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Monday, June 22, 2020

They'll be coming for Aristotle soon

A reader discovers why rhetoric is no longer taught in schools and universities:
Thanks to your writings on the topic, I've started to understand much more about the role of rhetoric and dialectic in communication.  I'm currently reading The Ethics of Rhetoric by Richard Weaver and came across this brilliant passage about practitioners of "base rhetoric," which he defines as "speech which influences us in the direction of what is evil."

Examples of this kind of contrivance occur on every hand in the impassioned language of journalism and political pleading.  In the world of affairs which these seek to influence, the many are kept in a state of pupillage so that they will be most docile to their "lovers."  The techniques of the base lover, especially as exemplified in modern journalism, would make a long catalogue, but in general it is accurate to say that he seeks to keep the understanding in a passive state by never permitting an honest examination of the alternatives.  Nothing is more feared by him than a true dialectic, for this not only endangers his favored alternative, but also gives the "beloved"...some training in intellectual independence.

What he does therefore is dress up one alternative in all the cheap finery of immediate hopes and fears, knowing that if he can thus prevent a masculine exercise of imagination and will he can have his way.  By discussing only one side of an issue, by mentioning cause without consequence or consequence without cause, acts without agents or agents without agency, he often successfully blocks definition and cause-and-effect reasoning.  In this way his choices are arrayed in such meretricious images that one can quickly infer the juvenile mind which they would attract.  Of course the base rhetorician today, with his vastly augmented power of propagation, has means of deluding which no ancient rhetor in forum or marketplace could have imagined.

It's amazing how even a basic understanding of this subject allows one a much more precise and clear view of the world; frauds, charlatans, and wizards are readily identifiable.  I suppose that's why it isn't taught in public schools.
Actually, I tend to disagree with the assertion that the true dialectician is the base rhetorician's greatest fear. Understanding and utilizing dialectic is good. But understanding and utilizing both dialectic and rhetoric is better, because while the dialectician has the ability to see through the base rhetoric, the true rhetorician has the ability to understand, confront, and publicly defeat it.

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Allow me to reiterate

I do not watch videos. I will NEVER watch videos. So for the love of all that is Good and Beautiful and True, stop suggesting that I watch "just this one amazing video."

VD - I know you don't like videos but this is awesome.

First, I don't give a single fragment of a quantum of a damn what anyone else thinks is awesome. I am not asking for video reviews. I am not requesting recommendations. I am not inspired by whatever it is that inspires you. I do not care about whatever it is that happens to enlighten you.

Second, I do understand that most people do not share my antipathy for videos and podcasts. That's fine. I have no quarrel with their opinions and I am not offended that their preferences happen to differ from my own. If anyone wants to recommend a video or a podcast or a wax cylinder recording to others here, that is perfectly fine with me so long as they leave me out of it. I am very grateful that so many people so greatly appreciate and so staunchly support the videos being produced and published every day on UATV. Video is, without question, the dominant form of media today.

But what part of I DO NOT WATCH VIDEOS OR LISTEN TO PODCASTS is so hard for some of you to understand?

I. DO. NOT. WATCH. VIDEOS.

And I will never, ever, watch ANY video that is recommended to me no matter how many of you insist that because you are a Very Special Boy or Girl, I should ignore my preferences refined over four decades of informational intake because your one special video is the specialist special must-see inspirational series of moving pictures ever.

If you don't understand why I absolutely hate all video and auditory informational exchange, let me put it into terms you might understand. I read at around 1,200 words per minute with full comprehension. That's not an estimate or an exaggeration, as it has been repeatedly and reliably tested over a period of 34 years. I scan-read more than twice as fast as that when I'm reading casually to see if I'm interested in the subject or not. In contrast, videos and podcasts transmit information at around 150 words per minute on average.

And if you factor in the probability that whatever the person is saying in the video is something I already know in considerably more detail than is being addressed, then perhaps you can grasp that I view videos and podcasts as being considerably more akin to sadistic psychological torture than entertainment or inspiration.

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Thursday, June 18, 2020

Mailvox: Churchianity means leave

And leave immediately:
Long-time reader, first-time emailing.  Have never even commented before, but visit your site 3-4 / day.

Long-time member of an LCMS church where I've taught Sunday School and Confirmation classes for the past 6 years.  Primarily to ensure Churchianity would not be taught to our middle-schoolers.

Unfortunately, during the sermon this last Sunday, our relatively new pastor (37 y/o white) decided to spend ~85% of the sermon time reading this notice from the Black Clergy Caucus regarding the death of George Floyd and the ensuing unrest. It is a short read, but awful.

I immediately decided to leave this church and my post as Christian Education volunteer.
If you're not in a position to kick out the converged and the Churchian, leave. Don't sit through sermons from the Pharisees and the Prometheans, or allow your children to be indoctrinated by the Synagogue of Satan.

No church that preaches against "racism" or about how Black Lives Matter can be considered a genuine Christian church.

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Tuesday, June 16, 2020

Inquiry from a black conservative

Or at least, what used to be considered a black conservative before conservatism died its final death yesterday at the Supreme Court:
I am subscribed to your youtube account and I've been on your blog site occasionally. But honestly I became aware of you through other people or movements (Owen, Milo, comicsgate, the aftermath of the 2016 election, etc etc) When I occasionally read your blog posts or watched a darkstream specifically about or involving the aforementioned groups of people, I would be inclined to agree with your position. Now by chance I watched your latest darkstream  "Conservatism is dead" because I also thought that morning when the supreme court ruling came down that conservatism was dead. I would be considered a black consertive by some though I am a registered liberterian because of neocons.

I felt pessimistic about the future and so the title for your video really caught my attention. Now as you can probably tell from the subject of this email, the topic of that video isn't specifically what I want to talk about. When you go to the point of conservatives lying about race I admit I raised an eyebrow, I could understand an argument regarding lying about culture but race made me wince. To be honest I didn't get I guess you could say triggered until you started to argue from a Biblical standpoint. I was tempted to think alright this guy is just an ass just unsubscribe, but I wanted to take a step back and understand the entirety of your argument.

In the video you were talking to your audience, people who have been following you for some time so there was no need for a detailed argument. I understand that you were essentially summarizing viewpoints you've already expanded upon elsewhere, likely many times.  But I thought to myself there feels like a more nuanced layer of thought to be found here. I tried to look through your blog posts and I found again that you are touching on the subject with the understanding that your audience is familiar with the core content of your argument. Despite some interesting reads I grew tired after about a year of posts. Your video library is quite substantial and I don't believe any of your books specifically target this position. So if you don't mind me asking in a very entitled way, could you point me to where you discuss in detail your vibrancy position.

If possible I'd especially like to to see how you conclude

1) The biblical language of a nation/tribe is specific to race, (From my understanding you in ancient worlds you belonged to any tribe your father was from) and how you come to apply that perspective to the modern state of living.

2) That race or genetics will always overcome culture.

3) Judging someone by the content of their character is a lie. What bothered me about this argument is how I am supposed to intellectually accept your argument under the condition that I don't judge you by you, but by your race, which I should theoretically believe I can't harmonize with in the same country.

