018 4:01 PM  

The maps floating around after 2016 made it appear to me that the Dems had been destroyed as a national party. Their holdouts being coasts and some big cities.

Maybe that is really true, and these 2018 elections further seal their fate.

Blogger Jackson Peds September 20, 2018 4:02 PM  

https://www.oneangrygamer.net/2018/09/idw-loses-801000-in-third-quarter-with-comic-sales-still-in-the-gutter/69610

Good news, guys!

Blogger SciVo September 20, 2018 4:07 PM  

I'm going to stick with my expectation that Republicans will lose seats in the House but keep their majority, and pick up seats in the Senate. On the variance, I think it is at least as likely that a Red Tide would result in a filibuster-proof supermajority in the Senate as that Democrats will flip the House.

Blogger sysadmn September 20, 2018 4:11 PM  

A smaller majority is a double-edged sword for the fringe elements of a party. While it gives them more leverage, it makes their apostasy more visible, and more consequential. (Looking at you Maine, and Graham, and Rubio). A slightly larger majority diminishes an individual's power, but also their accountability, and gives more leverage to small blocs - 5-10+ allies.

Here's hoping for larger majorities, Congressional leaders who care, and effective Whips.

Blogger elad sputnik September 20, 2018 4:27 PM  

The black pill narrative is insidious in sucking the energy out of people. It's exactly why they rig the polls, the demoralization it causes more than makes up for any complacency it inspires on their side.
When I see people try to apply some arbitrary correction factor to fake polls I think GIGO - Garbage in, Garbage out, if you start with crap data anything you do to it only results in more crap.



Blogger Dirk Manly September 20, 2018 4:32 PM  

@7

That was Mark Twain.

Blogger Stg58/Animal Mother September 20, 2018 4:41 PM  

Shalala vs Salazar is pretty much if Columba Bush ran against Melania for a Congressional seat.

Blogger Stilicho September 20, 2018 4:43 PM  

My prediction is small changes in both houses with GOP retaining majorities, perhaps small gains. 2020 will be the year for big changes in congress.

Blogger Stg58/Animal Mother September 20, 2018 4:49 PM  

I predict total annihilation for all congressional deviants.

Blogger James Dixon September 20, 2018 5:09 PM  

> Even when the economy is not doing well, even when the Democrats are not nominating their most left-wing, most diverse, most unelectable candidates, the average Republican midterm loss is only 11 seats.

I'd heard 15, but that may be both House and Senate seats. And the odds are for the Senate to stay the same or the Republicans to gain one or more seats.

> I won a decent amount of cash on Trump's win on PredictIt.org. Easiest way to put some skin in the game when making predictions.

Agreed. My wife picked up a few dollars on that bet.

Blogger Zapp Brannigan September 20, 2018 5:13 PM  

"...the average Republican midterm loss is only 11 seats."

I don't think this is an "average" midterm election year; Trump and his transformative MAGA policies are an enormous X-factor that makes historical data almost useless. There has been no presidency like Trump's in living memory.

After two years of unbridled shitlib rage, mass protests, and Congressional investigations, I don't think it's an exaggeration to say that failing to win the House is an extinction-level event for the Democrat party. If they can't get enough of their decrepit seat-warmers and fiery, socialist shrikes elected to take the House and strike a blow against LITERALLY HITLER, they're done. I can easily see a scenario where the Democrat party, roiling in recriminations over their failure, splinters along racial and sexual identity lines as VD has predicted.

For that reason, I think the Democrat party will push their candidates harder than they ever have. The good news is that "pushing" to the Dems means unhinged Resistance(!) against Trump, which tends to turn off Independents. However, they will have the advantage of the enthusiasm of all the Progs who are dying to cast a vote against Trump. The question is, how large is this group and how many will show up to vote? Without an answer to this question, I really have no idea what's going to happen in November.

Of course, if Q is right and we're about to get an avalanche of dirt from the FISA application and texts...bring on the red wave.

Blogger Hammerli280 September 20, 2018 5:20 PM  

I don't want a Red Wave. I want a Red Tsunami. I'm a supporter of a two-party system...I just don't want the Democrats to be either party.

Blogger James Dixon September 20, 2018 5:20 PM  

> The question is, how large is this group and how many will show up to vote? Without an answer to this question, I really have no idea what's going to happen in November.

The other question is how effective their vote rigging will be. Q has indicated that's under control. We'll see. If so that will be good for a 2% or more red boost in blue areas.

