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Friday, October 19, 2018

Backing down on the "Blue Wave"

The media knows they've failed to successfully push their false narrative about a big Democratic voting wave next month, so the pollsters are already backing away from their predictions in order to avoid looking foolish again:
Independent analysts have recently downgraded the number of seats Democrats are expected to flip. Two weeks ago, Cook Political Report’s David Wasserman predicted Democrats could pick up 30 to 40 seats; now he puts the range at 25 to 35. Wasserman estimated that Republicans have a 30 percent chance of keeping the majority.
By November 4th, that prediction will be 5-10 seats.

Labels: ,

93 Comments:

Blogger Matt Sellitto October 19, 2018 1:03 PM  

All the actual results from early voting show the mythical blue wave is no where to be found:
https://bigleaguepolitics.com/republicans-surging-in-key-metrics-in-house-and-senate/

Blogger Nate October 19, 2018 1:05 PM  

Watch. Election Night is going to be even more fun than it was 2016... because this time... the complete and total failure of The Resistance will be on full display.

Blogger Dane Parker October 19, 2018 1:06 PM  

Part of me is surprised they don't keep doubling down—it's been good for energizing the GOP base if nothing else (and entertainment, in the laughing-at-you sort of way). But ultimately there are so many thrashings one can take before hitting the breaking point.

Blogger veryfunnyminion October 19, 2018 1:07 PM  

This isn`t the blue wave you're looking for.

Move along.

Blogger veryfunnyminion October 19, 2018 1:08 PM  

And dammit I couldn't bet on this cause of my jurisdiction.

Hmmm, that's maybe the alternative source of funding for Alt-Hero: Q that Vox is keeping under wraps.

Blogger veryfunnyminion October 19, 2018 1:11 PM  

Actually, that would be beyond hilarious: Funding for Alt-Hero: Q was provided by all the libtards betting on a blue wave.

That would be a tsunami of salty tears.

Blogger Xiety October 19, 2018 1:13 PM  

"Independent analysts."

Blogger Dave October 19, 2018 1:14 PM  

There's Alt-Funding for Alt-Hero: Q?

Blogger Zach October 19, 2018 1:15 PM  

2016's explanation was "Russian hackers."

I see "voter suppression" already being floated as the explanation for 2018.

Blogger Long Live the West October 19, 2018 1:15 PM  

I'm getting more and more excited for the possibility of 60+ R-Senate seats and an R majority in the House.

Blogger Long Live the West October 19, 2018 1:17 PM  

Zach wrote:2016's explanation was "Russian hackers."

I see "voter suppression" already being floated as the explanation for 2018.


They was intimidated by the evil nazis. They was called robots by the nazis. They was so intimidated by the most evil people in the world that they didn't get out and vote to remove them.

Blogger Midwestern Dad October 19, 2018 1:20 PM  

Its going to be great. Like back in 2010, when the Rs dominated the congressional elections. Tim Wise had a complete and utter breakdown. He even went after his own allies for a while. It was blissful to reread his triggered blog post a dozen times at least, along with the comments of his now-alienated black former supporters.
Of course, that doesn’t compare to the 2016 YouTube freak outs, yet this year will be even better, because they will start to feel utterly hopeless. They deserve it. It’s justice.
There are going to be dozens of excellent videos of wailing and gnashing of teeth, hysterics, and pure stupidity, in all their glory. We won’t have to think about entertainment for a while afterwards.

Blogger CarpeOro October 19, 2018 1:23 PM  

@9
The suppression of the dead vote will be a huuuuge concern for the Dems. Unlife Maters!

Blogger Dave October 19, 2018 1:34 PM  

I'm getting more and more excited for the possibility of 60+ R-Senate seats

Yeahhhh, not gonna happen.

Blogger Salt October 19, 2018 1:38 PM  

The Dems hope the 4000+ Honduran voting block en route from Honduras will get here in time.

Blogger lowercaseb October 19, 2018 1:47 PM  

Zach wrote:
I see "voter suppression" already being floated as the explanation for 2018.


Yep...Voter suppression caused by closing the border.