4) You can intellectually avoid an angle of pure racial superiority under that position

Finally I do not know if you have a solution to the vibrancy problem but if you do I'd like to see it. I find that even if I were to be convinced of your position and (honestly I suppose I'd have to take it in a Malcom X separatism type of way) I have no inclination to leave the United States and there is no logical reason to believe Africans would welcome a mass of African Americans as a native son as any persons of slavic descent would be welcomed in Eastern Europe after generations of separation from the "motherland".
I don't know that I've ever addressed the matter in comprehensive detail, given that it is of little interest to me due to its complete obviousness, but I can certainly answer the specific questions:
  1. The Biblical language incorporates race because it is specific to nations and tribes, and both nations and tribes are subsets of race. Logic dictates, by the transitive law, that any language that applies to the distinctions of tribes or nations must also apply to the broader sets of races. Furthermore, in a sense of the word that is much older than the "racist" context, race literally means nation. Examples: the German race, the Japanese race, the American race.
  2. Genetics will always overcome culture over time because genetics cannot be educated or easily altered and remain virtually identical from generation to generation. This is why the so-called "destruction of the Black family" so beloved of conservatives is actually an observable disproof of the false conservative perspective on race since the cause of this "destruction" is not the Great Society or the welfare state, it is simply a people returning to their preferred cultural model now that they are no longer being forced, by the constant threat of racial violence, to live according to the oppressive culture norms of their enslavers. Africa wins again.
  3. You can't judge me at all. You don't have the right or the necessary information. And vice-versa: I can't judge you. But what we both can and will inevitably do is make decisions based on the probabilities that are derived from personal experience and relevant statistical knowledge we possess. That's all that anyone can ever do. Don't confuse rhetoric for reality.
  4. First, there is no objective "pure racial superiority" in the general sense. Second, there is average racial superiority in every single honest comparison of two or more races. There is no contradiction there, it simply means that the average superiority of one race versus another completely depends upon the metric selected, be it subjective or objective. What likely triggers you is the fact that the metrics you appear to have chosen tend to indicate your perception of the inferiority of your own race. But why permit yourself to be triggered in this way? I am not bothered by the fact that the average IQ of the American Indian is estimated to be around 87 because I am not average. Neither it appears, are you.
There is only one solution to what you describe as the vibrancy problem, and it is the Biblical one as well as the one that has been forced upon many of my people: to each nation and tribe their own land, their own laws, and their own culture. Anything else means war, sooner or later, as each group seeks to impose their own cultural preferences on the other. Remove Proximity from the war equation and there will be peace between the various races, nations, and tribes.

But since we live in a fallen world there will always be those who seek to impose themselves and their ways on others, which means there will always be war. And because we live in a time when Proximity is virtually ubiquitous, we live in a time of war.

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Tuesday, June 09, 2020

Mailvox: waking up to Churchianity

A new reader discovers that Churchianity is not Christianity:
I've been a reader of yours for maybe a year now, or a little more,whereas my wife has been a long time reader, so I'm fairly new to this. I would like to briefly share a bit of info with you that you may find interesting, I'll try to keep it short.

I was browsing my local news today just to see what stories they're spinning with the protests of late and I found a picture of our previous pastors protesting in our town for George Floyd, and they're not exactly hiding.

After getting out of a bad church I spent years in, me and my wife attended the church, Life Church, for around a year and a half and stopped attending over a year ago. The virtue signaling kicked up, the pastor started cherry picking scriptures for his shallow sermons, and we got tired of being pressured to give and tithe..which his wife railed on every single service. For the sake of brevity, that's about the jist of it all.

Not just this event, but my wife and I have seen many of our "christian" friends and acquaintances reveal themselves as churchians as of late. They'd rather virtue signal and would sooner shelter a foreigner from Somalia then care after their own. Yes, we experienced this first hand. They do not serve the good, the true and the beautiful, but themselves.

Anyone who continues to support this church is either ignorant of the evil of this, or willfully conceding to this wickedness.
A converged church is a wicked church that invents and condemns "sins" that are not sins while condoning actual sin. Racism is not, and has never been, and can never be, a sin, unless God Himself can sin. To claim otherwise is pure inversion. And only the wicked deem the separation of sheep and goats, of wheat and chaff, of truth and lies, to be evil.

If your pastor or preacher or priest is preaching this Churchian wickedness, call him out. And if the congregation will not cast him out, then it is time to leave.

The Bible warns that many who profess themselves to be Christians will be deceived. Now, do you truly not see the grand deception at work here? And ask yourself this: does the world hate or does it celebrate these brave anti-racist Churchians?

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Thursday, June 04, 2020

Mailvox: the USAF, converged

A soon-to-be ex-Airman shares his observations concerning the convergence of the USAF:
I listened to the audiobook of Corporate Cancer a couple of months ago, and at that time I categorized my own workplace, the USAF as Level 4, highly converged. But recent events have caused me to reevaluate, and I am convinced that the USAF has achieved Level 5 and has become fully converged. Attached is a copy of a recent post on Facebook by the highest ranking enlisted member in the force, the Chief Master Sergeant of the Air Force, Kaleth O. Wright. This post played a big role in my need to reevaluate. Here are the highlights:

"Who am I? I am a Black man who happens to be the Chief Master Sergeant of the Air Force. I am George Floyd…I am Philando Castile, I am Michael Brown, I am Alton Sterling, I am Tamir Rice."

"This, my friends, is my greatest fear, not that I will be killed by a white police officer (believe me my heart starts racing like most other Black men in America when I see those blue lights behind me)…but that I will wake up to a report that one of our Black Airmen has died at the hands of a white police officer."

"So, I spent the last week, “plotting, planning, strategizing, organizing and mobilizing” just as Killer Mike, the popular Atlanta rapper and activist encouraged us to do."

"I believe that we have not made much progress in this area of racial injustice and diversity among our ranks. This is why I’m working with General Goldfein, first and foremost to have a full and thorough independent review of our military justice system...We are also working to improve the diversity of our force, especially within the senior ranks."

"You might think you know what it’s like to grow up, exist, survive and even thrive in this country as a Black person…but let me tell you, regardless of how many Black friends you have, or how Black your neighborhood was, or if your spouse or in-laws are Black…you don’t know. You don’t know the anxiety, the despair, the heartache, the fear, the rage and the disappointment that comes with living in this country, OUR country every single day."

The evidence of the full convergence is everywhere. When deployed, there is a TV service that we are provided which is not nearly as cool as UATV. It is called the Armed Forces Network and it is so packed with anti-American propaganda that sometimes I can't help but laugh. There are constant commercials proclaiming "Diversity is Our Strength." As well as those touting American citizenship for those who serve. So we are openly training and running logistics for our own invaders. We get constant diversity centered e-mails, and my home base acknowledges cultural appreciation months throughout the year. Even Pacific Islander month!

That same base also has a giant recruiting billboard which can be seen from the highway. On it is the picture of a woman security forces member holding a gun. And in big letters it reads "I swear to defend..." It seriously has the … and just leaves it at that. I've never seen a better piece of grabbler propaganda in my life.

I am deployed to one of the grabbler wars right now, but I should be returning to the states before long. I am a young Airman without much rank and the USAF has proven through it's convergence that it is not the place to go for those who wish to defend America. For that reason, I'm out.
This convergence is why I am predicting that the US military is going to shock the world by unexpectedly losing an important battle one of these days. The Chinese and Russians already know that the US empire is fading, even if those who rule it from the Potomac haven't realized it yet.

