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Friday, September 07, 2018

The existential war

The Saker considers Paul Craig Roberts's argument that Russia is responding too meekly to imperial US aggression:
The US and Russia have been at war for several years now. Yes, this war is roughly 80% informational, 15% economic and only 5% kinetic. But this can change very rapidly. The main reasons for this war are not just the usual mix of grand power rivalries, economic and financial struggles, the desire to control raw materials or strategic geographical locations. These are all present this time too, but the deeper reason for this war is that Russia and the US represent two mutually exclusive civilizational models. Very succinctly, Russia wants a multi-polar world in which each country is free to develop as its people see fit and in which international law regulates relations between nations. The Empire stands, well, for itself, of course. Meaning that it wants a single world hegemony ruled by the AngloZionists. Furthermore, Russia stands for traditional moral and spiritual values whereas the Empire stands for greed, globalism and the destruction of all traditions and moral values. It is pretty self-evident that these two systems cannot coexist. They present existential threats to each other. Russia will either become sovereign or enslaved. The Empire will either control the planet or crumble. Tertium non datur.

The Russians fully understand that, as do the leaders of the transnational AngloZionist Empire. You think that I am exaggerating? Well, see for yourself what Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen had to say on this topic: (emphasis added)

We are witnessing historic changes across the entire threat landscape … The balance of power that has characterized the international system for decades has been corroding. America’s unipolar moment is at risk. Power vacuums are springing up across the globe and are quickly filled by hostile nation-states, terrorists and transnational criminals. They all share a common goal: They want to disrupt our way of life — and many are inciting chaos, instability and violence

Except for the totally hypocritical comment at the end about “chaos, instability and violence” (which are, by far, the biggest US exports), she is spot on. Hence the current tensions.

There is the very real possibility that this war will suddenly become 100% kinetic. The Russians also understand that, and this is why they have been preparing for WWIII for several years now. As I have already stated many times, the US armed forces are in no condition to fight a conventional war against Russia, and the recent Russian advances in military technology have pretty much rendered the US Navy and Air Force more or less useless. The US nuclear triad, however, is still fully functional and is more than sufficient to destroy Russia.

Russia has therefore also dramatically increased her strategic deterrence capabilities and in effect rendered all the US ABM efforts useless. Following the old motto si vis pacem, para bellum, Russia has now developed an entire family of new weapons systems designed to deter the US from any attack (see Andrei Martyanov’s analysis here and my own here). Putin’s plan is quite evident: he hopes that Russia will be able to convince the leaders of the United States that an attack on Russia would be suicidal. Now all Russia can do is try to do everything in her power to avoid such a conflict.
The core problem is that the God-Emperor has not yet been able to defang the aggressive imperialists of the neocon or Pax Americana variety. But the Saker is generally correct, in that Russia's best strategy is to follow China's lead, draw the game out, and wait for the imperialists to implode. Time is on the side of the secondary powers, which is why the imperialists are increasingly agitated despite Trump's obvious lack of genuine enthusiasm for foreign engagements.

UPDATE: This joint Sino-Russian military exercise is almost certainly relevant to the subject:
From September 11-15, Russia's Far East will host Vostok-2018, the largest Russian military exercise since Zapad (West)-1981. According to Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu, this latest exercise will engage some 300,000 Russian troops, over 1,000 aircraft, the Pacific and Northern Fleets, the entire Airborne forces, including 30 aircraft and fixed-wing helicopters, and Mongolian and Chinese troops.

These forces will allegedly exercise in something approaching real combat conditions. Observers have naturally focused on the exercise's size and scope, and on China's participation, but there are also other dimensions.

Clearly Russia is rehearsing a large-scale war. But since Russia is not demobilising in the West against NATO and the Ukraine, Vostok-2018 will likely stress and thus test Russia's steadily developing capability for mobilising the entire panoply of reservists and multiple militaries at its disposal, along with the civil administration.

Furthermore, since all exercises invariably parallel or contain sizable nuclear exercises, and Russia's two nuclear fleets are participating, this represents another example of rehearsing conditions for nuclear operations....

Including Chinese forces means more than signalling a lack of hostile intent or suspicion about Chinese capabilities and objectives, as occurred in Vostok-2010. In conjunction with the growing identity of their foreign policies and impending deliveries of Russia's SU-35 fighter, China's presence here tends to confirm Russian analyst Vasily Kashin's remarks that this exercise points to an open declaration of a Russo-Chinese military alliance. Moscow has previously sought such an alliance and it need not be a formal document such as NATO's Washington Treaty to meet Russo-Chinese requirements for an alliance.