Blogger Matt Sellitto October 19, 2018 1:52 PM  

"The Dems hope the 4000+ Honduran voting block en route from Honduras will get here in time. "

Too late, not gonna happen:
https://nypost.com/2018/10/19/migrant-caravan-heading-for-us-turns-around-in-mexico/?utm_source=twitter_sitebuttons&utm_medium=site%20buttons&utm_campaign=site%20buttons

Blogger dh October 19, 2018 1:54 PM  

This is sort of the age old question. Do pollsters change their polls, or do people become more and more decided as the election comes closer.

I think we haven't really progressed from this basic question over the years.

There is a lot of data that suggests that people make their minds up as the election gets closer - meaning that the side with the most "intense" feelings looks stronger further out, and the side with the most predictable voters gets stronger the closer election gets.

But not much of this really holds true reliably during mid-term elections where it's skewed heavily towards motivated voters.

Blogger Hammerli280 October 19, 2018 1:56 PM  

I fear that what's going to happen is a reverse of the current situation. The GOP will retain control of the House, but the margin will be paper-thin. Senate control will be increased.

The problem being that the thinner the margin of control, the harder it is to get anything passed. In the last two years, a lot of reforms have been passed by the House, but died in the Senate. I suspect the next two years will be the reverse.

Blogger Blaidd October 19, 2018 1:56 PM  

They've been claiming voter suppression and gerrymandering in my state since Republicans took the state legislature and governorship in 2012. The lawsuits funded by Soros proxies have yet to be resolved and you can bet that'll be the battle cry when they lose next month.

Blogger Damelon Brinn October 19, 2018 1:59 PM  

Yep. They started switching this week from a confidence-based narrative to a fear-based one. They're also saying Mueller will release his findings after the midterms, trying to get Democrats to the polls on the theory that they need a majority in Congress so they can push impeachment as soon as they have the goods, or at least prevent Trump from shutting him down. They're panicking. Their own polling numbers must be terrible.

Blogger pyrrhus October 19, 2018 2:03 PM  

PredictIt was at 66% for the House, last I looked, so the pollsters know they can't get too far from that number.

Blogger VFM #7191 October 19, 2018 2:10 PM  

My prediction is the GOP holds the House but just barely. Worst case scenario is the Democrats win a majority but only by a few seats. There will be a number of races that will be too close to call and won't be decided until the next day or after some kind of drawn out recount process.

Either way there's going to be a lot of House gridlock for the next couple of years.

Blogger pyrrhus October 19, 2018 2:11 PM  

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-18/texas-democrats-caught-mailing-pre-filled-voter-registrations-non-citizens

Blogger Damelon Brinn October 19, 2018 2:13 PM  

In 2016, we watched the left go from smug to devastated in one evening. That was awesome, but this time we get to watch the same process in slow motion over *weeks*.

Blogger Stg58/Animal Mother October 19, 2018 2:15 PM  

Only three things will happen to the Democrats in November:

CRUSH YOUR ENEMIES
SEE THEM DRIVEN BEFORE YOU
HEAR THE LAMENTATIONS OF THE WOMEN

Blogger Mr.MantraMan October 19, 2018 2:15 PM  

People are just rushing out to vote for crazy white women, and Trump is keeping the crazy white women standing in the political ring wailing at the top of their lungs.

I wouldn't doubt that Trump somehow keeps crazy white women to the fore of the political theatre even as the Left tries to get hispanics ginned up with Caravan of Thieves gambit.

Blogger Didas Kalos October 19, 2018 2:17 PM  

Disappointment? https://www.politico.com/story/2018/10/19/mueller-investigation-findings-914754

Blogger Blaidd October 19, 2018 2:20 PM  

@dh

Most studies show that people don't change their minds about which party they vote for, even the "undecideds" and "independents" consistently break for the same party year after year. What does change is how many of each group shows up on voting day.

As for the pollsters, they're usually leftists so they weaponize the polling to discourage the right from bothering to vote. They have to balance that with maintaining credibility. They exploit the short memory of the public by showing big gaps early for maximum demotivation and then slowly bring it closer in line with real expectations as the election gets closer.

Blogger Jackson Peds October 19, 2018 2:24 PM  

@26

"Trannies"

Blogger Garuna October 19, 2018 2:26 PM  

Larry Schweikart does a fantastic job analyzing the individual races and trends in states. Republicans are guaranteed to expand their majority in the Senate and could very well keep the House. His analysis of absentee returns since the Kavanaugh bump.