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Saturday, May 30, 2020

Mailvox: manufactured chaos

A reader writes about the manufactured chaos in Minneapolis:
Chaos in Minneapolis last night.  St. Paul my side of the cities was behaved.  The state has the largest enforcement force ever assembled in the state. Around 1500. They protected downtown Minneapolis, the Federal Reserve building, and the power station.  Then the mobile force tried to protect the rest. 1000 more protesters was too many for them.  They were overwhelmed.  They did manage to contain three spots but only after three hours of burning destroyed a bank, a post office, and numerous other businesses.

Intel says that the drug cartels, anarchists, and white supremacists among others have organized and infiltrated the peaceful civil disobedients.  Sound like back in the 60's when the South blamed outside influences, doesn't it? However I expect there is a truth in it.  There is a worldwide organized movement to converge here tomorrow.  Expecting one of the largest crowds we have ever seen. I think the governor is going to allow the army to come help. An unprecedented event.
At this rate, it's only a matter of time before they blame the burning of Minneapolis on me and Big Bear. It's remarkable how those insidious "white supremacists" have cleverly managed to infiltrate both Soros-funded Antifa and the jogger community. It looks like it's going to be a long, hot summer now that they are officially up in arms.
Two Federal Protective Service officers were shot - one fatally - during Friday night protests in Oakland, California, as violent protests across the US intensified over the killing of George Floyd.

At least 7,500 demonstrators took to the streets in Oakland last night, clashing with police and sparking arson attacks and vandalism across the city. During the squirmish, two officers with the Federal Protective Service - a part of Homeland Securitycreated to protect government facilities - were shot. Police are investigating.

'Two Federal Protective Services officers stationed at the Oakland Downtown Federal Building suffered gunshot wounds. Unfortunately, one succumbed to his injury,' the police department told CNN. 

Meanwhile, a 19-year-old protester was shot dead in Detroit last night, while soldiers in North Carolina and in New York were ordered to be ready to move in within four hours and troops in Colorado and Kansas within 24 hours.
It's going to get worse, a lot worse, before everyone is ready to accept the fundamental necessity of homogeneous nation-states again, which is the prerequisite for re-establishing civilization. The other option, of course, is Chung Kuo. Try to keep in mind that the fact that you are inclined toward favoring a multi-ethnic global empire doesn't mean that you're going to be the one to rule it.

Another Minneapolis friend told me that he and his wife witnessed people literally lining up to take turns looting the Walgreens.

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Thursday, May 28, 2020

Mailvox: invading academia

A grad student writes concerning a recent economics paper:
I forgot to thank you for your analysis on the deflation argument. I started a graduate program in economics last fall, and your deflation argument served as a critical point in a paper I wrote during the fall semester for a finance class. I received an A on the paper and am very grateful for your blog and Darkstream channel. The professor has an MBA in finance from University of Chicago and has worked in corporate banking since the 70s, so what you have been saying for decades is starting to resonate with economics professionals. He  wrote that the argument was very thought-provoking. I cited your sources rather than you directly because of how far you are out of the economics academic hierarchy.
A wise decision. It might bother some people to know that they will never receive public credit for their ideas, but it doesn't bother me in the slightest. The more that you understand that the public laudation of intellectual celebrities is nothing but Promethean PR and ethnic propaganda, the less that sort of thing appeals to you. If, at this point, the media suddenly started talking me up as an important public intellectual and handing me awards, I'd be wondering where on Earth I'd gone wrong.

For me, the most interesting thing about the reader's email is the fact that his professor, with an MBA in finance and 40+ years of banking experience, considers the concept of credit deflation to be "thought-provoking". That underlines how completely inept, how completely ignorant, the greater part of the so-called intellectual elite are, even in their areas of credentialed expertese.

In any event, the reader is quite welcome. It's good to know that someone, somewhere, is getting something out of this pensaverie.

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Monday, May 18, 2020

Mailvox: working for the gamma

A reader asks how to deal with a Gamma male manager:
Longtime reader here-- loved Corporate Cancer.  Got me thinking about my current job hence the question:  How should one deal with working for a gamma male manager?  Seems pretty common to have this in government and utilities but I'm finding this type is more and more common in management in large organizations.
It really depends on the SSH delta between the manager and the employee. A Delta or Omega will probably be all right. Alphas and Bravos probably will not. Fellow Gammas should be fine. Sigmas probably won't be in that position in the first place.

The key is to understanding whether he feels threatened by you or not. As soon as you observe signs that your manager is feeling threatened by you or envious of you, you should focus on getting out of his group or department as soon as possible. Because, just like the former Big Bear fans who have now spent months attempting to attack him and his family, once the gamma male turns on you, he's not going to stop attempting to harm you until either a) you are gone or b) he perceives a new and more pressing threat to his status and self-regard.

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Friday, May 15, 2020

Mailvox: debt deflation confirmed

A reader writes to observe that the concept of debt deflation is gradually leaking out into the mainstream discourse:
I found a little snippet that NeonRevolt posted from Reddit's Wallstreetbets concerning Debt Deflation. I will reproduce the two pertinent paragraphs below, and while I am unsure of the veracity of some of the other points, I find his conclusions in the second paragraph, which I have bolded for emphasis very interesting.

OKAY. So demand has been reduced dramatically around the world, our $21 trillion GDP has basically been paused for 2 months, so to keep it afloat (rough math), the government had to add $3.5 trillion to keep the economy running somewhat smoothly. That's a lot of printing, you idiots probably expect inflation. Wrong, step away from the US and look at what other countries are doing, the ECB (European Central Bank) and BOJ (Bank of Japan) are having to print trillions of dollars worth of EURO and YEN to keep their economies going, along with every other country getting pounded. Not only that, but since the US dollar makes up 70% of global transactions, in liquidity terms, trillions worth of euro and yen is MUCH MUCH more than any amount Jpow feels like printing, there's no way our printing could offset what the rest of the world is doing, so inflation isn't coming. If you want proof, just look at the euro/usd (going lower) and literally ANY emerging market currency is getting absolutely clapped vs the dollar.

Furthermore, not only is US corporate debt at an all time high, but emerging markets, the eurozone, and asia has borrowed more dollars than ever before at any point in history, basically everyone around the world's debt is denominated in US DOLLARS. So what's about to happen? It's already happening, demand for US dollars is going up because everyone around the world wants to borrow more to offset cash flow concerns and pay off existing debts, which will cause the dollar to increase in value. What happens when the whole world has debt in dollars and the dollar goes up in value? DEBT BECOMES MORE EXPENSIVE. This is DEFLATION, and in particular and even more terrifying DEBT DEFLATION, a phrase that would make Jpow absolutely shit himself (and he knows its coming). This has already started before the whole beervirus nonsense, look at Venezuela and Zimbabwe, they had too much dollar debt, no one wanted to lend to them anymore and whoops, their currency is worthless now. It's going to be like a game of musical chairs for people trying to get access to dollars, starting with emerging markets and eventually moving into the more developed economies. The result: massive corporate bankruptcies, countries defaulting on debt (devaluing their currencies) and eventually a deleveraging of massive proportions. This WILL occur and no amount of printing can stop it, it's already too far gone.

The reason I am sending you this is that I have been following your posts/darkstreams concerning debt, deflation and how money is created ex nihilo, with great interest. I am also aware of your stance versus inflation versus deflation, and while your arguments already convinced me completely that deflation is in order, this is further proof of your predictions.

In other words, think this is another example of:

Of all the words of screen and pen
The saddest are these:
Vox was right again.
Deflation is inevitable. It doesn't take any great mind or vast understanding of economics to grasp that. In fact, it has taken decades of intentional deceit and maleducation to convince the economic mainstream otherwise.