In other related news, the Missouri Senate race is too close to call: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/mo/missouri_senate_hawley_vs_mccaskill-6280.html

Blogger Hammerli280 September 20, 2018 5:21 PM  

And while I expect the FISA information to be damning, the real punch line doesn't come until someone gets arrested. Hopefully a whole lot of someones.

Blogger campbreeze September 20, 2018 5:28 PM  

Losing 11 seats would reduce their margin to 21, but that is beside your point.

Blogger Salt September 20, 2018 5:43 PM  

I predict great wailing and gnashing of blue teeth on election night. The entertainment should be epic.

Blogger Stg58/Animal Mother September 20, 2018 5:48 PM  

Dread Ilk Watch Party! Party like it's Nov 2016!

Blogger RC September 20, 2018 6:04 PM  

We need to hear from dh before we'll really know.

Blogger VFM #7634 September 20, 2018 6:08 PM  

The Texas Senate and Miami elections suggest to me that a large chunk of Hispanics are switching in mentality and voting patterns from "nonwhite" to "outer-Hajnal white", i.e. hard toward the GOP. My guess by being spurred by the anti-male witch hunt currently attacking Judge Kavanaugh.

Blogger Astrosmith September 20, 2018 6:38 PM  

#40 we're going to need LOTS of bourbon

Blogger Mark Stoval September 20, 2018 6:39 PM  

My biggest fear has been that the Republican voters might get over confident. Every election hinges on voter turnout as we all know.

The Democrats and MSM have worked hard it seems to cure any overconfidence on the part of the Republicans. So there is that.

A red Tidal wave would be a glorious thing.

Blogger Jack September 20, 2018 6:39 PM  

Yep. "White Hispanic" might not mean "white" to white folks but it means something to a lot of them. If you want to consider yourself white, you aren't anti-white.

Blogger Rough Carrigan September 20, 2018 6:45 PM  

Also, imagine Jim Jordan as Speaker of the House of Representatives instead of Paul Rino. Trump's agenda may do better with a smaller Republican plurality.

Blogger Lurker September 20, 2018 6:46 PM  

Momentum is on Trumps side, the demoncraps are being forced to go dormant for awhile, ha!

Blogger Stg58/Animal Mother September 20, 2018 6:50 PM  

Jim Jordan would be outstanding for the country.

Blogger Lovekraft September 20, 2018 7:13 PM  

Waiting for the Ginsberg death watch countdown. That'll make this Kavanaugh confirmation look like a picnic.

Blogger Stg58/Animal Mother September 20, 2018 7:28 PM  

So salty

Blogger Stilicho September 20, 2018 7:33 PM  

Donna Shalala... I remember when that crazy bint was introducing this thing called "PC" at the U of Wisconsin.

Blogger tz September 20, 2018 7:36 PM  

@7 @29
Lies, damn lies, statistics - Twain.
1 death is a tragedy, a million deaths are a statistic - Stalin.

Blogger Ledford Ledford September 20, 2018 7:38 PM  

I've lost whatever feel I ever had for predicting election results, and the publicly available polls are useless.

I fight for my team, the odds be damned. Don't spend energy guessing the final score, push the ball down the field.

Blogger Starboard September 20, 2018 7:55 PM  

40. Stg58: Dread Ilk Watch Party! Party like it's Nov 2016!

Yes, please. That was a blast.

Blogger Taqiyyotomist September 20, 2018 8:06 PM  

Vox, didn't you predict a red wave in Sweden recently?

I love reading your predictions, but it didn't happen, and you admitted it.

You were wrong, and you admitted it. I love that. Humility is a good quality in a man. No gay. Just saying. Norway committed suicide, because Norway hates itself, and its people, and wants to do everything it can to depose and replace its people, if not get them all killed.

We'll see about what Texans think about their people.

I'm pretty cynical at this point, though.

Blogger Lazarus September 20, 2018 8:11 PM  

Hammerli280 wrote:And while I expect the FISA information to be damning, the real punch line doesn't come until someone gets arrested. Hopefully a whole lot of someones.

I doubt anyone of significance will be arrested or even indicted until after the midterms. Politicians use fresh mandates to justify strong actions.

Blogger James Dixon September 20, 2018 8:21 PM  

> We need to hear from dh before we'll really know.