"In all but CA, all these are showing Rs tracking FAR ahead of 2014, ahead of 16, and Ds falling badly behind."

https://twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1053339489311977477

Blogger Theproductofafineeduction October 19, 2018 2:34 PM  

@18.

Well some initial good news for the GOP. Republican are ahead of ballot requests and returns for relative to 2014 and 2016 whereas the democrats are lagging behind their numbers. As an example Republicans have a 5,000 early ballot return lead over the democrats (and typically republicans do better on actual election day for turn out). Republicans have a 13,000 early ballot return lead in Arizona with 204,000 ballots in. In Florida in 2016 republicans lead by 5,833 in absentee ballots over the democrats at this time. Right now they lead by 43,098 ballots over the democrats and the republicans have 36,168 more early ballots turned in this year than in 2016 whereas the democrats have almost 2,000 fewer. In North Carolina, in 2016, the democrats had 87,000 early ballot returns relative republican returns of 40,000. Right now it's 57,000 democratic ballot returns to 40,000 republican.

The fact that republicans are seeing absentee returns above 2016 bodes and democrats failing to see the same bodes very ill for the democrats in these states.

Blogger Theproductofafineeduction October 19, 2018 2:34 PM  

@31 Damn Garuna you beat me too it

Blogger Don't Call Me Len October 19, 2018 2:39 PM  

The left can't take a joke, can't meme, and now it appears their hashtags are for crap. Just goes to show ya how far some people can get on single-minded butthurt and over-emotional warbling.

Blogger James Dixon October 19, 2018 2:40 PM  

> This is sort of the age old question. Do pollsters change their polls, or do people become more and more decided as the election comes closer.

Embrace the power of and, dh. The fact that people make up their minds or change them as the election nears doesn't exclude the MSM using the polls for propaganda purposes.

Blogger Nate October 19, 2018 2:43 PM  

"This is sort of the age old question. Do pollsters change their polls, or do people become more and more decided as the election comes closer."

in off year elections voter enthusiasm is useless. People say they are super excited... then they don't vote.

This is especially the case for the Blue Team.

Blogger Dave October 19, 2018 2:45 PM  

"The Dems hope the 4000+ Honduran voting block en route from Honduras will get here in time. "

Too late, not gonna happen:


The Dems already signed these Real Americans up for absentee ballots, yep, even the children. IDs? We don't need no steenkin' IDs!

Blogger Lazarus October 19, 2018 2:56 PM  

This guy examines ballot REQUESTS and ballot RETURNS BY PARTY, to avoid pitfalls of polling:



Larry Schweikart
‏ @LarrySchweikart

Blogger Daniel October 19, 2018 2:58 PM  

Polls are the Jordan Peterson of statistics.

Blogger tz October 19, 2018 3:01 PM  

I just heard on Rush there was a statistic where after the 2016 election they polled people and 37% of Trump voters said they lied to pollsters who called them.

Include the D+8 (polling more Democrats than Republican) bias, I won't be suprised at a red tsunami.

I'm actually more optimistic than Vin, but he gives a great analysis.

Especially after Trump's well arranged sunset in big sky country rally. Tester isn't just toast, he's going to be cremated.

There were Yuge lines yesterday, but realize that out here the population density is so low that many had to drive several hours just to get to Missoula.

The population of Missoula itself is about 66,000. Now it is a liberal college town, but most of the people are still Republicans. I don't quite know the exact totals, but over 12,000 maybe? Maybe much more. And they are going to vote and get out the vote.

I think Tester made it personal with Trump when he trashed Ronny Jackson for the VA (White House Physician - basically calling him a Pusher - under Obama!) and he withdrew from the nomination.

Oh, and Trump won Montana by 20 points. Three rallies? Aside that he and his family love Montana, I think he wants to destroy Tester.

Blogger Desdichado October 19, 2018 3:01 PM  

Schumer thinks that they're neck and neck on the Senate! Of course, these idiots are so delusional that Joe Scarborough thinks Trump won't run again in 2020, because he doesn't think he ever wanted to be President anyway and didn't think he'd win in the first place.