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Sunday, May 10, 2020

Mailvox: Money magic

A reader observes the creation of money ex nihilo in action:
I wanted to share something with you that demonstrates how you are correct that debt and money creation are one and the same.

Recent changes to 401k rules (from the CARES act) allowed me to withdrawn/borrow 90k from my retirement account, with the promise to pay it back over 5 years to avoid the tax penalty. I did this to pay off my mortgage. Even though this doesn't change the basics of my personal finances, I just like the idea of being the only person with a legal claim on my house. Also, I figured the market is going to go down, so now might be a good time to sell, and buy-back over the next 5 years.

So I apply for the loan. I get the 90k check and deposit it in my bank. I look at my 401k balance and the amount has not changed! The 90k was literally created out of thin air with the understanding that I'm obligated to pay it back over 5 years.

Now that money essentially exist in 2 places; in my house, and in the stock portfolio of my 401k. I naively thought that the 401k was an arrangement between me and the government that I get a tax break on money I put aside for retirement. In reality, the 401k is an arrangement between me on the one side, and the government and the financialized class on the other side. Once I put money in those stocks, I can't sell it off until I turn 60 without a huge tax penalty. My 401k money is essentially a trust fund for the financial class.

At face value, most would think this is beneficial to me. But in reality, I'm prevented from the opportunity to sell high and buy back low. This protects the financialized racket from any loses today, but it also prevents the opportunity for that money to be redirected toward more profitable endeavors in the future. As losses to the financial market are prevented, so too the opportunity for profits are prevented. And they wonder why the economic recoveries are so feeble or non-existent.
Heads, everybody wins. Tails, they win and you lose. It's not the worst scam in the history of financial shenanigans. But it will lead to an economy-wide breakdown, in which everyone loses, sooner or later.

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Friday, May 08, 2020

A chapter ends

A homeschooling father writes to express his appreciation after successfully homeschooling of his boys:
Fourteen years ago I wrote to see what advice you and the Voxologisti could provide a family embarking on homeschooling:

The youngest of my three sons just completed his homeschooling this month, closing out this chapter of our family's story.  We're grateful for all the encouragement and suggestions we received through your site, and the wonderful community we discovered through the experience of homeschooling.  The road is challenging, but full of blessing.

It was amusing in the early years when I'd have the boys with me in the hardware store during school hours (field trip!).  The odd looks from strangers sometimes made me wonder if they wished they could call a childcatcher.  What annoyed me most was the constant "aren't you worried about their socialization?"  After the first few times I began replying "no, because I'm not raising them to be socialists."  That usually ended the conversation quickly.

My older two are nearly finished learning trades (welding and physical therapy).  Like his older brothers, my youngest will work full time for a while before making a decision about training/education.  My wife and I are proud of the young men they're becoming.

Our thanks to you and the Vox Popoli community.
It's always good to hear the happy endings. But man, have we really been doing this for so long....

That doesn't seem right.

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Impossible? Part V

V. Conclusion

What kind of factor or event could trigger off such a revolt? In The Handmaid’s Tale it is a shortage of fertile women, brought about by a host of environmental problems that render most of them barren. In reality, it is perhaps more likely to be provoked precisely by something many feminists have been waiting for: namely, the development of artificial wombs. Such devices will save the lives of babies, which is the declared objective of many research groups working on the problem even now. They will also free women from the need to conceive and bear and deliver children; thus enabling them to develop their careers the way men have always done. So far, so good. But there is also another possibility. Namely that, if women cease doing any of these things, men will no longer need them nearly as much as they used to. And that, as a result, their treatment of them, far from improving, will become worse than even feminists claim it has ever been.

A nightmare? For most of us Westerners, I myself emphatically included, who value the right of both men and women to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness, very much so. But for the growing number of men who are being targeted, as well as their wives and mothers and daughters and sisters who partake of the injustices inflicted on them? Less and less. Unlikely? Considering the way history seems to work, not necessarily. Action, reaction; movement, countermovement. As inevitable, as inexorable, as the tides of the sea.

Impossible? Once upon a time there was a man called Domitian, the son of Vespasian. From 81 to 96 CE he was the absolute ruler of Rome and, as such, perhaps the most powerful man in the world. Always something of a paranoid, his spies were everywhere and the number of his victims, countless. On one occasion, asked about his motives, he said that no one believes there could be a conspiracy to kill the emperor until he is killed. Not long thereafter, he was.

I. Introduction
II. The Road to Herland
III. Into the Breach
IV. Brave New World
V. Conclusion

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Thursday, May 07, 2020

Impossible? Part IV

IV. Brave New World

To carry out a successful coup, four things are needed. First, a leader; as one of my professors used to say, would there really have been a Russian Revolution without Lenin? Second, a cause or ideology that will make others rally around him. Third, a polarized and paralyzed political system that will fail to act as quickly and as decisively as it should have. And fourth, a sufficiently large number of ordinary people sufficiently disgruntled with the existing state of things to tolerate an uprising. What I am suggesting is not that such a coup is right around the corner either in the U.S or in any other democratic country. Rather that, when the time comes, restoring the balance between men and women could well be a central part of the cause in question. One for which a growing number of men, dismayed by the countless privileges women are enjoying and feeling at risk by the Niagara of often false accusations feminists are directing at them, might rally and fight.

As Ms. Atwood says, the Bible, especially the Old Testament with its strong patriarchal bias, might well be used to provide such a coup with the religious sanction it needs. That applies both to the Old Testament (“a fitting helper for him”) and the new one (“let woman in Church keep silent”). If victory comes quickly, as it did in Brazil in 1964, Greece in 1967, Chile in 1970, and Argentina in 1976, then the rest will be relatively simple. But if—and in quite some countries this is the more likely outcome—it does not, then the sequel will be about as kind and as gentle as the French Terror under Robespierre. This in turn may escalate into full-scale civil war complete with widespread destruction, countless atrocities, and heavy loss of life. As, for example, happened in Russia in 1917-20 and in Spain in 1936-39. Opponents who do not surrender will be exterminated. If necessary, as Ms. Atwood, perhaps following Lenin’s own example, with the aid of poison gas.

Having won, she goes on, the rebels will set up a dictatorial/clerical government. Living standards will drop dramatically. Civil liberties and every kind of privacy will be abolished. So will the kind of courts that are responsible for safeguarding them; in their place, we shall see the growth of bodies much more like the KGB or the Gestapo. As far as women are concerned, the most important measure the new government will put into effect will be to prohibit them from taking on high-level work outside the home. Also, from owning bank accounts, inheriting property, and generally handling any but the trifling sums needed for running a household day to day.

Children over the age of six or eight will be educated separately, just as they have been throughout most of history. It may be that Ms. Atwood is exaggerating—as a novelist, that is her good right. Contrary to what she says, I think that women may still be allowed to study for occupations such as teaching, nursing, nutrition, all kinds of therapy, and the like. However, everything they do will be under male supervision and control. To prevent feminism from reemerging women will be barred from acquiring a higher education in the humanities, the social sciences, and, above all, the law. In fact both The Handmaid’s Tale and The Testaments point to female lawyers as the new regime’s worst enemies, most likely not only to be suspended from school but arrested and shot as well.