Dh made one fundamental mistake. He believed the polling data. The fact that the polls are completely rigged by the media was something he could never accept. I'm 60 now. I've been following elections since I was 12 or so. The polls have been right exactly once that I can remember in that time: Obama's 2012 election. And that was entirely due to Romney being Obama Lite and voters staying home. Other than that they're routinely understated the Republican performance by something like 5%. Last election was even worse, of course, but they went all out for it.

Blogger Emmett Fitz-Hume September 20, 2018 8:34 PM  

Ledford Ledford wrote:I've lost whatever feel I ever had for predicting election results, and the publicly available polls are useless.

I fight for my team, the odds be damned. Don't spend energy guessing the final score, push the ball down the field.


Amen. Let the Coaches and the Generals and the Dark Lords worry about the other crap.

Worry and Concern are less than useless. If some are so worried the Blue Wave will happen, the only thing you can do is work to make it not happen.

And whining on the Interwebz ain't working to stop the Blue Wave.

Blogger Silly but True September 20, 2018 8:36 PM  

Ginsburg’s nominee will be accused by liberal Jewish women of having engaged in blood libel.

Blogger Dire Badger September 20, 2018 8:52 PM  

If the meduia has succeeded in one thing with this 'blue wave' nonsense, it is in energizing the right wing and ensuring their turnouts at the polls.

It is MUCH harder to steal elections when you have to manufacture much higher numbers.

Blogger 罗臻 September 20, 2018 8:59 PM  

The generic congressional ballot is in Dems favor. GOP usually closes the gap on election day. If the national polls hold today, it looks close to a tossup. Dems need 23 seat pickup and the average of past 4 midterms and current polling lead indicates 23 seats. If Dem wave is like in 2006, they might only pick up 21 seats.

Blogger bob kek mando - ( it is the burden of Women to need to improve the Men around them. it is the burden of Men to need to ignore the Silly Bints ) September 20, 2018 8:59 PM  

i knew Donald Trump would win the popular vote. i was traveling all over the country at the time and, by yard signs, he was as popular as Hillary
...
IN DEMOCRATIC STRONGHOLDS like Pittsburgh.

my only question was if he would win by a large enough margin to overcome the rampant Democrat vote fraud.

the answer turned out to be that he DID win enough places, by enough votes that typical Dem ballot box tricks couldn't salvage the day, although not by a large enough margin to have won an overt majority of official "votes cast" across the country.

Blogger Johnny September 20, 2018 9:04 PM  

I have been anticipating a close race with the Republicans doing the usual, a little better than expected. Unless Trump has an October surprise I expect that to hold.

Blogger James Dixon September 20, 2018 9:35 PM  

> IN DEMOCRATIC STRONGHOLDS like Pittsburgh.

His yard signs outnumbered Hillary signs by at least four to one in the sections of Ohio we drove through.

Blogger pdwalker September 20, 2018 9:41 PM  

To paraphrase, “there are lies, damned lies, and then theirs the main stream media”

Blogger Eagle Elk September 20, 2018 9:46 PM  

@51 Stilicho
Are you a UW grad? I had come back to grad school and gone on when that PC thing started. I used to go up the the ME shops to get stuff done or deliver my work. I went to tell a joke and got shushed.... Guy said Donna had instituted a new policy, we had to be quiet and not speak our feelings. I remember the moment...
Later I moved to a farm SW of Mad City, very near the UW Chancellor's summer home. She and Janet Reno would show up, Mutt and Jeff. The old cheesemaker who lived at the end of the long
driveway had some stories to tell about those two....... thanks for the memory.

God bless.

Blogger tuberman September 20, 2018 9:56 PM  

"To paraphrase, “there are lies, damned lies, and then theirs the main stream media”"

And, worse, there are fake polls. Anybody still believing in these polls has turds for brains. They are wonderful for idiots to use for black pilling.

Blogger Meimou September 20, 2018 10:15 PM  

Unknown
Ross Perot was going to be like this in 1992, but then he want off the deep end of bat shit insane.

You believe in the wtc pancake collapse, so your version of bat shit insane could be anything, but I am curious what Perot supposedly said of did that you thought was cray cray.

Blogger Kentucky Packrat September 20, 2018 10:19 PM  

tz wrote:They are avoiding gun control for now, as well as gay and trans rights, or keeping them a low profile.