Labels:

95 Comments:

Blogger Sherwood family September 07, 2018 7:52 AM  

The U.S. has been prepping the psychological battle-space for years via its use of media dominance to perpetuate the notion of Russia as a would-be revanchist Soviet state. That Russia is a competitor in the sense of wanting to resist absorption into the Empire is clear but this gets transmogrified by the U.S. media and foreign policy establishment into the idea that Russia wants to take over the world and kill all of us. Seems to be some projection going on there.

Blogger ZhukovG September 07, 2018 7:53 AM  

Very good analysis. I do think that Saker overestimates Russia's technology. However, given that Russia's military is defense oriented, her technology is more than sufficient to blunt an American attack.

Putin is no coward. But he knows that to win, he must simply not lose. Time is on Russia's side as the aptly named Anglo-Zionist Empire is in steep decline.

Putin just needs to avoid a major war for a few more years.

Blogger dumnonia-watchman September 07, 2018 7:53 AM  

Russia has been a key player in destroying America from within for c.100 years. McCarthy was right. Russia is presenting a false front as 'traditional and moral', it is neither. Putin is very pally with the sect of Jews that Kushner belongs to. Slowly but surely, their plan is coming to fruition.

International law will become all that matters in their world, once America has been hobbled via US dollar collapse. Phew, they won't make it much fun for genuine followers of Jehovah, as they seek to turn everyone on the planet to following their master, the father of lies.

Tl:dr Don't trust the Russians, they are our enemy (if one is a Christian). Their church is fake, their desire is to crush the West.

Blogger Sherwood family September 07, 2018 7:59 AM  

Don't trust the Russians. Of course we shouldn't trust them. But that is not the same as saying they want to crush the West. They only want to be free of the West. If they have to crush it to be free of it they will but they know the moment they do that the Chinese will take advantage of their distraction to steal a march on them. So it is better for them to wait while time and decadence do what their military could not.

The Soviets and the Russians are part of an overlapping Venn diagram. While there were plenty of Russian Soviets not all Soviets were Russian and there are plenty of Russians who were not and many more who no longer are Soviets. The Soviet and Russian are not synonyms.

Blogger ZhukovG September 07, 2018 7:59 AM  

@dumnonia-watchman: You are either nuts, or perhaps a Jehovah's Witness. Perhaps I repeat myself.

Blogger English Tom September 07, 2018 8:05 AM  

@ZhukovG

Putin just needs to avoid a major war for a few more years.

I read a book many years ago called: Long Cycles and War by Joshua Goldstein. He quoted one of the hegemonic clash theorists thus:

"Gradually the great powers formed into two hostile camps and the side which had more to lose initiated a war that was considered 'inevitable.'"

Putin would certainly like to delay war. Will he be given that option?

Blogger English Tom September 07, 2018 8:09 AM  

@Dumnonia-watchmen

It is absolutely true that Chabad Lubavich wield an Incredibly disproportionate amount of power in the world. They are the minions of Satan pushing the world to the brink.

Blogger Sherwood family September 07, 2018 8:10 AM  

The Empire has already tried to start the war. The war drums beating in summer and early fall 2016 prior to the election were nothing short of insane. Hillary's team was pushing this as hard as they could. The election of Trump stopped the momentum. Then came the Russian collusion crap which was version 2.0. That is in the process of slowly dying but they are trying to do it with the "gas attacks in muh Syria" thing. The neocons and their enablers want this war so bad they can almost taste it. Why do you think they were so enraged when Trump made nice with Putin?

Blogger pyrrhus September 07, 2018 8:12 AM  

Russia and China are playing essentially the same long game, with the main difference being that China has a superior degree of physical separation from the Anglo-Zionists, and also has hoodwinked the Empire into thinking that ethnic Chinese can be trusted with classified information....When the sovereign debt bubble bursts and the shale oil scam collapses, the realignment will be rapid and dramatic.

Blogger Peaceful Poster September 07, 2018 8:15 AM  

Not sure the GE is up to speed on 4GW, either.

Blogger Sherwood family September 07, 2018 8:18 AM  

To avoid a war with Russia the R's have to hold onto Congress to avoid the impeachment process that would make Donald too tied up with that to stop the machinations elsewhere. If they do then he can focus on purging the snakes. If they don't then he can't purge the snakes and the war gets pushed forward with no one powerful enough to stop it.

Blogger dumnonia-watchman September 07, 2018 8:19 AM  

@Sherwood family, seek out and read the archive of JR NYquist, it will provide a clearer picture of the war that has been waged on the West by Russia. Sadly, their victory is assured now, mathematics guarantees the collapse of the USD.

Blogger Sherwood family September 07, 2018 8:21 AM  

You are conflating Russians and Soviets again. Or are you arguing that Czarist Russia was doing the same thing?

Blogger Gunnar von Cowtown September 07, 2018 8:24 AM  

So with all the emphasis on promoting women, minorities and trannys, does anyone have a reasonable estimate as what percentage of the U.S. armed forces is actually capable of competently waging war?