Still loosely following in Ms. Atwood’s footsteps, every woman will be assigned a male guardian. Either a relative—father, husband, brother, son—or, in the case of single women and widows and divorcees who do not have them, a Miniwowe (Ministry of Women’s Welfare) official. In case, which seems likely, there are more such women than bureaucrats, the outcome will be a modern form of polygamy. In whatever way it is done, inevitably the best-looking young women will be rounded up for the officers’ exclusive use. Whether as wives, or concubines, or baby-bearing machines—handmaids, to use Ms. Atwood’s terminology—or elite prostitutes. Or else, in case they do not have a man or a male bureaucrat to protect them, simply as prey. Of the kind that is seduced with presents if possible and violently hunted down if it is not. As to the rest, who cares? Let the Economen, as Ms. Atwood calls them, look after their Econowives as best they can.

The doctrine of separate spheres having been firmly reestablished in this way, another measure the Junta will definitely take will be to recruit some women as auxiliaries. Not so they can rule or wield weapons, as feminists demand; never at any time have men had much need of women to help them either to govern or to kill one another. But to help control the others while at the same time gaining legitimacy and putting it on show. A few of the women in question will no doubt be given high rank, at any rate on paper. In return they will be required not to appear, or behave, in too feminine a manner. No expensive jewelry to make other women jealous. No ballroom gowns, nor cleavages, nor hand kissing, nor all kinds of wiles women have always used and will always go on using to get their way. Think of Lenin’s wife, Nadezha Krupskaya. Think, too, of Stalin’s alleged mistress Alexandra Kollontai. Not to mention Hitler’s Reichsfrauenfuehrerin Gertrud Scholtz-Klink. All three paid for what modest power they wielded, and the privileged lives they led, by serving some of the most terrifying men who ever lived.

Of the remaining women, many will be herded into a quasi-military organization and made to wear uniform. Judging by what previous totalitarian regimes have done and are doing, the uniforms themselves will likely fall into two kinds. Either such as make their wearers almost indistinguishable from men, complete with camouflage patterns, Kevlar helmets, heavy boots, and similar items that will conceal their femininity and create the illusion that they are more than just half soldiers. Or else a more feminine type with brightly colored skirts, nylon stockings, a unique kind of headgear to make them look nice on parade, and what in some cases appear to be plastic guns. As Russian, Chinese and North Korean female soldiers, goose-stepping past their invariably male, benignly smiling, superiors already do.

Amidst all this, feminists who refuse to recant will have clamps (branks as, back in the seventeenth century, they used to be known) pushed into their mouths if they are lucky and be burnt as witches if they are not. Or else they will be sent to the camps, the colonies as Ms. Atwood calls them, from which few if any of them will ever return. What makes these measures more plausible is the fact that few of them are really new; quite some were implemented in the past. Not just among illiterate tribespeople in their natural habitat, but in the democratic and enlightened Athens so many of us claim as our spiritual ancestor. And not just ages ago, but in nineteenth-century Europe and North America. In the latter, the English economist Harriet Martineau reported, the very idea of his wife working was enough to make a man’s hair stand on end.

Writing in the late 1920s, Virginia Woolf described how a beadle, or security guard, prevented her from walking on the grass at “Oxbridge” university as male students did. As I know from my own experience, it was only in the mid-1970s that, in some Western countries, married women could so much as open a bank account under their own names. Not until 1976, when Swiss women were finally granted the vote, was the process of enfranchisement complete even in Europe. As I have seen with my own eyes, even today some Muslim women wear a bit-like piece of clothing, known as a battoullah, which makes it hard for them to speak. As Mao wrote, even a journey of ten thousand miles must start with a single step. In many countries, political polarization and right-wing populism are growing and democracy is in serious trouble already.

I. Introduction
II. The Road to Herland
III. Into the Breach
IV. Brave New World
V. Conclusion

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Wednesday, May 06, 2020

Impossible? Part III

III. Into the Breach

Should it occur to anyone to start curbing the excesses of feminism in earnest, then obviously the most important step will be to deprive women of the right to vote. In itself, doing so ought not to be too difficult. In most modern countries, feeding in the right computer program and pressing a few buttons would suffice to do the job. No longer will my wife and I receive our Israeli, blue and white, voting cards in tandem. Instead of pinning two cards to the fridge as, in the past year, we have done no fewer than three times, I shall do so only with one. To prevent disenfranchised women from disrupting the voting process, as some of them regularly did at the turn of the twentieth century, perhaps a few of the noisiest ones should be placed under protective custody for a couple of days. Having each polling station watched by a policeman or two would not present a problem either.

The real problem is a different one. In ancient Greece women’s rights and democracy were entirely separate. Neither in Athens nor in any other city were women allowed either to vote or to hold public office. To the extent that it was democratic, as in some respects it was, the same applied to republican Rome. Not so in the modern world. In it, right from the beginning the demand for women’s enfranchisement has been riding piggyback on democracy. When Congress issued the Declaration of Independence Abigail Adams, wife of president to-be John Adams, complained that it mentioned men but not women. As the French Revolution broke out more than one woman insisted that the newly-adopted rights of men should be extended to women too. The best-known one was the abovementioned Mary Wollstonecraft. Another, Olympe de Gouges, was actually executed; though less for denouncing the “despotic” rule of men over women than for advocating the return of the monarchy. Not accidentally did John Stuart Mill, the most ardent male feminist of all time, publish The Subjection of Women in 1869, the year that marked a vast extension of the British electorate. To this day it is almost exclusively democratic countries that pay attention to women’s rights. Neither Putin, nor Xi, nor Khamenei, nor Kim Jong-un seems to be very interested in them. Nor, since they do not put great store on attracting female voters, or any voters for that matter, is there any reason why they should.

The long and the short of it is, if women are to be disenfranchised democracy will have to be abolished as well. Given its deep roots in Western civilization, that is a much harder proposition. Who could make the attempt? For Ms. Atwood the answer is clear: the armed forces which, throughout history and until very recently, used to be the bastions of masculinity. Or, more specifically, some secret group active within them and ready to take the bit between its teeth. Perhaps we might add elements of the police, the intelligence services, and various private security organizations. Here it is important to realize that many of those organizations’ CEOs are themselves former generals and senior police officers, making it easier for them to communicate and cooperate.

Whatever their precise nature, what makes these organizations potentially dangerous is not just the fact that they are authorized to carry weapons and, in certain cases, use them. It is their members’ detailed grasp of the way the state security organs work and, therefore, how they can be subverted and/or harnessed to the conspirators’ purpose. Who is in charge of what? Whom does he report to? What channels does he use, and how to ensure that those channels either remain open or are blocked?

Mounting a coup is not cheap. In this case the money may come from the kind of billionaire worried about being made to share Harvey Weinstein’s fate—and, given the brave new judiciary climate as well as the growing menace of #MeToo, what billionaire shouldn’t be? In the novels, all we really know about the conspirators is that they call themselves the Sons of Jacob. The reference is to the patriarch of that name. Tricked into marrying two sisters, he discovered that the younger one was unable to have children. Jealous of her sister, she nagged him (“give me children, or else I die”) until he gave way and slept with her handmaid. Now it was the turn of the older one to become jealous, so he impregnated her handmaids as well. Not exactly my idea of fun, but what was the poor man to do?

Here it is worth recalling that, whatever feminists have said and done, all the above-mentioned forces, agencies, firms, etc. remain almost as male-dominated as they were five or six decades ago. Not only is the number of their female members fairly limited, but few of them occupy key positions.

