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Monday, March 02, 2020

I could use a week off

An enforced vacation from the gym:
Nella regione Lombardia e in provincia di Piacenza
In tali territori si applica altresì la misura della sospensione delle attività di palestre, centri sportivi, piscine, centri natatori, centri benessere, centri termali (fatta eccezione per l’erogazione delle prestazioni rientranti nei «livelli essenziali di assistenza»), centri culturali, centri sociali, centri ricreativi.
The schools are also closed through 8 March. Keep in mind that something like this is probably going to happen near you, sooner or later, if the situation in Washington is not unique.
The coronavirus has been circulating undetected and has possibly infected scores of people over the past six weeks in Washington state, according to a genetic analysis of virus samples that has sobering implications for the entire country amid heightening anxiety about the likely spread of the disease.

The researchers conducted genetic sequencing of two virus samples. One is from a patient who traveled from China to Snohomish County in mid-January and was the first person diagnosed with the disease in the United States. The other came from a recently diagnosed patient in the same county, a high school student with no travel-related or other known exposure to the coronavirus. The two samples look almost identical genetically, said Trevor Bedford, a computational biologist at Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle who announced the results of the research on Twitter late Saturday night.

“This strongly suggests that there has been cryptic transmission in Washington State for the past 6 weeks,” Bedford wrote. “I believe we’re facing an already substantial outbreak in Washington State that was not detected until now due to narrow case definition requiring direct travel to China.”

Labels:

80 Comments:

Blogger D E K March 02, 2020 5:44 AM  

One more reason to use the gym as long it is possible.

In Nordrhein-Westfalen there are already more than 60 cases and people are not panicking, but the few prepper around were enough for me to register a sudden rise in demand for Vitamin C powder and soap. I've seen on Saturday a guy who bought toilet paper, bottled water for maybe 3 weeks and 5 big bottles of liquid soap. These are very very sporadic examples,but I guess that if only 5% percent of people would begin prepping, this would launch an avalanche on the supermarkets.

Blogger Brett baker March 02, 2020 5:52 AM  

Time to declare martial law. Quarantine everyone coming into the country, and anyone showing signs of the disease. Track down and kill everyone who was worried about racism being as bad as the disease.
Also, hope you're better getting back into your exercise routine than some of us, SDL!

Blogger sammibandit March 02, 2020 5:56 AM  

On Undercover Boss: Retro Fitness one of the employees got flak for cleaning the dumbbell handles by hand. Boss thought a spray of disinfectant was enough. Lord, I hope employees like that dumbell cleaner are more common than not. Basic hygeine is apparently more of a luxury than I thought.

Blogger Homesteader March 02, 2020 5:59 AM  

Best to assume you WILL be exposed- if this isn't a bioweapon, it sure acts like one.

Hopefully, Caucasians fare better than Asians; that being said, hope is not a plan.

Stock up on antivirals, get some sleep, and load up your larder.

2020 is going to be interesting times, indeed.



Blogger Halvar Andersen March 02, 2020 6:16 AM  

First three cases hit the Czech Republic yesterday. Two were Czechs who had visited Italy and one was an American college girl studying in Milan. Prague was just too beautiful for her to miss out on, so she came for a visit and was wandering the streets when her symptoms started presenting. As to the Czechs in general, there have been plenty of them that paid for their ski trips in northern Italy and they are still going this week despite the warnings not to. My wife and I both have clients who have stated they are going on vacation to various infected areas around the world. There are also many who have just come back this past weekend. Looks like online meetings will be the norm for the foreseeable future.

People were talking last week about supermarkets having bare shelves before this hit here. There have also been some reports of media clearing shelves to make things looks worse than they are. So far I have only seen things such as disinfectants and hand sanitizers sold out in the brick and mortar shops, but the online food delivery supermarkets were out of several canned and dried goods as well as lower priced bottled water.

I'm surely preaching to the choir here, but if you are relatively near an affected area, yesterday was the time to stock up on supplies.