Blogger Mocheirge October 19, 2018 3:06 PM  

Nate wrote:"This is sort of the age old question. Do pollsters change their polls, or do people become more and more decided as the election comes closer."

in off year elections voter enthusiasm is useless. People say they are super excited... then they don't vote.

This is especially the case for the Blue Team.



Big Man cultures are only interested in supporting Big Man. A representative legislator isn't on their radar.

Blogger Dave October 19, 2018 3:14 PM  

had to drive several hours just to get to Missoula.

You have to drive for hours to get anywhere in Montana. That's why the speed limit on some highways used to be Reasonable and Prudent.

The problem is Tester's opponent is not a native Montanan. Then factor in the huge built-in advantage incumbents have, but if the Rs win this seat we'll know the Ds are going down hard in the midterms

Yeah, it's definitely personal for Trump after what Tester did to his Surgeon General nominee.

Blogger Barbarossa October 19, 2018 3:17 PM  

Got stuck on the treadmill at the gym when some yutz turned on CNN. Had to endure a half-hour of Rosie O'Donnell trying to look intellectual with silver hair and 'serious' glasses. Best part was the panel flogging a single poll that showed Democrat voter enthusiasm was on the rise. My first thought was: They are desperate. Much pointing at the recent Kavanagh confirmation, but no mention that the GOP might have benefited even more from that in terms of GOTV. Classic wish-casting.

Blogger Robert Divinity October 19, 2018 3:19 PM  

The Dems hope the 4000+ Honduran voting block en route from Honduras will get here in time.

Obviously the Democrats suffer from a strategy mole.

Blogger A rebel without a General October 19, 2018 3:30 PM  

This comment has been removed by the author.

Blogger Dave October 19, 2018 3:35 PM  

@tz you're correct; Tester spiked Trump's VA nominee not Surgeon General.

re Trump winning Montana: many of the upper Great Plains states do vote Republican for POTUS, however, they also often vote Dems into Congress at the same time (Max Baucus)

Blogger Peaceful Poster October 19, 2018 3:42 PM  

Something big is happening. WATCH!
- The God Emperor.

Blogger Damelon Brinn October 19, 2018 3:46 PM  

Apparently the R-over-D advantage in absentee ballots in FL so far is up 15% (something like R+10 and D-5 compared to last time). So maybe Kavanaugh did cause a Red Team surge, or it's the natural result of jobs being up and the economy doing well. I suppose there's no way to tell if Republican absentees just sent their votes in earlier than usual and will get fewer later. It seems like a good sign, though, and it's not the only one like that.

Blogger The Greay Man October 19, 2018 3:58 PM  

The mental anguish after 2016 was amazing to watch. It caught them all so off guard.

Now they truly think they're READY and will WIN against the surprise attacks.

They are setting themselves up for the greatest mental crisis in Leftist history. It'll be great.

Blogger The Greay Man October 19, 2018 3:59 PM  

FYI Trump and Sarah Sanders have been DOMINATING on Twitter. That's the hardest campaigning I have ever seen.

Trump saying College Educated Women will love him and vote for him, also saying All Republicans will vote for pre-existing conditions because he said so!

I LOVE IT.

Blogger Chris Mallory October 19, 2018 4:06 PM  

@19 @23

The US House of Representatives operates under fairly strict "Majority Rules" rules.
There is no filibuster in the House and margin of control does not matter as long as the House leadership keeps it's troops under control.

Ryan let Pelosi get away with that 8 hour filibuster back in the early part of 2018, the longest speech in House history. But she was technically breaking the rules and leadership could have had her removed.

Blogger Damelon Brinn October 19, 2018 4:22 PM  

@51, I like to ask liberals if they know why Obama isn't out doing rallies for his side like Trump is. It's his legacy that they say is at risk, after all. It burns them pretty good. Not sure if it's because they can't think of an answer, or because they can.

Blogger dh October 19, 2018 4:26 PM  

> This is especially the case for the Blue Team.

Yeah, for sure. The GOP has a big built in advantage because your average on the street liberal just can't be bothered to vote.

Blogger Peaceful Poster October 19, 2018 4:30 PM  

Although not quite as big a deal as the midterms in November, don't forget the Toronto election next week, October 22nd!

Given the complete black out on Faith Goldy in the MSM and in the polls, it's hard to tell how she's doing. But I would consider anything above 10% as a big success.