As one top Pentagon official in a position to know told me years ago when it was still relatively safe to do so, basically they cause little but trouble. Not simply by complaining; that is something women have no monopoly on. But because their complaints are so often self-contradictory. If female soldiers are not treated on an equal basis with men, e.g in respect to pay, promotion, and conditions of service, they complain about discrimination. If they are treated on an equal basis with men, e.g in respect to training and deployment, they also complain; this time because their femininity, meaning weaker physiques, greater susceptibility to certain diseases, pregnancy and motherhood is not given due consideration and does not lead to the privileges, such as shorter hours and better conditions, to which they feel entitled.

As anyone who has ever watched men and women engaged in co-ed training knows, there simply is no way out. If the same exercises are prescribed for people of both sexes, far more women will be injured and far fewer will graduate whereas the men, being stronger, will get hardly any training at all. If, to the contrary, trainees of each sex are made to perform to different standards, then the men will complain that, to gain credit, they must work harder than women. As, for example, by running longer distances, carrying heavier loads, and the like. The worst thing those responsible can do is to put men and women trainees into a situation where they have to physically touch each other. As, for example, in the now world-famous Israeli form of hand-to-hand combat known as krav maga (literally, “body-to-body battle”). Under such circumstances serious training becomes impossible. All that is left is a something more like Tai Chi or a ballet.

In some armies, these problems and others like them have long brought about a situation where male personnel are more afraid of their female colleagues than of the enemy. And no wonder: the U.S military e.g has more sexual assault response coordinators (SARCs) than it does recruiters. In my experience this fear has even spread to retired male officers; they are worried that walls may have ears. Responses to the problem vary. With Vice President Mike Pence providing the example, in- and out of the military a growing number of men refuse to be alone with any woman other than their wives, thus opening the door to complaints about discrimination. Many others will not meet with female co-workers unless a third person is present, thereby opening the door to even more complaints, this time about the violation of privacy.

Through all this, one thing remains clear. Should those in charge gird their loins and decide that enough is enough, then both in the military and in the civilian world a great many working women could be dispensed with fairly quickly and sent home. The place they occupied until 1965 or so; and which, to the mind of many men and such women as consider their children too precious to be raised by strangers, they should never have left to begin with.

I. Introduction
II. The Road to Herland
III. Into the Breach
IV. Brave New World
V. Conclusion

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Tuesday, May 05, 2020

Are you ready to ride again?

A meme warriors notes that Sony is thrashing about in response to the leaks of the SJW-converged The Last of Us II in a manner that may presage The Return of GamerGate:

Sony appears hellbent on starting GamerGate 2.0.
  • This wasn’t really a leak; it was clearly data released to do significant damage to the game. Sony has already spun at least two different narratives that don’t work around the leak.
  • It’s a barely disguised fetish simulator. It’s a snuff/torture/tranny fetish story where a mediocre stealth/cover shooter happens for a while.
  • You spend time having to play as the steroid monster, that’s apparently “female”, that killed the protagonist from the first game that everyone liked. With a golf club, for apparently no reason but Symbolism.
  • Most can guess exactly what the Creative Lead looks like without having to do more than describe the plot of this game.
  • This event will fit textbook examples for “Don’t Let Gammas get into positions of power”, Corporate Cancer and SJWs Always Lie.
GG was consumer revolt, but it always had that hard, clean hook of “ethics in gaming journalism”. Sony’s catastrophic screwups on the legal side means they’ve made the commentary community, which covers all of the non-Access Media places, angry at them and already very hostile. That gives six weeks before the game launches (it went Gold on Monday), which is just enough time for the professional gaming media to forget and then collectively insult everyone who doesn’t genuflect before the game when it launches.

That’s when this blows up, if Sony doesn’t realize how big of a disaster they’re headed into over the next month.

 The firewood, kindling and gasoline are already there, the only thing lacking is the match. I would assume, today, that they will light it (because SJWs), but they could prevent it from happening. The Gaming Media will automatically SJW-shill it, but it’s whether they’re acting coordinated or not that’ll matter. None of the corporate media sites said anything until Sony made an official statement, which means Sony’s Marketing is pulling their strings. But if the Gaming Media is going to form a battleline, they’ve doubled down into a war they’ve already lost.

Also, the stupidity of the game is endlessly memeable in picture form. That’ll really make it fun. That’s the state of things at the moment. Corporate Cancer, indeed.

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Monday, May 04, 2020

Impossible? Part II

II. The Road to Herland

Starting around 1890 and continuing thereafter, the greatest single victory feminists have ever gained was that of the suffragettes. Today in every country where men are allowed to vote, women enjoy the same right. By the ordinary rules of social life, it should never have happened. Why? Because, at the time, men occupied all positions and held all the cards. So in the executive. So in the legislature, and so in the judiciary. So in the military and so in the police. So in the universities. And so in the media, of course. Not to mention the financial world. As late as 1999, when eleven countries formally inaugurated the Euro, the assembled ministers of finance did not include a single woman; it was only in 2018 that a woman became head of the NYSE for the first time. It happened because, women being women, men did not have it in their hearts to fight them. Least of all in the way they often fight each other.

The fact that men are so reluctant to fight women/feminists as ruthlessly and as brutally as they do each other has been taken for granted much more often than it has been investigated. Perhaps it is because they well know that, had they done so, the human race would have come to a quick and inglorious end; after all, they themselves started life inside women’s wombs and almost all of them sucked at women’s breasts. Or because it took them far too long to open their eyes and take women seriously. Or because, bemused by the ocean of accusations aimed at them by modern feminists, they could not believe it had anything to do with them. After all, almost every one of them thought, he had never done women any harm. On the contrary, wishing to attract them and please them and keep them he had done them all the good he could. Perhaps, as Aristophanes’ Lysistrate put it, it was because, when everything is said and done, a man’s pleasure is in a woman’s hand. Or because, since most men are considerably stronger than most women, when a man fights a woman and loses, he loses; when he wins, he also loses.

A century later, the tables have been turned. Feminist bloodhounds and their weak-kneed, self-hating male supporters have constructed a monstrous propaganda machine, trained it straight at men, and made them pay heavily for the gratuitous concessions their great-grandfathers made. Day by day, tens and perhaps hundreds of thousands of them are being penalized for offenses they did not commit and which, even a few years ago, not even the victims themselves would have considered offenses at all. They are prosecuted, put on trial, convicted, and incarcerated and/or fined. So much so that, as used to be the case and sometimes remains the case in Muslim societies, even looking at a woman in the “wrong” way can be considered sexual harassment. And so much so that defending the accused in court has almost become a crime in itself; which is one reason why so many lawyers who specialize in doing so are themselves female. As to the alleged victims, so mentally retarded are some of them that they take years, decades even, to understand that whatever was done to them; or which they thought was done to them; or which (in at least one famous case) they dreamt had been done to them; or which others told them had been done to them; did indeed constitute rape, or abuse, or harassment, or whatever.