@3 Looks like someone has a scorching case of the Hasbara.

Blogger Mr.MantraMan September 07, 2018 8:27 AM  

"The West" now that is a joke.

Blogger JACIII September 07, 2018 8:30 AM  

Sherwood family wrote:You are conflating Russians and Soviets again. Or are you arguing that Czarist Russia was doing the same thing?

This x1000. We are just lucky the Russian people do not possess an abiding visceral hatred of Americans after the way we facilitated the looting of their nation after the Cold War.

Blogger Sherwood family September 07, 2018 8:33 AM  

They have much more cause to hate us than we have to hate them. Looting the place in the 90's, betraying them and making them look like liars in Serbia, are only the start. They've been very patient with U.S. stupidity. I think they realize, especially with the election of Trump, that there are a whole bunch of people in the U.S. who do not wish them any harm but there is a crazy faction doing its best to stir up everybody else.

Blogger pyrrhus September 07, 2018 8:35 AM  

Russia and China have been de facto allies for some time, since the last 3 Presidents have thrown away Nixon's brilliant strategy...The joint military exercise merely confirms it.

Blogger Timmy3 September 07, 2018 8:42 AM  

Why even war with Russia when we couldn’t finish the war in Iraq with the uniparty? Obama retreated when he should have stayed when Bush finally gotten Iraq under control with the surge. Russia is still a superpower. The US has no experience fighting one. We will be divided from the start with both sides pretending to care about peace.

Blogger Peaceful Poster September 07, 2018 8:42 AM  

there is a (((crazy faction))) doing its best to stir up everybody else.

Fixed that for ya.

Blogger English Tom September 07, 2018 8:46 AM  

@Pyrrhus

I was under the impression that the SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organisation) formed in 2001, just before the 9/11 attacks, was the structure that gave impetus to the anti Nato/West dynamic now being played out.
Jane's Intelligence Digest in 1999 quoted Chinese officials who foresaw NATO in Asia. The creation of the SCO was a direct response to this threat.
Read the quote I used upthread.

Blogger VFM #7634 September 07, 2018 9:07 AM  

"I think they realize, especially with the election of Trump, that there are a whole bunch of people in the U.S. who do not wish them any harm but there is a crazy faction doing its best to stir up everybody else."

@17 Sherwood
Trump has been extremely effective in separating the sheep from the hate-Russia Democrat/NeverTrump goats.

Blogger Jeff aka Orville September 07, 2018 9:12 AM  

Disappointing, but not surprising that Kirstjen Nielsen is all for a uni-polar (read globalist, read neo-babylonian) world order. When I see her, I can easily picture her in a Nazi BDSM outfit. Everything I've seen of GEOTUS so far indicate he is for a multi-polar world with America in a strong trade position.

Once the purge starts in earnest, I think the globalists will be a minor influence.

Anonymous Anonymous September 07, 2018 9:13 AM  

@pyrrhus:

Shale oil scam? Can you elaborate please?

@16

Worse, we fed and armed the Soviets during the Cold War and for that the Russian people and the people of Eastern Europe SHOULD hate us.

Blogger dumnonia-watchman September 07, 2018 9:23 AM  

@Sherwood family,

>You are conflating Russians and Soviets again. Or are you arguing that Czarist Russia was doing the same thing?

Please re-read my first comment in this thread, it will aid your confusion.

Blogger Johnny September 07, 2018 9:37 AM  

If you want to get to motives between the US and Russia, consider geography. For at least the last hundred years the United States has been a country with no natural enemies of any consequence. Following WWII our initial response was an effort to produce a stable world. And of course a likeable world for us, as we were the dominant global power. Over time that has been corrupted into serving our financial interests. Now it is about the money and we even promote instability on some occasions. We are abroad because we want to be.

Russia has long been an empire holding down lessor populations. Lennon's prison of nations more than a nation. And as they are also right in the middle of the Eurasian continent with numerous potentially dangerous enemies, that situation is unavoidable. Better to be a prison of nations than to be held prisoner by some other nation. As they currently lack the power to be an expanding nation, their goals are essentially defensive. They want to keep what they got and avoid becoming the prisoner of some other nation. Thus by circumstance they are going to be militarists, we are hardly the only potential adversary, and that is not going to change regardless of what we do.

In foreign policy, the unfortunate thing is that we are stirring the pot when we don’t need to be.

Blogger DraveckysHumerus September 07, 2018 9:51 AM  

The US doesn't possess enough conventional munitions to mount a 90's era attack on Iraq. Its precision ordnance was burned on rebels, camels and wedding parties. Washington can trigger a skirmish but the US cannot sustain a war against a developed nation let alone a near peer military.