Blogger Halvar Andersen March 02, 2020 6:21 AM  

@sammibandit - Same thing happened at my gym when one of the newer employees at my gym was sanitizing all the plates by hand. Sad thing was that he was an exception to what I saw in the other employees.

Blogger Emmanuel March 02, 2020 6:26 AM  

Not really since the coronavirus is a giant nothing burger designed to try and hurt the President by tanking the central bank economy were tied to too early to make the transition and blame it all on him in a last desperate attempt to get him out of office. Seriously, if you havent figured out after Sars, MERS, Swine flu, Ebola, zija, and all these other supposedly major outbreaks that then quietly disappear and get forgotten about that this is bad theater Ive got a bridge in Brooklyn to sell you.

Blogger Section 8A March 02, 2020 6:36 AM  

A week off sounds great. I want the bug!!

Blogger Mr.MantraMan March 02, 2020 6:43 AM  

When centri liquori is closed sh*t's gettin real.

Blogger Dark Herald March 02, 2020 6:57 AM  

I have a head-cold at the moment. It's not bad, just a lot of sneezes and a runny nose

And have opted to stay away from the Gym until it's gone.

At this point it's a matter of courtesy. By the third sneeze everyone would be filing out of the weight room.

Blogger Doktor Jeep March 02, 2020 7:16 AM  

I used to live there.
Once when travelling, after being out of country for a week, it struck me at the gate: everybody on the flight to SeaTac looked like absolute crap.
We're going to get a lesson on bad spirit and lack of sunlight and how that diminishes the immune system.

Blogger xevious2030 March 02, 2020 7:16 AM  

“The Center for Disease Control mistakenly released a patient from the San Antonio Texas Center for Infection Disease Sunday, according to Mayor Ron Nirenberg.”

Unfortunately, was waiting for exactly that move. Had noticed the infected were placed/occurred along the borders. The idiocy could be placed on the idiocy, but even with the high probability, it is improbable. At least the blue cities will get whatever comes, first. But there will be no containment (even if it were possible).

Blogger McChuck March 02, 2020 7:22 AM  

Wow, it's almost as if Vancouver were a Chinese colony.

Blogger Ominous Cowherd March 02, 2020 7:30 AM  

“This strongly suggests that there has been cryptic transmission in Washington State for the past 6 weeks,” Bedford wrote. “I believe we’re facing an already substantial outbreak in Washington State that was not detected until now due to narrow case definition requiring direct travel to China.”
Narrow case definition; that's the CDC. If the CDC were trying to make the epidemic here as widespread as possible, what would they do differently?

Blogger Gallant March 02, 2020 7:35 AM  

Hope you and yours can stay happy, healthy, and focused. Western Civilization needs its intellectual champion on the ball, now more than ever.

Blogger Avalanche March 02, 2020 7:39 AM  

ZeroHedge has a ... funny? ... photo expose' of Costco boxes around the US with "panic" buying... Seeing Costco 'racks' empty of goods is surprising?

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/meanwhile-costco-brooklyn-hoarding-begins

Blogger Shadow Banisher March 02, 2020 7:56 AM  

"Cryptic Transmission."

Whoever wrote this damn screenplay needs to be fired.

Blogger Wolfman March 02, 2020 7:59 AM  

Friendly Reminder that we've known about CoronaChan for a over a month now.
and we've known that she would be making a world tour since at least mid-February.

Coronachan Batsoup Dance
https://www.bitchute.com/video/JAMPB0xCgXzQ/

Blogger Damelon Brinn March 02, 2020 8:11 AM  

A news report about it came on the TV at the bar last night, and they made sure to emphasize the "but THIS many die of the flu each year" comparison. Most people seemed to nod along as intended, agreeing that it's no big deal; but a few understood that the ease of transmission is important, and just because a number is small now isn't proof that it will stay small. There's a growing wariness, at least.

I think I also saw an ad, either for Mini-Mike or for the Democrats in general, saying that we're not prepared for Corona-Chan because Trump. That's getting pretty desperate, to hope for a plague to win an election, plus that's not how voters think.

Blogger peacefulposter March 02, 2020 8:29 AM  

Stocking up on toilet paper and canned goods is for beginners.