Though there was no trial, a perfect example of the way this kind of retroactive accusations work is provided by Ilona Staller, AKA Cicciolina. Born in Budapest in 1951, no sooner had she reached adulthood than she started épater la bourgeoisie. Publicly exposing her every orifice, sleeping with more men than she could remember, and loudly proclaiming her “free-thinking” woman’s right to (ab)use her body just as much as she wanted to. To do her bit for peace, and presumably gain some publicity a well, she proposed sleeping first with Saddam Hussein and then with Osama Bin Laden. On the way she wed a well-known artist, Jeff Koon, had a son with him, and was twice divorced. Looking back at her career, much of it as a pornographer and performer of bawdy songs (“Il Cazzo,” The Prick), she says it has all been a mistake; how much better to be married for thirty years and look after grandchildren. Now that she is a lonely old woman—her own words—whom does she blame? Men, of course. None of whom had understood her sensitive nature and truly loved her; and all of whom were out only to bed her and make money out of her.

President Clinton at one point engaged in some consensual, repeat consensual, sexual games with a woman, Monica Lewinsky. She actively pursued him—as he later said, the reason why he did it was because he could. Not only that, but she refused to give up even after he told her it was over. For this he came very close to being impeached and removed from office. Why? Because he should have known better. If a woman says no, then “it” is clearly rape. If she says yes, modern feminists claim, then “it” is also rape. This time because she considered, or looking back considers herself to have been, too weak or too much of a ninny to tell him so.

Among the latest examples is Harvey Weinstein. His alleged crime? Sleeping with two young women. Hoping for advancement and money they, along with any number of others like them, followed him literally to the end of the world with the express intention of getting him to do just that. The evidence that he used force on them or abused them in any way? These are one-on-one situations. Hence, none whatsoever; except for what the women themselves said. That is why a third woman had to be enlisted so she could testify about something that, so she claimed, Weinstein had done to her decades ago. So long, in fact, that the statute of limitations should have been applied (but was not). Why was she brought in? To establish a “pattern” of sexual behavior on the accused’s part. All this, at a time when looking into a woman’s past in order to establish a similar pattern is specifically prohibited by law. Incidentally, so “courageous” and “intrepid” was this particular women that, even as the trial went on, she refused to be identified; this, while half the world’s journalists, always more than ready to cast the first stone, were doing his name harm that is in some ways worse than the 27-year prison term to which he has been sentenced.

A woman who has been raped or otherwise abused might be expected to be afraid of the perpetrator and keep her distance from him. This is a point many courts have recognized by allowing such a woman to testify without having to confront the accused face to face; so delicate are women’s souls said to be that any defense attorney who dares to cross-examine a female “victim” of abuse in earnest will ipso facto find himself at a disadvantage. Not so in this case as well as many others. Claiming to have been raped, the two continued to see Weinstein and sleep with him. From this, the prosecution argued, it was clear, not that the alleged abuse was not abuse at all, which is the logical conclusion, but that they were “in thrall” to him. A mysterious kind of thrall, previously seen only in witches, which he was somehow able to project over time and right across the globe.

Going further still, some states will refuse either to prosecute a woman for coming up with false accusations or allow the victim to sue her for defamation. At this point the entire system of justice, supposed to be fair and free and open to all, starts to totter. Any man is at the mercy of any woman as well as any man who, for reasons of his own, chooses to back her up. All such a man can do is keep saying that whatever he did, if he did it, was consensual. To no avail; as Woody Allen and many others found out, once an accusation, however unfounded, has been made nothing can prevent a man from being hounded half to death. By now even boys as young as ten learn that girls are capricious, perfidious, and potentially very, very dangerous creatures. Always capable of returning the slightest sign of affection by stabbing their authors in the back and raising accusations against them, whether true or false.

But nothing lasts forever. Long ago, I had the honor of studying Hegel, Marx and Engels with one of the world’s greatest experts on those thinkers. As well as Lenin, the man who lit the fuse and turned his predecessors’ vision into a gigantic bloodbath. From them I learnt that history, unlike physical and chemical processes, does not move in a straight line as a bullet does. Instead, it is a question of action/reaction. X comes up with an idea. A new force (such as feminism) appears out of nowhere, as it seems, and starts spreading across the historical stage. Hardly has it done so than a countertheory or counterforce emerges. As the two grow they recognize each other as opponents and wrestle. Out of this struggle a synthesis is born. That synthesis in turn forms a new force or argument, provoking a reaction. And so on, in a process broadly known as dialectics.

Having gained momentum, feminism now forms as powerful a social force as may be found in the contemporary world. For good or ill, a reaction is bound to happen. In Brazil (Jair Messias Bolsonaro), in Italy (Matteo Salvini), and in the U.S (Donald Trump) it had already begun. The number of anti-feminist organizations is growing. So, according to Google Ngram, is the use of expressions such as “Feminazis.” As well as statements like “feminism is cancer” (14,400,000 hits on Google, most by men but some by women too). Much to the loss of both sexes, probably never in history have so many men hated women as much as do so today. And the other way around.
And this is only the beginning. Being 74 years old, I consider myself lucky in that I am unlikely to live long enough to see the movement unfold in its full fury. I am, however, afraid that, unless something drastic happens, my children and grandchildren, both male and female, very likely will. What might such a reaction look like? I am a historian, not a novelist. That is why, looking for an answer, I turn to Margaret Atwood’s 1984 masterpiece, The Handmaid’s Tale, as well as its 2019 sequel, The Testaments.

I. Introduction
II. The Road to Herland
III. Into the Breach
IV. Brave New World
V. Conclusion

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Tuesday, April 28, 2020

Mailvox: death in Holland

A reader analyzes the death rates in The Netherlands and concludes that corona-chan is not a complete hoax:
I did an analysis of deaths in 2020 in the Netherlands. Long story short, it's not all fake, something is killing people over 65 beyond demographic expectations. The Netherlands collects meticulous population data and has made historical data publicly available. I've combined general population numbers and deaths from the past 25 years to see if 2020 carries an increased risk of death.

Goal: Compare the expected vs actual deaths in 2020 across 3 age groups
  • 0-65 years old
  • 65-80 years old
  • 80+ years old
Method:
  • We know how many people died in each age group, every week, for the past 24 years.
  • We know the total size of each age group for the past 24 years.
  • Thus we can estimate the weekly chance of dying for each age group, for the past 24 years
  • We can take the average weekly chance of dying and apply it to current population to estimate the deaths per age group
Observations:
  • Morbidity/mortality has decreased the past 24 years, most visible in the 80+ age group (13% yearly mortality in 1995 vs 10.8% in 2019)
  • 2019 was a mild year across age groups
  • Winter of 2017/2018 had a nasty flu season around week 10
  • Winter of 1999/2000 had a nasty flu season around week 1, comparable to the peak in 2020
  • Deaths in 0-65 age group was 3% less than compared to past 3 year average, and 14% less than the 24 year average
  • Deaths in 65-80 age group was 10% higher than past 3-year average, but still 14% less than 24-year average
  • Deaths in 80+ age group was 6% higher than past 3-year average and 2% higher than the 24-year average
  • Peak in 2020 is outside of the regular flu season
Translation: the coronavirus was worse than the regular flu, but not massively worse. Certainly not bad enough to justify the global pandemic panic. Which again tends to point us toward the conclusion that there is something else happening here.

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Sunday, April 26, 2020

Mailvox: yes, they will go down

The big publishers were already in trouble before the corona-chan crisis:
Back when the Greek bail-out was taking place, you wrote about the eventual financial collapse. At the end, you said it will probably be something out of left field, probably China that brings down the house of cards. This was around 2010-11.

The ripple effects of Corona-chan will take on a life of its own. I was reading that AMC Theaters announced they are halting payments on leased property. Many businesses run on a thin margin, which is now gone. There just is not going to be enough money for the Treasury to print to save everything. At some point, the Fed is going to be helpless at trillions of Monopoly money simply disappears.