Blogger Matamoros September 07, 2018 10:04 AM  

1. “Russia wants a multi-polar world in which each country is free to develop as its people see fit and in which international law regulates relations between nations.”

This reminds me an awful lot of, “let’s all be tolerant and love each other; kumbaya” They want a multi-polar world order because the U.S. is the only world super-power. Now if they get their stated wish, do we all sing kumbaya together? No, then they push to the next level, world dominance.

Remember the (((people))) who pushed of all beliefs, getting rid of blasphemy statues, blue laws, etc. - for the wonders for tolerance? These are the same people who are now telling you what to think, how to act, banning “hate speech”, “white privilege”, etc. The same thing happens on the world stage.

2. "“Russia wants a multi-polar world in which each country is free to develop as its people see fit and in which international law regulates relations between nations.”

This reminds me an awful lot of, “let’s all be tolerant and love each other; kumbaya” They want a multi-polar world order because the U.S. is the only world super-power. Now if they get their stated wish, do we all sing kumbaya together? No, then they push to the next level, world dominance.

Remember the (((people))) who pushed of all beliefs, getting rid of blasphemy statues, blue laws, etc. - for the wonders for tolerance? These are the same people who are now telling you what to think, how to act, banning “hate speech”, “white privilege”, etc. The same thing happens on the world stage."

When I was in Vladivostok and the Russian Far East several years ago the Russians were complaining that the Chinese were buying up Siberia. We must not forget that Russia took these areas from China - and the Chinese want them back.

The Soviet Union fought division level battles against the Chinese and their revanchism, threatening to nuke Beijing. Since that time China has used its growing economic muscle to gain control of Siberia, as it is lightly populated, and they want the resources and land for expansion of their lebensraum.

China is Russia’s #1 enemy. Russians regard Putin’s acts as selling out Russia to China to try to regain the “near abroad” in the West. If Russia ever starts a war in the West China will stab her in the back to regain Siberia.

Blogger pnq8787 September 07, 2018 10:17 AM  

If you are a right leaning white man and you are still in the military you should think about getting out. Just imagine if the Dems do managage to impeach Trump. This would be essentially a coup. In that case we all know none of you have the balls to do anything about it so you will just be cannon fodder for the (((Empire's))) soon to be war with Russia and/or China. Don't expect any pity from the right or any flags waving as you march off to your destruction.

Blogger Dirk Manly September 07, 2018 10:25 AM  

@12

(((Russians))) are not Russians. Capishe?

Blogger Crew September 07, 2018 10:37 AM  

Others are also saying that Putin is keeping Russia's options open:

Given that Putin is an opportunist who plays his opponents rather than his country’s weak hand, I’d guess that his grand plan, such as it is, is to keep Russia’s options open.

https://pjmedia.com/instapundit/306846/

Blogger Al Du Clur September 07, 2018 10:40 AM  

Trump doesn't have a passion for war. However, he has a passion for hiring people who have a passion for war, especially for war with Russia and Syria. Trump is a firm believer in hiring people who oppose him and his campaign platform which is why the NYT essay is believable unlike their standard fake news. His cabinet is not much different than if Jeb Bush had won.

So, for the time being, Trump is most likely trying to do fake saber rattling while looking for opportunities to strengthen ties with Russia. The bulk of this staff, most likely, is looking for ways to increase hostilities with Russia and Syria. No way to tell how this will play out but, if Trump goes through impeachment hearings, that may be the opportunity his disloyal staff needs to ratchet up hostilities.

Blogger pyrrhus September 07, 2018 10:46 AM  

@24 Shale oil scam? Can you elaborate please?

Sure. A very large amount of money, upwards of half a trillion, has been lost drilling and finishing shale oil and gas wells that produce for a short period of time, but are highly unprofitable..Wall Street has promoted this in the same way it promoted junk bonds and mortgage backed securities. This temporary boom in production, subsidized by unwitting investors, has held down oil prices. However, both the supply of credulous investors and decent prospects for fracking will be drying up in the next few years, with very negative effects on the US economy....

Blogger Ron Winkleheimer September 07, 2018 10:52 AM  

Very much on topic:

https://www.navytimes.com/off-duty/military-culture/2018/08/30/sailor-by-day-performer-by-night-meet-the-navys-drag-queen-harpy-daniels/

The point is to drive normal people out of the military and populate it with weirdos and perverts. Who will be much less inclined to refuse to shoot their fellow citizens if ordered to do so.

Blogger Snidely Whiplash September 07, 2018 10:54 AM  

Someone needs to climb down from Hubbard's peak.

Blogger pyrrhus September 07, 2018 10:58 AM  

@21 English Tom---
The problems with the inevitability of war theory in the present context is that the US and China are strategically invulnerable to conventional attack, but far too weak to launch an offensive attack, while Russia is at close quarters with NATO and still in a (very successful) nation building phase, and therefore a strictly defensive power. So there can be no conventional war, but Russia has not only the arsenal but the geography to come out on top in a nuclear war...So even the insane (((neocons))) are not going there. Furthermore, Israel would be blown off the map in any nuclear exchange.