Buying a power/squat rack for your home is a veteran move.

Blogger Johnny March 02, 2020 8:39 AM  

For those who don't know, some detail,

The stuff has a long latency period. People who catch the flu are spreading it for a week or two before they know they have it. And spreads easily. That is, extremely contagious.

Not as lethal as reported early on, but still very dangerous for old folks, and anybody with lung issues. Plus because it kills by pneumonia, serious cases spend time in a hospital and use up scarce medical resources. On the other end of it, children may get to spread it, but are almost immune to it.

The little face masks help some, but keeping your hands clean and away from the nose or mouth is a big deal.

Reported death rate is all over the place at this time, and most of the numbers are scare numbers, bigger than the actual death rate with medical care. A wild guess, maybe one or two percent lethal for the general population, with a much higher fraction put in the hospital. Lacking good medical care, the death rate goes up a lot.

Being in the old guy category, if it gets around where I live, I will be self quarantined from a gym for months at a time. And at least semi quarantined from most other places. The vaccine for the stuff is for now only speculation.

Blogger Arthur Isaac March 02, 2020 8:51 AM  

At this point I think it causes an autoimmune deficiency and that the weird delays and asymptomatic transmission is because it isn't a flu. It doesn't hit like a flu or a cold. What we do notice are the secondary infections. Like how people noticed HIV by the presence of the otherwise rare Kaposi sarcoma. The initial "catch" is so mild nobody notices but the pneumococcal pneumonia kills you weeks or months later.

That and a R0 of 4-6 and I think we can say we're living in interesting times.

Blogger Mjoll March 02, 2020 8:57 AM  

I'm pretty sure this swept through Oregon in early January and has not left. 8 weeks of shifting illness and a brutal cough.

Blogger Canada78Bear March 02, 2020 9:01 AM  

This would seem to indicate the death rate is lower than reported. An unknown number of asymptomatic are not being factored in. Hopefully the control group in Korea (religious group) that has 80+% infected with a large no symptom group will be tracked and we know in 10 more days how deadly it really is.

Blogger Oswald March 02, 2020 9:14 AM  

This just another great benefit of globalism.

Blogger tuberman March 02, 2020 9:59 AM  

Well, let me see. I do wash my hands frequently, and use disinfectants before and after using workout equipment. Plus gots me some lipo-C, echinacea, zinc, and vit-D. Not enough --> I be DOOMED. Ah, well, I can FUD like the best.

Since I live in a predominately Lefty area, I figure they Will start closing stuff down soon to up the scare tactics. Italy -- check -- temporarily run be Left, Washington State -- check --- run by DNC types. Yep, my area is as far Cabal as Washington State, so if they have access to any bioweapons here, they would release them tactically, otherwise the regional MSM word will get out that Crap is hitting the fan here, AND OMG, THEY HAVE THE STATS, AND THE STATS SAY DOOM.

Here comes Corona, Doom I tell's ya, Doom. Run, Hide, start an Apocalypse movement. Opportunities abound for the prepped. It's amazing the control you can get over an insider group using the Apocalypse fear, so go for it. Jim-Jones is winking in his grave.

But, I will workout today!

One more thing, a humor rag posted this yesterday:

The Beaverton

Report: Outbreak of idiocy spreading 10,000 times faster than coronavirus

Blogger Brian S March 02, 2020 10:09 AM  

been making a habit of working out at home since about new year, plenty you can do with body weight movements, god speed Vox & family

Blogger James Dixon March 02, 2020 10:33 AM  

My wife pointed out that no children have been diagnosed with the disease, which raises two possibilities:

a) They don't get it
b) The disease symptoms don't manifest in them.

If it's b) then they're still carriers, and things are going to get very interesting.

Blogger Out of Nod March 02, 2020 10:46 AM  

Bring the lemons and limes!