Blogger Dirk Manly October 19, 2018 4:33 PM  

5-10 seats...
picked up by the Republicans.

Blogger Dirk Manly October 19, 2018 4:36 PM  

@2

"the complete and total failure of The Resistance"


Failure?

I beg to differ.

It's worked wonderfully for Trump.

The public sees him doing what they want and he promised, and all of these crazies (both on the streets, and in government offices) blocking their will. Even the lazy pro-trumpers will come out to vote this time -- if only to get rid of an obstructionist Democrat somewhere.

For revenge.

Blogger Dirk Manly October 19, 2018 4:41 PM  

@9

"I see "voter suppression" already being floated as the explanation for 2018."


Oh, of course, because there's white firemen spraying firehoses at black voters standing in line. Or something....

Blogger Dirk Manly October 19, 2018 4:43 PM  

@12

"Of course, that doesn’t compare to the 2016 YouTube freak outs, yet this year will be even better, because they will start to feel utterly hopeless. They deserve it. It’s justice."

I'm waiting for the young smirks to commit suicide on camera.

Blogger Silly but True October 19, 2018 4:47 PM  

Republicans ought to go and impeach RBG, Sotomayor, and Kagan just for grins.

Blogger Mark Stoval October 19, 2018 4:56 PM  

If the leftists were to lose big, and realize that they were losing the culture war (true or not), then they might well take to the streets and start Civil War 2.0.

That would be a good thing in my book. I hope the war comes while I am still able to take out a few of the bastards.

Blogger IGnatius T Foobar October 19, 2018 5:04 PM  

The fact that the far-left democrat party has this much vote share at all should be cause for alarm. The party has been taken over by sworn enemies of the United States and should be considered a clear and present danger.

Blogger K G October 19, 2018 5:12 PM  

(((Wasserman)))

Blogger Dirk Manly October 19, 2018 5:15 PM  

@50

"
They are setting themselves up for the greatest mental crisis in Leftist history. It'll be great."

Someone needs to start making up Che T-shirts.

...using the pics of his body taken when they shot him like a rabid dog.

Blogger Dirk Manly October 19, 2018 5:28 PM  

@54

"Yeah, for sure. The GOP has a big built in advantage because your average on the street liberal just can't be bothered to vote."

1: Sloth and attraction to socialism go hand in hand.

2: They believe that government should be by dicatorship. No use voting if you can't vote for the candidate of would-be dictator.

3. And put the bong down?

Blogger Nate October 19, 2018 5:31 PM  

"The GOP has a big built in advantage because your average on the street liberal just can't be bothered to vote."

Liberal: IT IS A CRISIS! TRUMP IS A RACIST SEXIST NAZI!!!

Also Liberal: Vote? I mean... but its raining! I hate going out in the rain.

Blogger Derrick Bonsell October 19, 2018 5:33 PM  

Why would Democratic enthusiasm go up? I don't think they were unenthusiastic about opposing Trump...

Blogger Garuna October 19, 2018 5:51 PM  

The absentee numbers are a major whitepill. I'm hearing that in some places, the Kavanaugh episode has charged up Republican enthusiasm to Tea Party levels. The Lindsay Graham redemption arc continues as he sets off to campaign across the country for the team. Trump actually taught the cuckservatives how to win. It's amazing.

Imagine if the GOP uncucked sooner. They could've repealed Obamacare and Built The Wall. We'd be looking at a GOP supermajority for 2019-2020. But for now, simple win and gains in the Senate is enough.

Blogger Garuna October 19, 2018 5:57 PM  

The GOP has a big built in advantage because your average on the street liberal just can't be bothered to vote.

It's all manufactured consensus. Your average NPCs only say they hate Trump because they are supposed to. Virtue signaling while sitting on your ass is easy. But only the genuinely passionate will get off their ass to vote. And when it comes to the actual voters, Trump is more popular than Obama was at this point in his Presidency. Which is why even liberal websites like RCP & 538 only predict modest blue gains.

Blogger Robert What? October 19, 2018 6:24 PM  

Don't get complacent fellow droogs. You must vote regardless of what the Media are saying. The whole purpose of them predicting a Blue Wave is to discourage Red voters from even going to the polls. I mean, why even bother? It's all over. But there is no excuse for not voting. Not even death. After all, being dead never stopped a Democrat from voting.