Blogger English Tom September 07, 2018 11:00 AM  

@Matamoros

The Russians (rightly) fear the Chinese turning on them. However at this moment their perceived greatest threat comes from the West, hence their alliance. After the US/West gets ejected from Asia is the likely time for China to assert dominance over Siberia.

Blogger pyrrhus September 07, 2018 11:04 AM  

@34 "The point is to drive normal people out of the military and populate it with weirdos and perverts. Who will be much less inclined to refuse to shoot their fellow citizens if ordered to do so."

True, the problem being that the diversity has proven more likely to collide with other ships or not show up for duty than do any fighting. They didn't call recruiting idiots 'McNamara's Folly' for nothing...

Blogger RobertT September 07, 2018 11:08 AM  

Russia's preferences are more American than American preferences. We all know how that happened. Keep trucking, Q.

Blogger Johnny September 07, 2018 11:10 AM  

Al Du Clur wrote:The bulk of this staff, most likely, is looking for ways to increase hostilities with Russia and Syria.

Keep in mind Trump came into Washington as an outsider and had to draw, mostly, on the existing population. Not too surprising that his appointments aren't the best. That is the downside of having to hit the ground running when you are not a part of the establishment.

Blogger Ron Winkleheimer September 07, 2018 11:14 AM  

the problem being that the diversity has proven more likely to collide with other ships or not show up for duty than do any fighting

Agreed. Notice that the tranny is some kind of "Administrative Supervisor." But a little thing like reality isn't going to influence a SJWs thinking.

Anonymous Anonymous September 07, 2018 11:21 AM  

@33

Thanks. That sounds horribly familiar.

Blogger Snidely Whiplash September 07, 2018 11:22 AM  

pyrrhus wrote:So even the insane (((neocons))) are not going there. Furthermore, Israel would be blown off the map in any nuclear exchange.
You say that seeking a nuclear exchange is too insane even for neocons, but all available evidence points to the opposite conclusion.

Blogger Dad29 September 07, 2018 11:23 AM  

Shakespeare taught us that "Black" and "White" comparisons, such as what Saker gives us with Russia being pure and the US being filthy, are not to be swallowed whole.

Blogger Matamoros September 07, 2018 11:29 AM  

@37 English Tom: "After the US/West gets ejected from Asia is the likely time for China to assert dominance over Siberia."

At that point, theoretically Russia would be stronger and less likely to acquiesce. China will play on Russia's weakness, demographically, economically and territorially, to expand Chinese influence as much as possible using its Panda face, before seizing what has become Chinese due to Chinese population and ownership of the areas with its Dragon face. China is playing the long game against all European power (US and Russia included).

Blogger English Tom September 07, 2018 11:29 AM  

@Snidely

Re: possibility of a nuclear exchange.

You make a good observation. Imagine how easier it will be to usher in a one world government after a limited nuclear exchange takes place. After all, a world government with a world army would prevent any such 're occurrence!

Blogger Crew September 07, 2018 11:31 AM  

However, both the supply of credulous investors and decent prospects for fracking will be drying up in the next few years, with very negative effects on the US economy...

A bold prediction. Would you say by 2021/2?

Blogger English Tom September 07, 2018 11:35 AM  

@Matamoros

Concur with China playing the long game. I think we will be seeing a return to balance of power politics in Eurasia, primarily between Russia, China, India.
As the great American genius Fran Herbert informs us: in politics the tripod is the most unstable of structures.

Interesting times lie ahead.

Blogger LRN_News September 07, 2018 11:44 AM  

This comment has been removed by the author.

Blogger dumnonia-watchman September 07, 2018 11:47 AM  

@30,

Yes, I do get that. It all boils down to satan versus Jehovah, with mankind stuck in the middle, and satan will use his proxies to attempt to destroy us all. A world with America hobbled, and Russian/Chinese supremacy is part of his plan, so I take everything about Putin's Russia with a bucket of salt.

Blogger pyrrhus September 07, 2018 11:48 AM  

@43 While there may be no limits to the insanity of (((neocons))), I doubt they would sacrifice Israel...The other reassuring factor is that apparently nuclear fire orders have been given a couple of times to US and Russian forces, and they have been disobeyed every time...

Blogger Snidely Whiplash September 07, 2018 11:50 AM  

LRN_News wrote:Putin is not the monster he is portrayed to be of course but he's definitely not a saint either. I do not trust the Russians, no more than I trust the Chinese.
Putin is not a monster.
Putin is not a saint.
Putin is a Russian. While a tautology, it actually means quite a lot. Get to know some Russians, and you will see that Putin is typical.