Blogger bramley says "Enoch was right" March 02, 2020 10:50 AM  

Calisthenics ftw

Blogger J Van Stry March 02, 2020 10:53 AM  

I was in Provo a couple of weeks ago and got the flu while there. As Provo is a college town (BYU) and I ran into several foreigners who had just 'returned from being out of the country' at teh airport and on the shuttle bus, I guess the probability exists that what I got was this bug.

Everyone I met at the convention there has since come down with this bug. If it is/was the 'wuhan flu' then it was terribly oversold. Yes, I spent two weeks sick, but that was it. I thought it was just the usual flu (and it probably was) though the way it spread (-everyone- got it) was a bit surprising.

Blogger Jay Will March 02, 2020 11:15 AM  

A family member was speaking to 2 Chinese students recently, they said they can't believe how mental it is over here whereas family members in China are laughing about it. Citizens of commie countries routinely disbelieve their leaders, in the West they've done a better job of lying to us.

Controlled economic demolition fronted by a natural disaster narrative. Climate scam serves the same purpose. .

Same people telling us to "tighten our belts" and eat bug soup are dreaming about elite space shuttle flights, and terraforming Mars presumably guzzling more of the hated carbon fuels than everyone else combined.

Blogger Dr Caveman March 02, 2020 11:17 AM  

I'm wondering what will happen in the US once the virus hits the transient/homeless/illegal population. They're going to act as a reservoir for months to come

Blogger Crew March 02, 2020 11:27 AM  

Six weeks is about right. Chinese students started coming back to the US in about the middle of January. About 6 weeks later the first cases really start showing up in California and elsewhere.

We should have closed the borders long ago and there is still reason to do so. Especially since Canada seems intent on importing as many cases as it can from Iran!

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/canadians-furious-trudeau-government-refuses-cancel-flights-iran-outbreak-worsens

Blogger PH March 02, 2020 11:27 AM  

So the Chinese govt closed Shenzhen to hurt the GE?

Blogger Oswald March 02, 2020 11:41 AM  

The gym was overrated anyway. I just went to look at the women.

Blogger Up from the pond March 02, 2020 11:45 AM  

The free movement of capital, goods, and death.

Blogger Scuzzaman March 02, 2020 11:54 AM  

Lots of people preparing for 14 day self quarantine here in southern Germany. From what I hear it’s quite general across the country but that’s hearsay not something I’ve seen myself.

Supermarkets packed all day, every counter open, no disinfectant gels to be had. Lots of bulk buying.

Personally I’m more concerned about the army of new immivaders Erdogan has let loose.

Blogger Sheila4g March 02, 2020 11:55 AM  

@13 McChuck: "Wow, it's almost as if Vancouver were a Chinese colony."

This. And the Chinese and Indians who've colonized Canada frequently cross the border in search of bargains or to purchase items banned by their woke government, or so I've read. I really doubt it's avoidable anywhere in America because I don't know that there are many counties in the country that are Chinese or Indian free, and they tend to travel in packs. I've always carried a tube of disinfectant wipes in my gym bag and use them, primarily because of the diverse clientele and because the squatemalan cleaning lady doesn't inspire me with any great confidence. I do have a bench and some weights at home, but not the variety of cable machines and other things I prefer. Well, when/if things close I'll adapt as necessary. Only bulk buying I've noticed thus far are said disinfectant wipes - everything else I've needed has been in ample supply.

Blogger lowercaseb March 02, 2020 12:03 PM  

If I could show photos, I took some of the empty shelves here in SF. What's funny is the old staples are GONE (canned goods, bottled water, candles, ect...) but all the hipster chow is still on the shelves. The viris isn't desperate enough for folks to want $12 boxes of bone broth.

'course, it could also mean that the rich have already fled the town.

Blogger xevious2030 March 02, 2020 12:05 PM  

"what would they do differently?"

Can't think of anything else. It was a train wreck, in slow-motion, from a mile away. "Here's some infected, let's bring them on in to "quarantine" by some "'top' people," just keep most air traffic going, what could go wrong?"

Blogger Nate March 02, 2020 12:09 PM  

its not time to panic. its not time to run to the store and stock up like there are flurries in florida.