We are facing Andy Barr versus Amy McGrath, and Mrs. McGrath couldn't resist bringing up gun control. The problem is the local money's not much, but it's radical. To get federal election money, you have to go coastal, and coastal Democratic money wants clear gun control statements.

I believe that Jim Gray would have won his Senate race had he left off gun control 2 years ago; this year he couldn't beat a near-carpetbagger (Mrs. McGrath is a Kentucky native, but a Covington native) in his home turf.

If Democrats wanted to win Kentucky, they'd have posted a Bashaer Democrat who was pro-gun rights against Barr. All three serious candidates were too liberal for central Kentucky, and it shows.

Blogger Heterodox September 20, 2018 10:41 PM  

The media tries to Jedi mind trick people. It will just brazenly lie to their faces. It's easy for someone who can't lie like that to get sucked in as they can't comprehend the behavior.

Blogger Jack Amok September 20, 2018 11:05 PM  

Unless Trump unleashes Operation Lock Dems Up.

Oh, would be nice to have an Orange Wave.

either the Democrats have no clue, or those who do have zero influence or effect.

Zero influence. I realized the problem Dems were going to have with identity politics back in 2008 when the superdelegates the Dem party had lined up to ensure Hillary got the nomination suddenly abandoned her for Black Obama. As soon as a black candidate was in any way shape a credible nominee, the Dems had to nominate him. Without the 90+% Black vote for Dems, they would be slaughtered not just in the presidential election, but all the down-ticket ones - even down to dogcatcher - as well. So, they had to cater to Obama, no choice.

Same thing now with their commie third worlders and crazy feminists. When you build a coalition based on spoils for identity groups, you eventually need to give them control. If your coalition is based on spoils for self-marginalizing parasites you've spent three generations radicalizing against the majority... Well.

Blogger Damelon Brinn September 20, 2018 11:15 PM  

You could see it in the 2016 Democratic Convention. It was a parade of harridans in pantsuits, sexual deviants, and other designated victim groups. Their prize speaker was a Muslim man with shady connections and a wife who wasn't allowed to speak. It was clear then that no straight white man would have a chance at the D presidential nomination again, but they've almost cleaned them out at lower levels already too.

Blogger Silly but True September 20, 2018 11:18 PM  

My expectations for some type of Trump October surprise are high. Perhaps too high.

Like LANDSAT directed ground-penetrating radar high-def still photos that clearly show a basement at 5037 Connecticut Ave NW, Washington, DC 20008.

Or original copies of Barry Soetoro’s elementary school and college vital records.

Blogger Jack Amok September 20, 2018 11:26 PM  

The only way for the Dems to win this election is a combination of rampant fraud and the Mopin' GOPes demoralizing their base by being their normal useless selves. Don't know about the fraud (hope Q is right), but so far the GOPe are showing, well, maybe not exactly a spine, but some cartilage at least.

Oh, on the Orange Wave front, did you see that the reason for that mysterious closure of the observatory in New Mexico was because of kiddie porn?

Still small fish though. Would love to see Snoozie fry some big fish.

Blogger Weouro September 21, 2018 12:07 AM  

OT: Zippy Catholic has unexpectedly died. I think he shared some readers with Vox, me being one. He was a tech head nerd who did well for himself in the dot com bubble. I know him only from his blog zippycatholic.wordpress.com where he did some savage analysis and takedowns of usury, liberalism and what he called anti-realism. I'm really going to miss him. RIP

Blogger bob kek mando - ( it is the burden of Women to need to improve the Men around them. it is the burden of Men to need to ignore the Silly Bints ) September 21, 2018 12:44 AM  

71. Jack Amok September 20, 2018 11:05 PM
Oh, would be nice to have an Orange Wave.



this. this needs to be a thing.

firstly, because i'm old enough to remember when cucks were still smart enough that they didn't voluntarily adopt the color of Communism and the International Proletariat for themselves.

secondly, to tell the news media to fuck right off. can you imagine? if Fox News were to show Republican victories by coloring the states Orange
...
while the CommiefagNewsNetworks are using red and blue?

well done, Jack.

Blogger Jack Amok September 21, 2018 12:48 AM  

Thanks Bob, but... I meant orange as the color of prison jumpsuits to be stuffing Democrat swampies into on their way to the hoosegow.

Y'know, Republicans increasing their seats in the House, Dems increasing their seats in the Big House.