Blogger LRN_News September 07, 2018 11:50 AM  


I used to follow the Russian narrative closely, I used to genuinely believe them. CrossTalk on RT was my favorite show.
Once they started talking about "White Supremacy" And how the widespread gun violence in America is due to their war-like historically violent culture. Inconceivably mendacious nonsense, Fox News level cringe.
Putin is not the monster he is portrayed to be, of course, but he's definitely not a saint either. I do not trust the Russians, no more than I trust the Chinese.
I do not really believe in Russian Aggression in Eastern Europe nor do I believe Russia is behind the Nationalist uprising in Europe, I think rapid demographic change is.
Russia is simply not in a position to be aggressive towards the west. Russia has what? Two foreign military bases while the US has military presence all over the planet.

Blogger Snidely Whiplash September 07, 2018 11:52 AM  

dumnonia-watchman wrote:A world with America hobbled, and Russian/Chinese supremacy is part of his plan, so I take everything about Putin's Russia with a bucket of salt.
Yeah, the 1910s called. They want their apocalyptic fanfic back.

pyrrhus wrote:While there may be no limits to the insanity of (((neocons))), I doubt they would sacrifice Israel.
You neglect the arrogance of the neocon. They think they can maintain control.

Blogger pyrrhus September 07, 2018 11:55 AM  

@47 "A bold prediction. Would you say by 2021/2?"

I would say within 5 years, if there isn't a major financial collapse earlier...

Blogger DraveckysHumerus September 07, 2018 12:01 PM  

@51 pyrrhus

Do you have a citation that a weapons officer has ever disobeyed an authenticated command to release a nuclear device? I ask because both sides have procedures in place that address such mutinies by enabling several remote officers to override any refusal and launch. Many US nuclear weapons can all be fired by the President and his command authority directly.

Hiroshima. Nagasaki. You may wish to reconsider your statement.

Blogger Crew September 07, 2018 12:07 PM  

Meanwhile, the perfect "Believe in something" meme has been found!

https://files.gab.ai/image/5b926268440f8.jpeg

Blogger Crush Limbraw September 07, 2018 12:13 PM  

Re/Shale oil scam - I found several articles by Kunstler in my library - https://crushlimbraw.blogspot.com/search?q=kunstler++shale&max-results=20&by-date=true - "The shale oil “miracle” was a stunt enabled by supernaturally low interest rates, i.e. Federal Reserve policy."
Panacea to poof!

Blogger Tars Tarkusz September 07, 2018 12:52 PM  

@58 I would be careful citing Kunstler about anything. Though the shale industry, as a whole has had 'negative cash flow' for quite a while, Kunstler has unshakable faith that the US is going to look like 18th century Europe and America any day now. He's kind of a goofy guy. He is a flaming liberal besides.

Blogger Triumph of Rome September 07, 2018 1:05 PM  

>the Russian church is fake

Begone, shill.

Blogger Snidely Whiplash September 07, 2018 1:08 PM  

Triumph of Rome wrote:>the Russian church is fake

Begone, shill.

He's some sort of Millerite. They think every church is fake, that's why they avoid the word.

Blogger Matamoros September 07, 2018 1:17 PM  

@48 English Tom - "primarily between Russia, China, India."

Friends tell me that is why India is being built up, to become the bulwark against China. Similar population numbers, cheap labor, large army and navy, and pretensions.

That is also why China is funding Moslem India, i.e., Pakistan.

@53

We will see how intent Russia is in moving West. If she takes over Belarus then you know a major effort by Russia to retake the Baltics and Ukraine will soon happen - perhaps by pushing deep into Europe first.

@60 "the Russian church is fake"

Without going into any religious arguments you may wish to read:

Moscow Patriarchate created by NKVD agents, according to SBU documents

https://risu.org.ua/en/index/all_news/culture/history/69345/

Blogger Patrick Kelly September 07, 2018 1:38 PM  

"Moscow Patriarchate *created* by NKVD agents, according to SBU documents"

The NKVD has been around since the 1600s? Who knew?

Blogger Frank Brady September 07, 2018 1:53 PM  

None of the people driving Donald Trump's foreign policy have done (or are capable of doing) the analyses performed by you, The Saker, and a few others. This is NOT a good thing.

Blogger Snidely Whiplash September 07, 2018 2:09 PM  

Frank Brady wrote:None of the people driving Donald Trump's foreign policy have done (or are capable of doing) the analyses performed by you, The Saker, and a few others.
That is a remarkably stupid thing to say.

Blogger Crew September 07, 2018 2:10 PM  

@63: According to https://infogalactic.com/info/Russian_Orthodox_Church, 1448 or earlier.