It is time to start wrapping your head around the fact that something like this may well happen. you may well get to spend a couple weeks off work. So you better have some cash in the bank. Start saving. Start thinking how you will handle things if that actually has to happen.

Blogger tuberman March 02, 2020 12:13 PM  

Question is: Will they kill the Pope, and say it was Corona? This is a Win-Win, as that old perv has to have a comped immune system. If he lives, you can be certain Corona's a hoax. If he dies, then we are rid of one Evil leader. They may kill him, as all of the Club understand that sacrifices must be made.

Blogger Storm Rhode March 02, 2020 12:22 PM  

Or they are not testing children to avoid a massive panic. The way they are skittish about diagnosing this seems to me like they are downplaying the risk to avoid public panic which would overload logistics in healthcare and retail etc... overnight.

Blogger Theproductofafineeduction March 02, 2020 12:27 PM  

@7

If it were naturally occurring like those diseases then sure, but it isn't. I'm not going to share specifics but I had a conversation with someone that has access to insider information that verifies some of the theories that have been floating around the chans.

Blogger YIH March 02, 2020 12:30 PM  

Late Sunday, the office of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, a Republican, announced two “presumptively positive” cases of the coronavirus, in Manatee and Hillsborough counties, and declared a public health emergency.
Metro Tampa. The “presumptively positive” means that they have been tested at local hospitals, but have not been confirmed positive by the CDC in Atlanta. Considering the fatalities have been people over 50 this could be a real mess should it spread throughout the state (it ain't called "God's waiting room" for nothing. The Central FL theme parks are in "hurricane mode" IOW, normal operations until further notice.
The good news is Corona-chan seems to be leaving kids alone. It's the oldsters (especially with existing health issues) that have something to worry about.

Blogger sammibandit March 02, 2020 12:31 PM  

@James Dixon

Yeah that's odd. A child will be inconsolable if they have a fever whereas an adult can have one and not even notice until the sweat starts to cool into the chills.

Then again I was at the ER on 2 January and there was a Philipino teen with his barely communicative but quite entitled mom presenting to the ER because he was hot. She needed tylenol and ice and tried to triage him herself. The nurses were not happy with her. Strange.

@Halvar Andersen

I'm not surprised to see a fellow Dane interested in hygeine. My congregation yesterday was greeting with elbow bumps instead of handshakes. I laughed internally since germophobia is kind of cultural. The Pastor even had hand sanitizer on the altar for communion.

Blogger KPP March 02, 2020 12:39 PM  

My wife pointed out that no children have been diagnosed with the disease

Not quite, though the number is very low. One study through 2/11 estimated 1% of patients were in the 0-9 year old range, and another 1% in the 10-19 year old range. A separate study focused solely on infants identified only 9 cases.

Children can be infected and therefore be carriers to infect others. Thankfully, no children have yet died from the outbreak.

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2761659

Blogger Toris March 02, 2020 12:49 PM  

CDC just warned Coronavirus it's now in Chuck Norris territory. They're advising it to stay indoors and avoid contact.

Blogger YIH March 02, 2020 12:59 PM  

Blogger derped the link again: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/specific-groups/children-faq.html
Q: Does the clinical presentation of COVID-19 differ in children compared with adults?

A: Limited reports of children with COVID-19 in China have described cold-like symptoms, such as fever, runny nose, and cough. Gastrointestinal symptoms (vomiting and diarrhea) have been reported in at least one child with COVID-19. These limited reports suggest that children with confirmed COVID-19 have generally presented with mild symptoms, and though severe complications (acute respiratory distress syndrome, septic shock) have been reported, they appear to be uncommon. See more information on CDC Clinical Guidance for COVID-19

Blogger Terrific March 02, 2020 1:19 PM  

The photos/videos of panic buying at Costco are hilarious! Especially the ones in Washington state.

Oh, no! There's an extremely infectious respiratory virus loose in our city! Quick! Let's, thousands of us, all run to our nearest big box store and huddle together like sardines, sneezing, coughing, and breathing on each other as we wait in ridiculously long lines to buy anti-bacterial hand soaps and disinfectants which are totally worthless compared to just plain soap against a virus (or even bacteria, for that matter)!