AMC gone- gone, Barnes & Noble- gone, Sun Your Buns- gone. Las Vegas-gone. Friday's and Applebee's- gone.

Will any of the big publishers go down?

One local hospital is laying workers off, another gave a 20% pay cut to at least nurses. Both are part of large statewide systems. Too big to fail? We could have absorbed 100,000, even 200,000 deaths without flinching much. The system could not survive an economic shutdown.

With the world economy in recession, Will Xi last? Could an imploding China decide to roll the dice with military action?

The Chi-coms shutdown Wu-han but allowed travel to the West. Did they figure out this was an attack? If from the Deep State, why? I thought the Deep State was all for sending manufacturing to China and gutting the U.S. Or a faction within the Deep State fighting with another faction within the Deep State?
Everyone needs to stop conflating the Deep State with a single country or government. There is no "China" or "US government" that can be considered to be wholly Deep State, which consists of individuals and organizations that can be of any nominal nationality.

But in answer to the questions:

Yes, the Big Five will become a Big Three before long. Eventually, a Big Two plus Amazon, which should be considered a publisher at this point.

Yes, Xi will last. Lee Kuan Yew considered him to be the most astute politician of the 21st century. He appears to have already taken the most important step related to China inheriting the mantle of global leader from the USA, which was preventing the Deep State from controlling the Chinese financial and technology sectors.

If my reading between the lines of the mainstream media is correct, the Deep State appears to be at war with both China and Russia, as well as with the Trump administration. It has factions within those countries, but unlike in the USA, they have not recently been the ruling factions.

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Friday, April 17, 2020

Book Review: The Last Emperox

An anonymous book reviewer reviews THE LAST EMPEROX by Tor's Three-Million-Dollar Man, John Scalzi. While I have not read any of the three books in the trilogy myself, it would not appear that Tor made a wise investment.

I was a few chapters into The Last Emperox when Scalzi did something he’d never done before in the Interdependency trilogy.  He made me laugh.

It was not a snicker at one of his jokes.  It was not a wry chuckle at the semi-snarky dialogue that passes for humour.  It was a genuine laugh when it hit me that Kiva Lagos is Donald Trump, with breasts!  Intentionally or not, Scalzi’s foul-mouthed rapist mess of a hero has a lot in common with the leftist perception of Trump, from the manners of a bullying braggart to the habit of rolling the dice time and time again until she comes up trumps.  There is a certain irony, in fact, that the titular character is someone who has so much in common with a populist politician Scalzi detests.  I’d apologise for the spoiler, but really there’s little to spoil.

Scalzi’s fans compare him to Heinlein.  A better comparison would be Harry Harrison.  Harrison’s comic novels didn’t take themselves too seriously, making light of everything from planetary invasions to full-scale war with a coalition of alien races.  When Harrison tried to write more serious novels, they were rarely satisfactory.  Scalzi has the same problem.  Old Man’s War was funny, but Scalzi is simply incapable of turning his keyboard to more serious work.  The Collapsing Empire and its two sequels are based on a cool concept, but their author fails to do them justice.  They simply don’t live up to their promise.

Scalzi himself admits, in his afterword, that he has a habit of procrastinating for months before turning in the first draft.  This is a major problem, as he says, because the editors don’t have time to do their job.  The three books would have made a fairly decent story if they’d been written as one volume - and had a good editor, who had the time to fix the problems - but as a trilogy they simply don’t work.  There are entire sections that Scalzi skips over, or hand-waves, or relies on his audience to fill in the gaps.  The story hops from idea to post-idea without showing us the idea being put into effect, dancing through time-skips in the hope we won’t notice.  This is irritating as hell.

The real problem is that he was incapable of developing the concept into a story.  There was ample room for a space opera on the same scale as The Night’s Dawn trilogy, but he chose to skip over the details that would have made it feel real.  The interdependency feels like a very thin universe indeed, without the sense of age or depth that writers such as Hamilton, Sanderson and Jemsin work into their stories.  Instead, he focuses on a tedious political battle and struggle for power that I thought had been resolved in the second book.  The concept of saving the vast majority of the population through flow-manipulation is better than I expected, but it simply isn’t developed.  The story does not end with the salvation of humanity or the preservation of a chunk of human civilisation.  Instead, it feels more like a retread of old ground that solves nothing.  It is, indeed, difficult to summarise the book because so little actually happens (and most of the important events happen off-stage)!

This is best reflected in the endless struggle between Cardenia Wu-Patrick, Kiva Lagos and Nadashe Nohamapetan, a struggle that would have been cut short if either of the three had shown a little more intelligence or ruthlessness.  (Seriously, Nadashe showed a little more cunning than earlier, but she would have won if she’d shot Kiva).  The bickering over who will take power, if anyone can when the writing is firmly on the wall, comes across as more than a little pointless.  More interesting plots - ways to navigate the Flow, developments on End - are hand-waved away, as if Scalzi realised he was running out of words and wrapped things up quickly.  This flows from Scalzi’s limitations.  It’s fairly clear he knows little about how militaries, power brokers and monarchies work.  A comic book empress can afford to be ignorant.  A real-life empress who’s going to inherit real power (even if she’s the spare) will have been trained for the role from birth.  Kiva Lagos is a liability to any real power broker because people like her - “whirling amoral vortexes of chaos” - tend to make enemies, people who will try to knife her in the back out of sheer spite and/or a desire for revenge.  There’s no hope of building a permanent relationship with someone you treat like shit, even if they are petty small-minded gamma males.  That too is something she has in common with Trump.

Harry Harrison’s Stainless Steel Rat books featured the beautiful and deadly Angelina, whose comedic sociopathy is funny, as long as you don’t think about it too much.  Harrison gets away with it because he’s writing comic novels, where reality is twisted to accommodate humour; Scalzi does not get away with it because his books are meant to be serious fiction and Kiva’s behaviour is horrible.  Sure, running up behind someone and yanking down their pants can be funny, but it’s also sexual assault.  It’s always fun until someone loses an eye.  I’m not laughing.

The Last Emperox has its moments, but it does not live up to its promise.  It does not present a scene of humanity getting around the problem, nor does it present a desperate struggle for survival right out of a disaster movie.  It does not even end with the collapse of the Flow and the dawn of a new era.  The plan to avoid disaster and save millions of lives is workable, but we never get to see it.  Scalzi concentrates on politics and avoids actually coming to grips with his universe.  The interesting characters get shoved aside, or forced to make stupid decisions, while the boring ones carry the show.

The series overall has its issues.  The Interdependency itself doesn’t make much sense.  The idea of End being both the sole inhabitable world in known space and an isolated backwater is bizarre.  You’d think it would be the most valuable piece of real estate in the galaxy.  The Interdependency brought some of its problems on itself, but the way it did that should have prompted it to avoid the problems.  Scalzi tries to justify it, but it isn’t convincing.  He might have been better leaving the collapse of the Flow as a natural event, as unpredictable (to the average person) as a hurricane.

A good series should have a strong beginning, a firm middle and a resounding end.  The Collapsing Empire is a weak beginning, The Consuming Fire isn’t enough to save the series and The Last Emperox ends with a whimper rather than a resounding crescendo.

I stand by my earlier opinion.  As a single book, the series would have worked (with a decent editor). As a trilogy, it’s a waste of money.

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