Blogger Unknown September 07, 2018 2:22 PM  

@41

That thing is a Yeoman, which is Navyspeak for secretary. They route and keep track of official correspondence, write same, and generally keep the paperwork that every military runs on flowing smoothly. As a third class his "supervisor" title is mostly for show; he might have one or two people working with him, but he is not supervising much of anything, or any one.

He's also a squadron puke, so as soon as the carrier gets back home, he leaves with the rest of the squadron and goes back to the squadron's home base.

Blogger Frank Brady September 07, 2018 2:23 PM  

Snidely Whiplash wrote:Frank Brady wrote:None of the people driving Donald Trump's foreign policy have done (or are capable of doing) the analyses performed by you, The Saker, and a few others.

That is a remarkably stupid thing to say.


I bow before your extensive experience in remarkably stupid things to say.

Blogger Crush Limbraw September 07, 2018 2:56 PM  

Read the articles, Tars - if he's a lib, his eyes are open.

Blogger Nikephoros II Phokas September 07, 2018 3:14 PM  

"According to https://infogalactic.com/info/Russian_Orthodox_Church, 1448 or earlier."

Read the part where the Moscow Patriarchate was abolished by Peter the Great and not restored until right after the October Revolution.

Blogger Patrick Kelly September 07, 2018 3:17 PM  

"According to https://infogalactic.com/info/Russian_Orthodox_Church, 1448 or earlier."

Yes, but the original patriarchate was in Kiev, not Moscow. Was not moved and recognized by the four other patriarchs as one of the five honorable Patriarchates until later, 1589 according to the current "Russian Orthodox Church" page at Infogalactic.

Blogger Dirk Manly September 07, 2018 3:41 PM  

The Russian Orthodox Church was started by some priests from the Greek Orthodox Church (Cyril, who came up with the cyrillic alphabet so that there would be a written form of Russian to write the Bible in, and some other guy whose name escapes me... Gregory???). Other than language, they are practically interchangeable.

Blogger Patrick Kelly September 07, 2018 4:48 PM  

"and some other guy whose name escapes me..."

Methodius

CyrilAndMethodiusInfogalactic

Blogger Patrick Kelly September 07, 2018 5:03 PM  

"where the Moscow Patriarchate was abolished by Peter the Great and not restored until right after the October Revolution."

Neither Peter nor the Bolsheviks/Soviets had authority to abolish or restore anything.

The Moscow Patriarch is now recognized by the other Eastern Orthodox Patriarchs.

Current political activities re: Constantinople hints at recognition of autocephaly for the Orthodox Church in Ukraine could bring about troubling changes and possibly schism.

My fear is the Patriarchy of Constantinople is under heavy influence by the EU and Nato who are using them to draw Ukraine further into their sphere as a thorn in Moscow's side. I hope I'm wrong.

Blogger Nikephoros II Phokas September 07, 2018 5:15 PM  

"Neither Peter nor the Bolsheviks/Soviets had authority to abolish or restore anything."

There was no Patriarch in Moscow between those two events.

You can rationalize that however you want.

Blogger Patrick Kelly September 07, 2018 5:29 PM  

Whatever it is you think I'm rationalizing, this is still true:

The Moscow Patriarch is now recognized by the other Eastern Orthodox Patriarchs.



Blogger Frank Brady September 07, 2018 5:46 PM  

Snidely Whiplash wrote:Frank Brady wrote:None of the people driving Donald Trump's foreign policy have done (or are capable of doing) the analyses performed by you, The Saker, and a few others.

That is a remarkably stupid thing to say.


Is that comment a case of mistaken "friendly fire" at a same-side target or are you just being snide for the sake of snideness?

Blogger Nikephoros II Phokas September 07, 2018 5:47 PM  

I never denied that.

I simply pointed out that your start date for the Patriarchate left out the almost 200 year gap that ended in 1917.

You then seemed to deny this basic fact.

That the Soviets controlled the ROC during their reign is not even a particularly controversial statement, though you're right that they didn't literally create the first iteration of the position.

Blogger Didas Kalos September 07, 2018 5:53 PM  

Pay no attention to the (((man))) behind the curtain.

Blogger Didas Kalos September 07, 2018 5:53 PM  

You should go teach him.

Blogger Didas Kalos September 07, 2018 5:54 PM  

Yes

Blogger Patrick Kelly September 07, 2018 5:54 PM  

I recognize the 200 year gap.

I was reacting to what I perceived as a claim that the Moscow Patriarchate never existed until it was created by NKVD agents.

Please forgive me for unnecessary and unprofitable comments.