Whatever you see the crowd doing? Do the opposite and you'll likely be safer.

http://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2017/say-goodbye-antibacterial-soaps-fda-banning-household-item/

Blogger Ominous Cowherd March 02, 2020 1:51 PM  

sammibandit wrote:The Pastor even had hand sanitizer on the altar for communion.
In the man camps on the Slope, you use hand sanitizer, then put on vinyl gloves, before going into the mess hall. That's what it takes to prevent outbreaks.

Blogger Ominous Cowherd March 02, 2020 1:55 PM  

To all of you who are saying this is all fake, all bogus: maybe it is. What if it isn't?

The news and the government are lying to us: we know that what they say is false, intended to deceive us. That doesn't mean that the opposite of what they say is true.

Blogger cylindrical crown March 02, 2020 1:56 PM  

Live in Manatee County, FL. My grocery store has increased traffic this morning. The store was out of hand sanitizer and low on toilet paper. Everything else was pretty normal. Didn't see anyone panic buying. I expect significantly higher grocery traffic this evening when the working people head home after discussing the day's events with their co-workers.

Blogger Zeroh Tollrants March 02, 2020 2:12 PM  

I buy steel and poly carbonite from China, SK, and Mex for a living. Since Dec when Corona Chan was first known about, I have opened dozens of boxes from Beijing and nearby provinces. Most have been sample materials, but a number were Christmas presents.
I first got sick in mid January and got better rather quickly for me, because I have lung issues. The 1st of Feb I got sick again, this time it was horrible. I was diagnosed as having "the flu" on February 3rd.
I haven't left my house since, but I AM STILL SICK.
Did I get Corona from touching a huge pile of boxes? Extremely doubtful. That said, my son and his fiance who never catch anything both got sick from just visiting me for about an hour, on Valentine's Day & they both are constantly dealing with the dirty public.
Who knows how long 8t has really been here,my doctors office certainly wasn't testing for it then nor did they even mention it as a possibility.
All this is to say,I feel confident that Corona Chan came to a lot of countries much earlier and no one tested for it and assumed it was the regular old flu. That would explain why we supposedly had a "really rough flu season this year" like the CDC said in January.
BTW,my garage has another huge stack of boxes from China.
I know it's completely ridiculous, but I don't want to open them.

Blogger sammibandit March 02, 2020 2:50 PM  

@Ominous Cowherd

One of the congregants chortled when I replied to her question if I minded elbow bonking with to say hi with "it is okay, we are a clean people".

I only understood mess hall in your comment but I presume you're talking about work camps or army/navy/airman life. When I was in Scouts our mess kits were examined before meals. No clean kit, then you got razzed in front of everyone AND had to eat standing up out of a mug with no utensils. Cleanliness really is a group effort especially in close quarters.

That said, seeing the sanitizer beside the dogwood symbolizing rebirth on the first Lenten Sunday kind of really fit the mood, the sermon on Cain's sin, and the sacrament we take weekly. From spiritual cleanliness comes bodily cleanliness.

Blogger Dwayne Thundergrit March 02, 2020 3:03 PM  

The pillow comes
on little cat feet.

It sits looking
over the boomer
on silent haunches
and then moves on.

With apologies to Carl Sandburg

Blogger Akuma March 02, 2020 3:21 PM  

Ominous Cowherd wrote:To all of you who are saying this is all fake, all bogus: maybe it is. What if it isn't?

The news and the government are lying to us: we know that what they say is false, intended to deceive us. That doesn't mean that the opposite of what they say is true.


They are in panic mode, and Trump is President. Trump being President means their masks are slipping from the stress of that fact and we are getting their true selves. Sure they are probably still bending the truth, but its closer than ever to reality for them. If they really cared they would react like this to every flu season. Which always starts in China; I'm Noticing a pattern here....