Blogger VD October 19, 2018 6:26 PM  

Don't post links to gore here.

Blogger Dirk Manly October 19, 2018 7:01 PM  

@66

"Also Liberal: Vote? I mean... but its raining! I hate going out in the rain."

On election day, 2016, my car's alternator belt failed on the way home from a dentist appointment. I literally walked over 8 1/2 miles in the rain to get to my pricinct's polling place before it closed. I made it by 10 minutes.

Blogger Lazarus October 19, 2018 7:35 PM  

OT but significant:

The Alabama Supreme Court has ruled that an unborn baby is a “person” under the law, and, consequently, the death of that person can be punished with execution.

Further, in a special concurrence, Justice Tom Parker called on the U.S. Supreme Court to revisit Roe v. Wade, the 1973 ruling that created a “right” to abortion.

“I write specially to expound upon the principles presented in the main opinion and to note the continued legal anomaly and logical fallacy that is Roe v. Wade,” he said. “I urge the United States Supreme Court to overrule this increasingly isolated exception to the rights of unborn children.”

Parker affirmed the Alabama court’s rationale that “unborn children are persons entitled to the full and equal protection of the law.”

He asserted Roe v. Wade is “without historical or constitutional support, carved out an exception to the rights of unborn children and prohibited states from recognizing an unborn child’s inalienable right to life when that right conflicts with a woman’s ‘right’ to abortion.”

“This judicially created exception of Roe is an aberration to the natural law … and common law of the states,” Parker said.

Read more at https://www.wnd.com/2018/10/shocker-court-rules-unborn-baby-a-person/#dHt1wTgauqfejbLC.99

Blogger Doktor Jeep October 19, 2018 7:42 PM  

That migrant caravan is the "Plan B" to the failed blue wave.

Blogger By My Greybeard! October 19, 2018 7:43 PM  


I just wonder how many votes for Dumpercrats will be “found” in various places "2 minutes-to-midnight" on election day.

Remember and guard against the Proggie voting motto:

If the votes ain't comin' out right, then count'em “for the Greater Good” 'til they talley-up as you know they should!

Blogger Random #57 October 19, 2018 8:02 PM  

@74 Doktor Jeep:

That migrant caravan is the "Plan B" to the failed blue wave.

It's a real go for broke plan, the Dems are betting that Trump will bluster but not actually be able to stop it, and that will depress Republican turnout. If he does stop it, well, they were already losing this election.

Blogger Rough Carrigan October 19, 2018 8:26 PM  

For one small confirmation of the phenomenon of the desperately virtue signaling leftist too lazy to vote see Kaepernick, Colin. It came out that mister just do it no matter what the cost didn't bother to vote in the election after he started his "protest".

Blogger James Dixon October 19, 2018 9:02 PM  

> Republicans ought to go and impeach RBG, Sotomayor, and Kagan just for grins.

The Dems are the ones who put Supreme Court impeachment on the table. You'd think they would know better by now, but they just can't help themselves.

Blogger Meng Greenleaf October 19, 2018 9:28 PM  

I mailed in my vote weeks ago. PLEASE get down there and vote, and take some like-minded people with you!
If you do happen to live overseas, I'd suggest that when 2020 rolls around, make sure you have the ballot mailed to you. It may come with an internal envelope which is useful. But, also importantly, some districts have odd requirements (like paper size, A4 is not necessarily going to be counted and could, if challenged by someone who doesn't like whom you voted for, be tossed).

Blogger LES October 19, 2018 10:00 PM  

I am a retired letter carrier in Oregon where we have vote-by-mail. The ballots are mailed out and the completed ballots are mailed in or dropped off at designated locations.

Letter carriers are not qualified to certify registered voters. Anyone can fill out a voter registration card. When ballots are mailed the letter carrier is to deliver all mail as addressed unless there is or has been a valid change-of-address on file. Some deliveries are single-point deliveries such as nursing homes and college dormitories. Those facilities are responsible for forwarding the mail of their residents. The letter carrier has no idea who lives in those facilities.

As you can see, vote-by-mail is greatly subject to fraud and abuse.