Blogger GammaCatch September 21, 2018 1:05 AM  

I'm a "believe it when I see it" kind of guy. After the Vegas Atrocity I believe in false flags and coverups 100% in a real time way. I NEVER thought I'd be able to look at an event and be certain that the fiction and history are very real and very Now. After seeing Trump actually fight the left and SEE the Culture change around me, seeing The Right fighting EVEN A LITTLE, I think arrests and some sort of death to The Left and it's members IS POSSIBLE.

Never thought I would see the day. Completely hopeless since 2006 or so and now I'm making more money than ever and I MAY live to see a slice of The Real USA/Western Culture that I, and I bet a few of you, caught a glimpse of in the 80's-90's.

Blogger SciVo September 21, 2018 2:09 AM  

Silly but True wrote:Ginsburg’s nominee will be accused by liberal Jewish women of having engaged in blood libel.

I would find that darkly amusing to watch, as it would introduce the Democrats' base to the blood libel -- their Judeophobic base, which would be inclined to believe it.

Blogger bob kek mando - ( it is the burden of Women to need to improve the Men around them. it is the burden of Men to need to ignore the Silly Bints ) September 21, 2018 2:14 AM  

a - i'm too old. when i think "prisoner", i still think zebra stripes.

b - i'm good with that.

Donnie TinyHands may not be the President America thought we wanted, but he's damn sure the Orange Savior America deserves.

and if our Orange Savior puts RottenHillary in an orange jump suit?

so much the better, so that she can worship him.

Blogger Meng Greenleaf September 21, 2018 3:30 AM  

I have a question: Regarding the DEM attack on Kavanaugh, I read a reference to a tweet from ZH (below):

Whelan tweeted "By one week from today, I expect that Judge Kavanaugh will have been clearly vindicated on this matter. Specifically, I expect that compelling evidence will show his categorical denial to be truthful. There will be no cloud over him."

My question is this: Is a 'categorical denial' in reference to a categorical syllogism? Is the 'to be truthful' in reference to the truth-value of the conclusion? Or are these turns of phrase that have made their way into the language from Americans' of the late 19th century having a fascination with logic? Or something altogether different?

Sorry if this seems out of left-field.

Blogger Resident Moron™ September 21, 2018 4:04 AM  

The open question is, of course, whether more Republicans = better Republicans, as in actual Republican/Conservatives and not RINOs and perverts wearing conservative skinsuits.

It is inevitable eventually, as any reading of history will show, but what's not clear is how much of America - or any of the western nations - will be left before it takes strong enough hold to successfully purge the disease.

My reading is that the Democrats are not Trump's major challenges; it's the cucks in his own party and administration who're his biggest problems.

Gibbets and crows focus the mind, I've heard.

Blogger Jack Amok September 21, 2018 4:20 AM  

Donnie TinyHands may not be the President America thought we wanted, but he's damn sure the Orange Savior America deserves.

I can roll with that. And yeah, zebra stripes, I'm old enough to remember that too.

Blogger Jack Amok September 21, 2018 4:45 AM  

Thing about zebra stripes Bob, the horizontal ones are not at all flattering to someone of Hillary's gravitational disposition.

Blogger SciVo September 21, 2018 6:17 AM  

Unfortunately, Jack, I don't think that would bother her. I mean, she got herself upholstered like a couch for national television. She just ain't right in the head.

Blogger Stilicho September 21, 2018 7:32 AM  

@EagleElk not a UW alum; my girlfriend was in undergrad there at the time.

Blogger Dirk Manly September 21, 2018 7:54 AM  

@76

"Bert isn't gay, not because the writer says so but because he doesn't behave that way, or even verbally react that way, in any of the shows he appeared in."

One of the defining characteristics of gays is that, due to their sexual abuse, they try to insert some sort of sexual joke or double-entendre into EVERY conversation -- whether it fits or not, or turn every physical (not necessarily direct contact) into, at the least, a pantomime of sex. Exceptions do exist -- where there is a script and/or relatively rigid routine to be followed -- such as playing a sport, or acting a part in a play. However, when they aren't on the field, or their character isn't on the stage, they will revert to type.

If Bert was gay, then he would try to turn EVERY encounter with someone into a comment on sex, or into a sexualized situation.

Bert never does any of these things.

Therefore, Bert is not gay.

Blogger Dirk Manly September 21, 2018 8:11 AM  

@76

> @71. Jack Amok
> > Oh, would be nice to have an Orange Wave.
>
> this. this needs to be a thing.
>
> firstly, because i'm old enough to remember when cucks were still smart enough that they didn't voluntarily adopt the color of Communism and the International Proletariat for themselves.