The H1N1 Swine Flu Pandemic in 2009 infected 61 million Americans, and killed 12,469 Americans. I dont remember any panic buying, store shelves being emptied, or talk of quarantining oneself in ones house (Proto-Martial Law). I'm pretty sure I got it myself too. The Losers in power are so focused on COVID-19 because its Novel. Human beings don't like novel things. They are scary, dangerous, and shatter our delusions of reality.

Also, most importantly, remember Trump is President, and that one fact has them responding like children to every thing else. Their unconsciousness desire is to see this spiral out of control so it destabilizes the resistance the GEOTUS has successfully staged. That is to say, what we are dealing with here, is GAMMA, in its purest form.

Blogger Azure Amaranthine March 02, 2020 3:22 PM  

"Not really since the coronavirus is a giant nothing burger"

When talking heads yell at you and nothing happens, that's a nothing burger. When talking heads say nothing's going on, but things are happening, that's a something burger. Don't be stupid.

The DL: Out of people that develop enough symptoms to suspect they have it, ~20% need hospitalization for assisted breathing. We talk about China not having good hospitals, but it's not the quality that's the major problem. The major problem is the quantity, and no one has that kind of hospital quantity.

Blogger weka March 02, 2020 3:33 PM  

Along with Sydney, Auckland, and Seattle.

Stay frosty. It is coming. Employers travel insurance won't cover COVID 19 so only essential travel...

Goodbye conferences and the brownie points on the academic CV. It is getting serious. One Iranian with it in NZ and two suspected cases... All travelers let in because not citizens banned countries.

We should be closing our borders... Stop the planes and ships.

Blogger Ominous Cowherd March 02, 2020 3:59 PM  

Akuma wrote:They are in panic mode, and Trump is President. Trump being President means their masks are slipping from the stress of that fact and we are getting their true selves. Sure they are probably still bending the truth, but its closer than ever to reality for them. If they really cared they would react like this to every flu season.
TDS means that the narrative is simultaneously ``it's nothing because muh open borders'' and ``OMG Zombie-pocolypse because Orange Man Bad.''

Both are blatant deceits, they are diametric opposites, neither is diametrically opposite the truth. We don't know what the truth is.

Better be prepared for real problems. Real problems are always ahead of us, whether they are Corona-chan or something else.

Blogger Arthur Isaac March 02, 2020 4:00 PM  

Telling people here not to panic isn't going to prevent the inevitable stampede. Okay, so you're a smart boy and know that panic is dangerous, congratulations. What are you going to do when that stampede takes down your ability to feed your family? How are you prepared to deal with that reality? Being a part of the peanut gallery is easy, watching your kids starve isn't.

Blogger Ominous Cowherd March 02, 2020 4:12 PM  

Azure Amaranthine wrote:We talk about China not having good hospitals, but it's not the quality that's the major problem. The major problem is the quantity, and no one has that kind of hospital quantity.
China's death rate, whatever that may be, is the zero medical care death rate.

After our hospitals fill to overflowing and the staff are all sick, our death rate becomes the zero medical care death rate, not only for Corona-chan, but for everything that usually puts folks in the hospital. We don't need it to be very bad for it to be this bad.

Aesop thinks there might be about 930K hospital beds in the US, and 93K ICU beds. If only 20% of our 300 million get this at one time, that's 60 million. If only 2% of them need hospitalization at the same time, that's 1.2 million. That's on top of all the other problems that keep most of those hospital beds filled most of the time.

93 thousand ICU beds, some cots in the corridor, and the rest of the 1.2 million can save money by dying at home, like it or not.

Blogger Kiwi March 02, 2020 4:19 PM  

New Zealanders rushed the stores and were buying three months plus supplies. Of course this temporarily emptied the shelves at some places. Luckily we have a plentiful country and also, on a positive note, it means most of our peeps went to being preppers overnight.

More concerning was that the media reported there had been a threat against a mosque in Christchurch. Police confirmed they were aware of the matter. It's nearly been a year since the shootings. The media is doing a double down in their efforts to scare our people. Disgusting pigs.

Blogger Nate March 02, 2020 4:29 PM  

"Not really since the coronavirus is a giant nothing burger"

this is a spectacularly stupid thing to say. You clearly really suck at math.