Blogger Didas Kalos September 07, 2018 5:55 PM  

(((we))) sure did

Blogger Didas Kalos September 07, 2018 5:57 PM  

Now that is something to think about. ;)

Blogger Snidely Whiplash September 07, 2018 6:34 PM  

Frank Brady wrote:Is that comment a case of mistaken "friendly fire" at a same-side target or are you just being snide for the sake of snideness?
The idea that nobody in the Administration is capable of doing the analysis performed by The Saker and P. C. Roberts is simply ludicrous. And Vox hasn't actually done any analysis, he's just pointed at other people doing the analysis.

You and I have literally no idea what analysis has been done inside the Executive Branch on these matters. They could take the same information and come to a different conclusion. They certainly have a lot of information you and I and the Saker have no access to.

They could be, and I think they are, playing a game with the Neo-cons, to try to neutralize them. Remember, the Neocon's have probably a plurality in Congress. That is a very dangerous situation.

If Trump were to come out today firmly against incinerating D.C in a nuclear fireball, at least 25% of Congress would denounce him and demand immediate annihilation. That's how deranged they are.

The administration has to negotiate those waters, and the best way to do it safely is to play double bluff and hold the cards very close to the vest.

But the idea that nobody in the administration is capable of doing the analysis because they haven't publicly announced the same results The Saker got is remarkably stupid.

Blogger Nikephoros II Phokas September 07, 2018 6:57 PM  

No worries, Patrick Kelly.

Blogger Doktor Jeep September 07, 2018 7:17 PM  

This much can be said about slavs compared to anglos: the latter had an empire, the former seldom ruled and exploited outside of their own regions. Surely the slavic ethnicity may have seen changes over time: Huns, Genghis Khan, Romans, etc. But we can deride slavs for never having had a great empire like the anglos, right?

Notice that slavs have been around a very long time? Notice that the core of their motherlands is still mainly slavic, yet how is London looking lately?
Heck they even survived communism.

So this is no new Russian strategy. It's a very old one actually. A lot of Russian martial arts I learned has been about being able to absorb and withstand abuse from an opponent while waiting for him to get tired and let him think I'm the one out of energy. There's a lot to learn from that. And about the Russian/slavic mind.
Were I tasked for a bet, the Russian and most balkan slavs will be around long after Americans, as we know them/us, are gone.

Blogger Lovekraft September 07, 2018 8:05 PM  

Like many here who hold the U.S. in high regard as a concept, it is becoming painfully obvious that the nation is possessed by an evil entity or spirit and requires a solid purging/return to its core values.

Layers upon layers of freedoms and rights have created a slurry of dysfunctional and corrosive entities.

Over-medicated and under-employed.

Blogger Ominous Cowherd September 07, 2018 8:58 PM  

"If Trump were to come out today firmly against incinerating D.C in a nuclear fireball, at least 25% of Congress would denounce him and demand immediate annihilation. That's how deranged they are.

I would join the crazies in calling for their immediate annihilation. Extra points if we can arrange an international bankers conference in DC that day.

Blogger Unknown September 07, 2018 9:06 PM  

"Russian advances in military technology have pretty much rendered the US Navy and Air Force more or less useless." - Oh you believe in nuclear powered cartoon rockets?

Blogger Dirk Manly September 08, 2018 8:12 AM  

@87

"So this is no new Russian strategy. It's a very old one actually. A lot of Russian martial arts I learned has been about being able to absorb and withstand abuse from an opponent while waiting for him to get tired and let him think I'm the one out of energy. There's a lot to learn from that. And about the Russian/slavic mind. "


As in the saying, "It's good that our rulers are harsh with us, because we know that they will be cruel to our enemies."

Blogger Avalanche September 08, 2018 9:58 AM  

@10 "Not sure the GE is up to speed on 4GW, either."

Hey, we could make Bill Lind and Castalia House happy by buying and sending to the White House 6-gorillion copies of his book? Maybe one copy could reach our God Emperor -- but at the least, OTHER folks and advisors there might read it?

Blogger Avalanche September 08, 2018 10:16 AM  

@89 "I would join the crazies in calling for their immediate annihilation. Extra points if we can arrange an international bankers conference in DC that day."

Throw in a concurrent million-antifa/SJW/prog march at the Rotunda and: SOLD! Where do we donate?

Blogger Frank Brady September 08, 2018 1:08 PM  

Snidely Whiplash wrote, "
The idea that nobody in the Administration is capable of doing the analysis performed by The Saker and P. C. Roberts is simply ludicrous.
---------------------

Snidely, That is not what I said, I said that the people driving Trump's foreign policy (that is Bolton, Haley, etc.) are incapable of doing it and they are not. Big difference.

Blogger Rez Zircon September 08, 2018 2:23 PM  

Having become a bit suspicious of the Saker, I went looking, and... hmm.

http://cirilizovano.blogspot.com/2015/11/who-is-saker.html

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article39964.htm

A few other comments:
https://www.quora.com/Who-is-behind-the-blog-The-Vineyard-of-the-Saker

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