The Republican party didn't pick Red for themselves. In the 2000 election, all of the major (((TV news studios))) decided to switch the visual representation for Republican candidate wins from the traditional blue to red, and the Democratic party candidate wins from red to blue.

I firmly believe that the purpose of this was to put some distance between the Democrats and the visibly-failing-everywhere (((Communist))) regimes around the planet.

And, also to stop a lot of long-used slogans, such as "Better Dead than Red," which, in the wake of the fall and disintegration of the Soviet Union, and Yugoslavia, sounded even more logical, and wise, than ever.

Then (((THEY))) started using the terms "Red State"/"Blue State" in the mass media (both broadcast and print) so much that the terms entered nearly everyone's vocabulary.

For the reasons you cite, I REFUSE to use those terms, because of the symbolism of the colors.


That being said, I think, in the long run, the media screwed up. Every passenger airliner you get on, the seating and decor is white walls with blue seats, and blue trim. If it doesn't need to be bright (to keep the interior from being gloomy), it's blue.
In the 1970's, some companies tried different colors -- and they found that the color you REALLY don't want to use is red. Blue is calming and induces passivity in those who do not have a SPECIFIC duty, where red is agitating, and induces people to act, even without a specific cause. Considering that many people are nervous about going up to 30,000 feet in an aluminum tube, you can understand the reason the airlines have chosen to go with interiors designed so that the passengers spend a LOT of time looking at the color blue.

By now making the Democrats blue, and the Republicans Red, I believe the (((media))) have made a huge blunder. They are inducing passivity in their pawns, the Democratic Party voter base ("Resist!" is nowhere close to "FIGHT the man!". Resistance is passive -- merely failing to act on instructions.

Meanwhile, the Republican base has become more and agitated with every election.

Orange, being very close to Red, would make an appropriate substitute, and REALLY piss of the Left, seeing how they CONSTANTLY refer to Trump as "The orange this" and "the orange that."

Blogger CarpeOro September 21, 2018 11:50 AM  

@89
The MSM screwed up because they forgot why Red had become associated with the Marxists. It was because it is the color of fire/destruction/change/revolt - and that was what 2016 was, a revolt of the commons against the entrenched decadent leadership. Both the Dems and the Republican leadership. There is a reason it is part of the American flag and we aren't done reminding them that the change you get isn't what you expect.

Blogger Snidely Whiplash September 21, 2018 12:17 PM  

Resident Moron™ wrote:The open question is, of course, whether more Republicans = better Republicans, as in actual Republican/Conservatives and not RINOs and perverts wearing conservative skinsuits.


The key is not numbers, it is incentives. The current situation incentivizes bad behavior in GOP Senators. They get to be influential, they get all sorts of praise and attention for betraying their constituents. A larger margin takes that away, and makes it easier to keep the Collinses and Murkowskis in line.

Blogger Rabid Ratel September 21, 2018 1:00 PM  

Dirk Manly wrote:Orange, being very close to Red, would make an appropriate substitute, and REALLY piss of the Left, seeing how they CONSTANTLY refer to Trump as "The orange this" and "the orange that."

So GEOTUS is actually the new Prince of Orange?

Blogger Dirk Manly September 21, 2018 5:50 PM  

"so GEOTUS is actually the new Prince of Orange?"

If it makes the left upset, ridiculously, unintentionally hilarious, and ineffectively angry, then yes, yes he is.

Blogger FidelNaidoo September 23, 2018 6:08 PM  

Vox, Howzit !!!
This is off-topic from this post, but I tried to find the appropriate one, and failed.
South Africa : We had the nukes. We had the ( almost all white army ), the best in Africa. I was in that army. I was also in civilian live, but called up each year, for some warfare.

You say we should never have given the nukes and army up?


Vox, you can judge and hypothesies all you want. And pretend to be in our shoes. I forgive you, because you were not here.


To survive ( because of the rest of the world, and our conscience ), we had to.

Blogger FidelNaidoo September 23, 2018 6:18 PM  

I voted in 1994, in the first democratic elections ever held !!!!! anyway !!! well, it sounded like it.
ANC got in.
Difference : 24 years later, that idiot in the Mercedes that almost drives into my BM at the traffic circle is black, not white, so I don't know language to swear them in...

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