Blogger Scuzzaman March 02, 2020 5:10 PM  

"This strongly suggests that there has been cryptic transmission in Washington State for the past 6 weeks,"

Love the way they slip the shiv in like this. So smooth you hardly notice.

Is this the only possibility it suggests?

"Are there no others?"

Blogger Revelation Means Hope March 02, 2020 6:23 PM  

I was in two different Costcos of two separate counties. First one over 1,000 people mostly Chinese stocking up. Stripped clean rice toilet paper, paper towels, sanitizers, and much much more. Never seen it like that.
Second was with my family to double stock up. Stripped beyond case one above, this time mostly Indian families. My wife is now gravely we began prepping two weeks ago.

Our county has nine cases already but I expect we should multiply that by 50.

Blogger RedJack March 02, 2020 6:30 PM  

My sister and parents live in Snohomish. Mom had diabetes, and Dad had a brain surgery 10 years ago. Both were notified today that they had been exposed.

Mom is freaking out. Dad told me what songs he wants at his funeral in Nebraska, and asked for more ice cream.

Two weeks ago my sister was demanding we come out and visit. I told her I wasn't going near Seattle or King county till this bug goes away. Now she is looking at sheltering in place.

All fun and games, till it gets close to home. Parents are ready to go "see Jesus", but that doesn't mean they want to go that way.

Blogger Crew March 02, 2020 6:49 PM  

I suspect that it will be more than a week off, not that I imagine Vox will actually kick back and relax!

Blogger Annabel Lee March 02, 2020 7:57 PM  

Possible neurological effects: https://twitter.com/contagiontrack/status/1234353402727030790?s=21

Blogger Annabel Lee March 02, 2020 8:18 PM  

Possible neurological effects: https://twitter.com/contagiontrack/status/1234353402727030790?s=21

Blogger Avalanche March 02, 2020 8:37 PM  

The most amazing coincidence: just as our Dark Lord has been defending sky puppies as our frens, the govt is minting a *sky puppy* Beautiful quarter!!

https://iccoin.com/2020-p-national-park-of-american-samoa-quarter-brilliant-uncirculated/

Blogger weka March 02, 2020 9:40 PM  

@Kiwi.
Can confirm. Am now not linking to the Herald or Fairfax news. Archive.is exists to stop their revenue streams.

The Iranian vector in NZ is probably the one to worry about: the People's Republic of China is not letting witnesses (read students) out.

Despite the pleading of out too big to fail universities.

Blogger Toris March 02, 2020 9:40 PM  

I assume by now the NZ Govt/media have fully informed all Kiwis about the Christchurch mystery car FQH875.

Blogger weka March 03, 2020 1:50 AM  

@Redjack. Sad news. Praying for your family and you all.

Blogger Boaty Bear March 04, 2020 3:45 AM  

It's a giant nothing burger.

Blogger xevious2030 March 04, 2020 12:04 PM  

Looking at the “official” Chinese numbers of confirmed, recovered, and existing, aside from Hubei, China is about to be in a position of claiming not only “Contained,” but almost fully recovered. Pretty close to time to announce it is back open for business and pumping out exports. A couple of weeks more of shortages, and the cargo carriers can hit the seas to save the markets of the West from domestic Western production revamp, in about a month. Whatever is going on in China, their infection numbers output paints a narrative.

Blogger xevious2030 March 04, 2020 4:15 PM  

Outside China, in Italy, with real numbers, the R0 follows an infection of 2.5, with a cycle of three days. And of course the mortality rate of 3% under the current treatment stresses.

Those are not nothing burger numbers. Reveling in fear is pointless, but avoiding fear does not mean dismissing reality.

Blogger Gravedigger March 05, 2020 1:37 PM  

Good thing I have enough fresh caught Alaskan Salmon, Cod, and Halibut in my freezer that my family can die from mercury poisoning before we all starve.

Blogger Gravedigger March 05, 2020 1:40 PM  

Couldn't say it better myself. I see all these pictures of empty store shelves but nothing has changed in my area

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