Vote-by-mail is popular because it is convenient and eliminates standing in long lines at the polling stations. The solution is to continue to offer the convenience of vote-by-mail but require voters to drop off their ballot in person and sign the registration book after showing valid ID matching the address of the mail-in ballot.

Blogger Jack Amok October 19, 2018 10:31 PM  

CRUSH YOUR ENEMIES
SEE THEM DRIVEN BEFORE YOU
HEAR THE LAMENTATIONS OF THE WOMEN


How much more lamentable can they possibly get?

Blogger DonReynolds October 19, 2018 10:50 PM  

The real-world purpose of public opinion polls is not to drive votes or even to drive voters to bother to vote. The purpose is simple....to steer dollar contributions to underperforming political campaigns. The further into the future the actual election, the easier it is to distort raw data and manhandle the donor class.

The closer the election, the less distortion and "wiggle room" on the raw data, that is public opinion inputs. Close to the election, we are more likely to get the straight poop. None of the pollsters are willing to crash their own credibility completely by totally missing the election outcome. When that happens, the donor class never forgets.

Blogger Jack Amok October 19, 2018 11:44 PM  

Odd, the Independent governor of Alaska, who opposed Kavanaugh, just dropped out of his re-election campaign three weeks before the election and endorsed the (D) candidate.

Three days ago, the (D) Lt. Governor resigned over unspecified "inappropriate comments."

Is Snoozy doing something with those sealed indictments?

Blogger Stg58/Animal Mother October 20, 2018 1:55 AM  

That's certainly unusual

Blogger Ominous Cowherd October 20, 2018 8:55 AM  

Jack Amok wrote:Odd, the Independent governor of Alaska, who opposed Kavanaugh, just dropped out of his re-election campaign three weeks before the election and endorsed the (D) candidate.

Three days ago, the (D) Lt. Governor resigned over unspecified "inappropriate comments."

Is Snoozy doing something with those sealed indictments?


Walker is pretty far left. If Sleepy Sessions took him down, it's agood shoot. Now Ol' SS needs to take out the capos of the Murkowski crime family.

Blogger Ominous Cowherd October 20, 2018 8:59 AM  

LES wrote:
Vote-by-mail is popular because it is convenient and eliminates standing in long lines at the polling stations. The solution is to continue to offer the convenience of vote-by-mail but require voters to drop off their ballot in person and sign the registration book after showing valid ID matching the address of the mail-in ballot.


Why should voting be easy? Show up, or don't vote. Give people an election week instead of an election day, perhaps, so they don't have to vote after work.

Blogger Dirk Manly October 20, 2018 10:06 AM  

@74

"That migrant caravan is the "Plan B" to the failed blue wave."

So, it's what they're using to prevent their blue wave from gestating full term?

Blogger Dirk Manly October 20, 2018 10:10 AM  

@80

"As you can see, vote-by-mail is greatly subject to fraud and abuse."

By design.

And any attempt to reform it brings out immediate cries of "Why don't you want people to vote?" from the vote-fraud party.

Blogger Dirk Manly October 20, 2018 10:10 AM  

@81

"How much more lamentable can they possibly get?"

They're not slitting their wrists in public yet.

Blogger Dirk Manly October 20, 2018 10:15 AM  

@86

"
Why should voting be easy? Show up, or don't vote. Give people an election week instead of an election day, perhaps, so they don't have to vote after work"

Better yet, make Election Day a holiday for all non-emergency business.
Hospital Staffers, Ambulance crews, etc. get immediate front-loading.

By making it a holiday, the irresponsible types will be less likely to vote, because they'll be partying and drunk or whatever.

Blogger Ominous Cowherd October 20, 2018 11:32 AM  

"Better yet, make Election Day a holiday for all non-emergency business.
Hospital Staffers, Ambulance crews, etc. get immediate front-loading.

By making it a holiday, the irresponsible types will be less likely to vote, because they'll be partying and drunk or whatever."

Clever.

Blogger Silent Draco October 20, 2018 1:12 PM  

Cancel Labor Day and move that holiday to Election Day. Bring photo ID and proof of citizenship.

Blogger ash October 20, 2018 3:25 PM  

I still remember Minnesota, where the Dems stole the election.

Remember: If we don't win in a landslide, the Dems will steal all the close races. You have been warned.

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